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Do ecosystems primarily reflect evolutionary history or current environment? Predicting land-atmosphere exchange hinges on this unresolved question. Plant traits adapt to particular environments over evolutionary timescales, yet their…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-16 Jianing Fang , Kevin Bowman , Wenli Zhao , Xu Lian , Pierre Gentine

We introduce a novel forecasting model for crop yields that explicitly accounts for spatio-temporal dependence and the influence of extreme weather and climatic events. Our approach combines Bayesian Structural Time Series for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Marie Michaelides , Mélina Mailhot , Yongkun Li

Crop management involves a series of critical, interdependent decisions or actions in a complex and highly uncertain environment, which exhibit distinct spatial and temporal variations. Managing resource inputs such as fertilizer and…

We develop a cross-sectional research design to identify causal effects in the presence of unobservable heterogeneity without instruments. When units are dense in physical space, it may be sufficient to regress the "spatial first…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-22 Hannah Druckenmiller , Solomon Hsiang

The complex relationship between climate shocks, migration, and adaptation hampers a rigorous understanding of the heterogeneous mobility outcomes of farm households exposed to climate risk. To unpack this heterogeneity, the analysis…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-15 Marco Letta , Pierluigi Montalbano , Adriana Paolantonio

Soil organic carbon (SOC) plays a major role in the global carbon budget. It can act as a source or a sink of atmospheric carbon, thereby possibly influencing the course of climate change. Improving the tools that model the spatial…

Agrivoltaic systems are becoming more popular as a critical technology for attaining several sustainable development goals such as affordable and clean energy, zero hunger, clean water and sanitation, and climate action. However,…

Food security has grown in significance due to the changing climate and its warming effects. To support the rising demand for agricultural products and to minimize the negative impact of climate change and mass cultivation, precision…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Kui Zhao , Siyang Wu , Chang Liu , Yue Wu , Natalia Efremova

Precision soil greenhouse gas (GHG) flux prediction is essential in agricultural systems for assessing environmental impacts, developing emission mitigation strategies and promoting sustainable agriculture. Due to the lack of advanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Yu Zhang , Gaoshan Bi , Simon Jeffery , Max Davis , Yang Li , Qing Xue , Po Yang

Efficient nutrient management and precise fertilization are essential for advancing modern agriculture, particularly in regions striving to optimize crop yields sustainably. The AgroLens project endeavors to address this challenge by…

Mapping crops using remote sensing technology is important for food security and land management. Machine learning-based methods has become a popular approach for crop mapping in recent years. However, the key to machine learning, acquiring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Yunze Zang , Yifei Liu , Xuehong Chen , Anqi Li , Yichen Zhai , Shijie Li , Luling Liu , Chuanhai Zhu , Ruilin Chen , Shupeng Li , Na Jie

Agriculture plays a fundamental role in driving economic growth and ensuring food security for populations around the world. Although labor-intensive agriculture has led to steady increases in food grain production in many developing…

How areas of land are allocated for different uses, such as forests, urban areas, and agriculture, has a large effect on the terrestrial carbon balance, and therefore climate change. Based on available historical data on land-use changes…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Daniel Young , Olivier Francon , Elliot Meyerson , Clemens Schwingshackl , Jacob Bieker , Hugo Cunha , Babak Hodjat , Risto Miikkulainen

Accurate and timely crop yield estimation is critical for global food security, agricultural policy, and farm management. The Copernicus Sentinel-2 satellite constellation, with high spatial, temporal, and spectral resolution, has…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Mohammadreza Narimani , Alireza Pourreza , Ali Moghimi , Parastoo Farajpoor

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops estimation and inference procedures for multiple treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-09 Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

High-resolution satellite-based crop yield mapping offers enormous promise for monitoring progress towards the SDGs. Across 15,000 villages in Rwanda we uncover areas that are on and off track to double productivity by 2030. This machine…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Katie Fankhauser , Evan Thomas , Zia Mehrabi

Farm parcel delineation provides cadastral data that is important in developing and managing climate change policies. Specifically, farm parcel delineation informs applications in downstream governmental policies of land allocation,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-21 Han Lin Aung , Burak Uzkent , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

The estimation of causal effects with observational data continues to be a very active research area. In recent years, researchers have developed new frameworks which use machine learning to relax classical assumptions necessary for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Jonathan Fuhr , Philipp Berens , Dominik Papies

Observational studies of causal effects require adjustment for confounding factors. In the tabular setting, where these factors are well-defined, separate random variables, the effect of confounding is well understood. However, in public…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Connor T. Jerzak , Fredrik Johansson , Adel Daoud

Many events and policies (treatments) occur at specific spatial locations, with researchers interested in their effects on nearby units. I approach the spatial treatment setting from an experimental perspective: What ideal experiment would…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-27 Michael Pollmann