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We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

Initialisation of the EM algorithm in model-based clustering is often crucial. Various starting points in the parameter space often lead to different local maxima of the likelihood function and, so to different clustering partitions. Among…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-28 Luca Scrucca , Adrian E. Raftery

Using stochastic gradient search and the optimal filter derivative, it is possible to perform recursive (i.e., online) maximum likelihood estimation in a non-linear state-space model. As the optimal filter and its derivative are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

Our predictions for particle physics processes are realized in a chain of complex simulators. They allow us to generate high-fidelity simulated data, but they are not well-suited for inference on the theory parameters with observed data. We…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-11-03 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Probabilistic models are often trained by maximum likelihood, which corresponds to minimizing a specific f-divergence between the model and data distribution. In light of recent successes in training Generative Adversarial Networks,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Mingtian Zhang , Thomas Bird , Raza Habib , Tianlin Xu , David Barber

A new approach for signal parametrization, which consists of a specific regression model incorporating a discrete hidden logistic process, is proposed. The model parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood method performed by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative method for finding maximum likelihood estimates when data are incomplete or are treated as being incomplete. The EM algorithm and its variants are commonly used for parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-26 Ryan P. Browne , Sanjeena Subedi , Paul McNicholas

We develop a general framework for proving rigorous guarantees on the performance of the EM algorithm and a variant known as gradient EM. Our analysis is divided into two parts: a treatment of these algorithms at the population level (in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

Latent-variable energy-based models (LVEBMs) assign a single normalized energy to joint pairs of observed data and latent variables, offering expressive generative modeling while capturing hidden structure. We recast maximum-likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Shiqin Tang , Shuxin Zhuang , Rong Feng , Runsheng Yu , Hongzong Li , Youzhi Zhang

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm introduced by Dempster et al in 1977 is a very general method to solve maximum likelihood estimation problems. In this informal report, we review the theory behind EM as well as a number of EM…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-10 Alexis Roche

Finite mixture models are powerful tools for modelling and analyzing heterogeneous data. Parameter estimation is typically carried out using maximum likelihood estimation via the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm. Recently, the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-15 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Kaleb L. Leemaqz

A growing number of applications in particle physics and beyond use neural networks as unbinned likelihood ratio estimators applied to real or simulated data. Precision requirements on the inference tasks demand a high-level of stability…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-03-04 G. Bruno De Luca , Benjamin Nachman , Eva Silverstein , Henry Zheng

Statistical properties of a local fluctuational fluxes measured at the plasma edge are investigated in the work. It's shown that the amplitudes increments of the local fluctuational fluxes decrease by power law. For approximation of…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2012-09-12 Viacheslav Saenko

In this paper, we address the identification problem for the systems characterized by linear time-invariant dynamics with bilinear observation models. More precisely, we consider a suitable parametric description of the system and formulate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Diyou Liu , Mohammad Khosravi

In this paper, we address the issue of model specification in probabilistic latent variable models (PLVMs) using an infinite-horizon optimal control approach. Traditional PLVMs rely on joint distributions to model complex data, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-29 Zhichao Chen , Hao Wang , Licheng Pan , Yiran Ma , Yunfei Teng , Jiaze Ma , Le Yao , Zhiqiang Ge , Zhihuan Song

We develop a nested EM routine for latent class models with covariates which allows maximization of the full-model log-likelihood and, differently from current methods, guarantees monotone log-likelihood sequences along with improved…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-19 Daniele Durante , Antonio Canale , Tommaso Rigon

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Zehao Li , Yijie Peng

Lagrangian Particle Tracking (LPT) enables practitioners to study various concepts in turbulence by measuring particle positions in flows of interest. This data is subject to measurement errors, and filtering techniques are applied to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Kasey M. Laurent , Reece V. Kearney

Latent variable models have been playing a central role in psychometrics and related fields. In many modern applications, the inference based on latent variable models involves one or several of the following features: (1) the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Siliang Zhang , Yunxiao Chen