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Latent variables may lead to spurious relationships that can be misinterpreted as causal relationships. In Bayesian Networks (BNs), this challenge is known as learning under causal insufficiency. Structure learning algorithms that assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Kiattikun Chobtham , Anthony C. Constantinou

The ability to understand causality significantly impacts the competence of large language models (LLMs) in output explanation and counterfactual reasoning, as causality reveals the underlying data distribution. However, the lack of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Yu Zhou , Xingyu Wu , Beicheng Huang , Jibin Wu , Liang Feng , Kay Chen Tan

Causal discovery algorithms aim at untangling complex causal relationships from data. Here, we study causal discovery and inference methods based on staged tree models, which can represent complex and asymmetric causal relationships between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-02 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Causal discovery from observational data is fundamental to scientific fields like biology, where controlled experiments are often impractical. However, existing methods, including constraint-based (e.g., PC, causalMGM) and score-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Zhenjiang Fan , Zengyi Qin , Yuanning Zheng , Bo Xiong , Summer Han

Causal models, also known as Structural Equation Models (SEM), are a well-known formalism for representing and reasoning about causal dependencies between events. In this paper, we show that Temporal SEMs (TSEMs), which extend SEMs to…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Maksim Gladyshev , Natasha Alechina , Brian Logan

Causal discovery, the task of automatically constructing a causal model from data, is of major significance across the sciences. Evaluating the performance of causal discovery algorithms should ideally involve comparing the inferred models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-26 Maxime Peyrard , Robert West

Healthcare decision-making requires not only accurate predictions but also insights into how factors influence patient outcomes. While traditional Machine Learning (ML) models excel at predicting outcomes, such as identifying high risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Sheresh Zahoor , Pietro Liò , Gaël Dias , Mohammed Hasanuzzaman

In social sciences and economics, causal inference traditionally focuses on assessing the impact of predefined treatments (or interventions) on predefined outcomes, such as the effect of education programs on earnings. Causal discovery, in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-12 Martin Huber

Context-Aware Emotion Recognition (CAER) is a crucial and challenging task that aims to perceive the emotional states of the target person with contextual information. Recent approaches invariably focus on designing sophisticated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Dingkang Yang , Zhaoyu Chen , Yuzheng Wang , Shunli Wang , Mingcheng Li , Siao Liu , Xiao Zhao , Shuai Huang , Zhiyan Dong , Peng Zhai , Lihua Zhang

Count data naturally arise in many fields, such as finance, neuroscience, and epidemiology, and discovering causal structure among count data is a crucial task in various scientific and industrial scenarios. One of the most common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-26 Jie Qiao , Yu Xiang , Zhengming Chen , Ruichu Cai , Zhifeng Hao

Specifying data requirements for machine learning (ML) software systems remains a challenge in requirements engineering (RE). This vision paper explores causal modelling as an RE activity that allows the systematic integration of prior…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Hans-Martin Heyn , Yufei Mao , Roland Weiss , Eric Knauss

Recent years have seen many advances in methods for causal structure learning from data. The empirical assessment of such methods, however, is much less developed. Motivated by this gap, we pose the following question: how can one assess,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Marco F. Eigenmann , Sach Mukherjee , Marloes H. Maathuis

Counterfactual inference is a useful tool for comparing outcomes of interventions on complex systems. It requires us to represent the system in form of a structural causal model, complete with a causal diagram, probabilistic assumptions on…

Trajectory modeling refers to characterizing human movement behavior, serving as a pivotal step in understanding mobility patterns. Nevertheless, existing studies typically ignore the confounding effects of geospatial context, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Kang Luo , Yuanshao Zhu , Wei Chen , Kun Wang , Zhengyang Zhou , Sijie Ruan , Yuxuan Liang

This paper proposes the Humanoid-inspired Structural Causal Model (HSCM), a novel causal framework inspired by human intelligence, designed to overcome the limitations of conventional domain generalization models. Unlike approaches that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ze Tao , Jian Zhang , Haowei Li , Xianshuai Li , Yifei Peng , Xiyao Liu , Senzhang Wang , Chao Liu , Sheng Ren , Shichao Zhang

The notion of causality assumes a paramount position within the realm of human cognition. Over the past few decades, there has been significant advancement in the domain of causal effect estimation across various disciplines, including but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Zongyu Li , Xiaobo Guo , Siwei Qiang

We introduce a class of causal hidden quantum Markov models (cHQMMs) that reverse the usual order of hidden updates and emissions compared to conventional HQMMs. Using a simple qubit model with a rotating hidden state and sharp…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abdessatar Souissi , Abdessatar Barhoumi

The importance of clinical variables in the prognosis of the disease is explained using statistical correlation or machine learning (ML). However, the predictive importance of these variables may not represent their causal relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-04 Yina Hou , Shourav B. Rabbani , Liang Hong , Norou Diawara , Manar D. Samad

Causal artificial intelligence aims to enhance explainability, trustworthiness, and robustness in AI by leveraging structural causal models (SCMs). In this pursuit, recent advances formalize network sheaves and cosheaves of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Gabriele D'Acunto , Paolo Di Lorenzo , Sergio Barbarossa
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