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Few real-world systems are amenable to truly Bayesian filtering; nonlinearities and non-Gaussian noises can wreak havoc on filters that rely on linearization and Gaussian uncertainty approximations. This article presents the Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Kristen Michaelson , Andrey A. Popov , Renato Zanetti

Recent advances in counter-adversarial systems have garnered significant research attention to inverse filtering from a Bayesian perspective. For example, interest in estimating the adversary's Kalman filter tracked estimate with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Himali Singh , Arpan Chattopadhyay , Kumar Vijay Mishra

The article develops a hybrid Variational Bayes algorithm that combines the mean-field and fixed-form Variational Bayes methods. The new estimation algorithm can be used to approximate any posterior without relying on conjugate priors. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-09 David J Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Anthony Y. C. Kuk , Robert Kohn

Hierarchical Gaussian Filtering (HGF) networks allow for efficient updating of posterior distributions (beliefs) about hidden states of an agent's environment. HGF parent nodes can target the mean or variance of their children. New…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Christoph Mathys , Nicolas Legrand , Peter Thestrup Waade , Nace Mikus , Lilian Aline Weber

Autonomous platforms require accurate positioning to complete their tasks. To this end, a Kalman filter-based algorithms, such as the extended Kalman filter or invariant Kalman filter, utilizing inertial and external sensor fusion are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Barak Diker , Itzik Klein

We introduce a new sequential methodology to calibrate the fixed parameters and track the stochastic dynamical variables of a state-space system. The proposed method is based on the nested hybrid filtering (NHF) framework of [1], that…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-24 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Joaquín Míguez

This work presents new results and understanding of the Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems. In particular, using a Lagrangian dual perspective we show that EnKF can be derived from the sample average approximation (SAA) of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 C G Krishnanunni , Jonathan Wittmer , Tan Bui-Thanh , Quoc P. Nguyen

This letter re-visits the problem of visual-inertial navigation system (VINS) and presents a novel filter design we dub the multi state constraint equivariant filter (MSCEqF, in analogy to the well known MSCKF). We define a symmetry group…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Alessandro Fornasier , Pieter van Goor , Eren Allak , Robert Mahony , Stephan Weiss

Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

Variational Bayesian (VB) methods produce posterior inference in a time frame considerably smaller than traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches. Although the VB posterior is an approximation, it has been shown to produce good…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-02 Nathaniel Tomasetti , Catherine S. Forbes , Anastasios Panagiotelis

Latent variable time-series models are among the most heavily used tools from machine learning and applied statistics. These models have the advantage of learning latent structure both from noisy observations and from the temporal ordering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-24 Evan Archer , Il Memming Park , Lars Buesing , John Cunningham , Liam Paninski

The problem of estimating the dynamic direction of arrival of far field signals impinging on a uniform linear array, with mutual coupling effects, is addressed. This work proposes two novel approaches able to provide accurate solutions,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-15 Matthew Hawes , Lyudmila Mihaylova , François Septier , Simon Godsill

In this paper, we study efficient approximate sampling for probability distributions known up to normalization constants. We specifically focus on a problem class arising in Bayesian inference for large-scale inverse problems in science and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

Variational empirical Bayes (VEB) methods provide a practically attractive approach to fitting large, sparse, multiple regression models. These methods usually use coordinate ascent to optimize the variational objective function, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Saikat Banerjee , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

We introduce the inverse Kalman filter, which enables exact matrix-vector multiplication between a covariance matrix from a dynamic linear model and any real-valued vector with linear computational cost. We integrate the inverse Kalman…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Xinyi Fang , Mengyang Gu

This paper introduces the $f$-divergence variational inference ($f$-VI) that generalizes variational inference to all $f$-divergences. Initiated from minimizing a crafty surrogate $f$-divergence that shares the statistical consistency with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Neng Wan , Dapeng Li , Naira Hovakimyan

Variational inference (VI) is a method to approximate the computationally intractable posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian statistics. Typically, VI fits a simple parametric distribution to the target posterior by minimizing an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Chirag Modi , Charles Margossian , Yuling Yao , Robert Gower , David Blei , Lawrence Saul

Filtering - the task of estimating the conditional distribution for states of a dynamical system given partial and noisy observations - is important in many areas of science and engineering, including weather and climate prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Enoch Luk , Andrew Stuart

The inverse problem of determining parameters in a model by comparing some output of the model with observations is addressed. This is a description for what hat to be done to use the Gauss-Markov-Kalman filter for the Bayesian estimation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Hermann G. Matthies , Alexander Litvinenko , Bojana V. Rosic , Elmar Zander

We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Cheng Liu , Cheng Yong Tang