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Simulation models of complex dynamics in the natural and social sciences commonly lack a tractable likelihood function, rendering traditional likelihood-based statistical inference impossible. Recent advances in machine learning have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-24 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , Sebastian M Schmon

The problem of classifying turbulent environments from partial observation is key for some theoretical and applied fields, from engineering to earth observation and astrophysics, e.g. to precondition searching of optimal control policies in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-19 Michele Buzzicotti , Fabio Bonaccorso

The estimation of rare event probabilities plays a pivotal role in diverse fields. Our aim is to determine the probability of a hazard or system failure occurring when a quantity of interest exceeds a critical value. In our approach, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Lea Friedli , David Ginsbourger , Arnaud Doucet , Niklas Linde

We introduce a procedure to automatically count and locate the fluorescent particles in a microscopy image. Our procedure employs an approximate likelihood estimator derived from a Poisson random field model for photon emission. Estimates…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-10 John Hughes , John Fricks , William Hancock

Searches for unknown physics and decisions between competing astrophysical models to explain data both rely on statistical hypothesis testing. The usual approach in searches for new physical phenomena is based on the statistical Likelihood…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-02-22 Sara Algeri , Jan Conrad , David A. van Dyk

Predictive modeling often faces challenges due to limited data availability and quality, especially in domains where collected features are weakly correlated with outcomes and where additional feature collection is constrained by ethical or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Bingxuan Li , Pengyi Shi , Amy Ward

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Entity summarization has been a prominent task over knowledge graphs. While existing methods are mainly unsupervised, we present DeepLENS, a simple yet effective deep learning model where we exploit textual semantics for encoding triples…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Qingxia Liu , Gong Cheng , Yuzhong Qu

Unsupervised ensemble learning emerged to address the challenge of combining multiple learners' predictions without access to ground truth labels or additional data. This paradigm is crucial in scenarios where evaluating individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Ariel Maymon , Yanir Buznah , Uri Shaham

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Encryption-based attacks have introduced significant challenges for detection mechanisms that rely on predefined signatures, heuristic indicators, or static rule-based classifications. Probabilistic Latent Encryption Mapping presents an…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Mohammad Eisa , Quentin Yardley , Rafael Witherspoon , Harriet Pendlebury , Clement Rutherford

This paper presents a simulation free framework for solving reliability analysis problems. The method proposed is rooted in a recently developed deep learning approach, referred to as the physics-informed neural network. The primary idea is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Souvik Chakraborty

Energy-based models (EBMs) are versatile density estimation models that directly parameterize an unnormalized log density. Although very flexible, EBMs lack a specified normalization constant of the model, making the likelihood of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Louis Grenioux , Éric Moulines , Marylou Gabrié

Flamelet models are widely used in computational fluid dynamics to simulate thermochemical processes in turbulent combustion. These models typically employ memory-expensive lookup tables that are predetermined and represent the combustion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-07 Franz M. Rohrhofer , Stefan Posch , Clemens Gößnitzer , José M. García-Oliver , Bernhard C. Geiger

Gravitational lensing is one of the most powerful probes of dark matter, yet creating high-fidelity lensed images at scale remains a bottleneck. Existing tools rely on ray-tracing or forward-modeling pipelines that, while precise, are…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-17 Hamees Sayed , Pranath Reddy , Michael W. Toomey , Sergei Gleyzer

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent Coull

We present $\textbf{PyRMLE}$, a Python module that implements Regularized Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the analysis of Random Coefficient models. $\textbf{PyRMLE}$ is simple to use and readily works with data formats that are typical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-17 Emil Mendoza , Fabian Dunker , Marco Reale

Automated detection of software vulnerabilities is critical for enhancing security, yet existing methods often struggle with the complexity and diversity of modern codebases. In this paper, we introduce EnStack, a novel ensemble stacking…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Shahriyar Zaman Ridoy , Md. Shazzad Hossain Shaon , Alfredo Cuzzocrea , Mst Shapna Akter

Automatically locating vulnerable statements in source code is crucial to assure software security and alleviate developers' debugging efforts. This becomes even more important in today's software ecosystem, where vulnerable code can flow…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Yangruibo Ding , Sahil Suneja , Yunhui Zheng , Jim Laredo , Alessandro Morari , Gail Kaiser , Baishakhi Ray