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Conventional statistics begins with a model, and assigns a likelihood of obtaining any particular set of data. The opposite approach, beginning with the data and assigning a likelihood to any particular model, is explored here for the case…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-30 Timothy E. Holy

This paper is concerned with making Bayesian inference from data that are assumed to be drawn from a Bingham distribution. A barrier to the Bayesian approach is the parameter-dependent normalising constant of the Bingham distribution,…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-14 Christopher J. Fallaize , Theodore Kypraios

The wrapped normal distribution arises when a the density of a one-dimensional normal distribution is wrapped around the circle infinitely many times. At first look, evaluation of its probability density function appears tedious as an…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-01 Gerhard Kurz , Igor Gilitschenski , Uwe D. Hanebeck

From the distributional characterizations that lie at the heart of Stein's method we derive explicit formulae for the mass functions of discrete probability laws that identify those distributions. These identities are applied to develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Steffen Betsch , Bruno Ebner , Franz Nestmann

Gaussian graphical models have received considerable attention during the past four decades from the statistical and machine learning communities. In Bayesian treatments of this model, the G-Wishart distribution serves as the conjugate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Caroline Uhler , Alex Lenkoski , Donald Richards

This is an up-to-date introduction to, and overview of, marginal likelihood computation for model selection and hypothesis testing. Computing normalizing constants of probability models (or ratio of constants) is a fundamental issue in many…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-13 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino , David Delgado , Javier Lopez-Santiago

This paper examines the classical matching distribution arising in the "problem of coincidences". We generalise the classical matching distribution with a preliminary round of allocation where items are correctly matched with some fixed…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-12-24 Ben O'Neill

This paper introduces and studies a new class of nonparametric prior distributions. Random probability distribution functions are constructed via normalization of random measures driven by increasing additive processes. In particular, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Igor Prunster , Stephen G. Walker

Models with unnormalized probability density functions are ubiquitous in statistics, artificial intelligence and many other fields. However, they face significant challenges in model selection if the normalizing constants are intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Rong Bian , Kung-Sik Chan , Bing Cheng , Howell Tong

The G-Wishart distribution is an essential component for the Bayesian analysis of Gaussian graphical models as the conjugate prior for the precision matrix. Evaluating the marginal likelihood of such models usually requires computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Ching Wong , Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Bivariate normal distributions are often used to describe the joint probability density of a pair of random variables. These distributions arise across many domains, from telecommunications, to meteorology, ballistics, and computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Emily A. Cooper , Hany Farid

Consider a family of distributions $\{\pi_{\beta}\}$ where $X\sim\pi_{\beta}$ means that $\mathbb{P}(X=x)=\exp(-\beta H(x))/Z(\beta)$. Here $Z(\beta)$ is the proper normalizing constant, equal to $\sum_x\exp(-\beta H(x))$. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Mark Huber

In a recent article a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a sequence of positive numbers was examined. The analysis of the nonnegativeness of the formal expressions was a key-point to allow to give them a statistical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 H. Bergeron , E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

This note examines the infinite divisibility of density-based transformations of normal random variables. We characterize a class of density-based transformations of normal variables which produces non-infinitely divisible distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-03 A. Murillo-Salas , F. J. Rubio

Statistical models of real world data typically involve continuous probability distributions such as normal, Laplace, or exponential distributions. Such distributions are supported by many probabilistic modelling formalisms, including…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Martin Grohe , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Peter Lindner

Computing the embedding distribution of a given graph is a fundamental question in topological graph theory. In this article, we extend our viewpoint to a sequence of graphs and consider their asymptotic embedding distributions, which are…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Yichao Chen , Wenjie Fang , Zhicheng Gao , Jinlian Zhang

In two recent articles we have examined a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a sequence of positive numbers, involving asymmetric expressions of probabilities that break the symmetry {\it win-loss}. We present in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 H. Bergeron , E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

In this paper, we identify a class of absolutely continuous probability distributions, and show that the differential entropy is uniformly convergent over this space under the metric of total variation distance. One of the advantages of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Hamid Ghourchian , Amin Gohari , Arash Amini

We introduce families of jointly symmetric, binary distributions that are generated over directed star graphs whose nodes represent variables and whose edges indicate positive dependences. The families are parametrized in terms of a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-30 N. Wermuth G. M. Marchetti P. Zwiernik

Normalizing flows are a popular class of models for approximating probability distributions. However, their invertible nature limits their ability to model target distributions whose support have a complex topological structure, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-25 Vincent Stimper , Bernhard Schölkopf , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato