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It is well known that a Lorenz curve, derived from the distribution function of a random variable, can itself be viewed as a probability distribution function of a new random variable [4]. In a previous work of ours [26], we proved the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Vilimir Yordanov

In this paper we characterize the limiting behavior of sums of extreme values of long range dependent sequences defined as functionals of linear processes with finite variance. The extremal sums behave completely different by compared to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

Most classification methods provide either a prediction of class membership or an assessment of class membership probability. In the case of two-group classification the predicted probability can be described as "risk" of belonging to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-28 Yizhar Toren

Protesting mildly against the notion of an exactly correct parametric model the view is adopted that the logistic regression equation is merely an approximation to the underlying, true function. The behaviour of likelihood based estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Nils Lid Hjort

In the fields of clinical trials, biomedical surveys, marketing, banking, with dichotomous response variable, the logistic regression is considered as an alternative convenient approach to linear regression. In this paper, we develop a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Debraj Das , Priyam Das

Random forests remain among the most popular off-the-shelf supervised learning algorithms. Despite their well-documented empirical success, however, until recently, few theoretical results were available to describe their performance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Wei Peng , Tim Coleman , Lucas Mentch

This article proposes a novel estimator for regression coefficients in clustered data that explicitly accounts for within-cluster dependence. We study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator under both finite and infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das

The classical asymptotic theory for parametric $M$-estimators guarantees that, in the limit of infinite sample size, the excess risk has a chi-square type distribution, even in the misspecified case. We demonstrate how self-concordance of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach

Let $X_1, X_2,\ldots, X_n$ (resp. $Y_1, Y_2,\ldots, Y_n$) be independent random variables such that $X_i$ (resp. $Y_i$) follows generalized exponential distribution with shape parameter $\theta_i$ and scale parameter $\lambda_i$ (resp.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-18 Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury , Asok K. Nanda , Nil Kamal Hazra

When dealing with imbalanced classification data, reweighting the loss function is a standard procedure allowing to equilibrate between the true positive and true negative rates within the risk measure. Despite significant theoretical work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-17 Anass Aghbalou , François Portier , Anne Sabourin

Consider a nonparametric regression model with one-sided errors and regression function in a general H\"older class. We estimate the regression function via minimization of the local integral of a polynomial approximation. We show uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Holger Drees , Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

This paper studies a class of exponential family models whose canonical parameters are specified as linear functionals of an unknown infinite-dimensional slope function. The optimal minimax rates of convergence for slope function estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Winston Wei Dou , David Pollard , Harrison H. Zhou

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

We consider a model of random tree growth, where at each time unit a new vertex is added and attached to an already existing vertex chosen at random. The probability with which a vertex with degree $k$ is chosen is proportional to $w(k)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anna Rudas , Balint Toth , Benedek Valko

Doron Gepner's word statistics, that came up in his research in conformal field theory, is studied and it is conjectured that its scaled limiting distribution is the Logistic distribution. We support this by proving rigorously that the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Doron Zeilberger

We investigate the complexity of logistic regression models which is defined by counting the number of indistinguishable distributions that the model can represent (Balasubramanian, 1997). We find that the complexity of logistic models with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Nicola Bulso , Matteo Marsili , Yasser Roudi

The majority of machine learning methods can be regarded as the minimization of an unavailable risk function. To optimize the latter, given samples provided in a streaming fashion, we define a general stochastic Newton algorithm and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Claire Boyer , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

We study vectors chosen at random from a compact convex polytope in $\mathbb{R}^n$ given by a finite number of linear constraints. We determine which projections of these random vectors are asymptotically normal as $n\to\infty$. Marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Fabrice Gamboa , Martin Venker

Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

We provide non-asymptotic bounds for first and higher order inclusion probabilities of the rejective sampling model with various size parameters. Further we derive bounds in the semi-definite ordering for matrices that collect (conditional)…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Simon Ruetz , Karin Schnass
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