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We introduce circulance, a scalar measure for classifying time series of dynamical systems. Circulance captures the extent of temporal regularity or irregularity that is encoded in the topology of a directed ordinal pattern transition…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-05 Max Potratzki , Manuel Adams , Timo Bröhl , Klaus Lehnertz

Here, we propose a new tool to estimate the complexity of a time series: the entropy of difference (ED). The method is based solely on the sign of the difference between neighboring values in a time series. This makes it possible to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-05 Pasquale Nardone

Ordinal regression (OR, also called ordinal classification) is classification of ordinal data, in which the underlying target variable is categorical and considered to have a natural ordinal relation for the underlying explanatory variable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Ryoya Yamasaki

Divergences or similarity measures between probability distributions have become a very useful tool for studying different aspects of statistical objects such as time series, networks and images. Notably not every divergence provides…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Diego M. Mateos , Leonardo E. Riveaud , Pedro W. Lamberti

The aim of this paper is to introduce the Lempel-Ziv permutation complexity vs permutation entropy plane as a tool to analyze time series of different nature. This two quantities make use of the Bandt and Pompe representation to quantify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Diego M. Mateos , Steeve Zozor , Felipe Olivarez

A Spartan random process (SRP) is used to estimate the correlation structure of time series and to predict (extrapolate) the data values. SRP's are motivated from statistical physics, and they can be viewed as Ginzburg-Landau models. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-24 M. Zukovic , D. T. Hristopulos

The search for patterns in time series is a very common task when dealing with complex systems. This is usually accomplished by employing a complexity measure such as entropies and fractal dimensions. However, such measures usually only…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-13 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Max Jauregui , Luciano Zunino , Ervin K. Lenzi

Ordinal data is widely prevalent in clinical and other domains, yet there is a lack of both modern, machine-learning based methods and publicly available software to address it. In this paper, we present a model-agnostic method of ordinal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Noam H. Rotenberg , Andreia V. Faria , Brian Caffo

Ordinal regression is an important type of learning, which has properties of both classification and regression. Here we describe a simple and effective approach to adapt a traditional neural network to learn ordinal categories. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jianlin Cheng

To quantify the complexity of a system, entropy-based methods have received considerable critical attentions in real-world data analysis. Among numerous entropy algorithms, amplitude-based formulas, represented by Sample Entropy, suffer…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-12 Hongjian Xiao , Danilo P. Mandic

Any continuous curve in a higher dimensional space can be considered a trajectory that can be parameterized by a single variable, usually taken as time. It is well known that a continuous curve can have a fractional dimensionality, which…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-08 Roxana Peña-Mendieta , Ania Mesa-Rodríguez , Ernesto Estevez-Rams , Daniel Estevez-Moya , Danays Kunka

Order patterns apply well to many fields, because of minimal stationarity assumptions. Here we fix the methodology of patterns of length 3 by introducing an orthogonal system of four pattern contrasts. These contrasts are statistically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Christoph Bandt

Entropy metrics (for example, permutation entropy) are nonlinear measures of irregularity in time series (one-dimensional data). Some of these entropy metrics can be generalised to data on periodic structures such as a grid or lattice…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-10-22 John Stewart Fabila-Carrasco , Chao Tan , Javier Escudero

Time series classification is a task that aims at classifying chronological data. It is used in a diverse range of domains such as meteorology, medicine and physics. In the last decade, many algorithms have been built to perform this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Michael Franklin Mbouopda , Engelbert Mephu Nguifo

We introduce Ordinal Synchronization ($OS$) as a new measure to quantify synchronization between dynamical systems. $OS$ is calculated from the extraction of the ordinal patterns related to two time series, their transformation into…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-30 Ignacio Echegoyen , Victor Vera-Ávila , Ricardo Sevilla-Escoboza , Johann H. Martínez , Javier M. Buldú

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

Distributed systems, such as biological and artificial neural networks, process information via complex interactions engaging multiple subsystems, resulting in high-order patterns with distinct properties across scales. Investigating how…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Aaron J. Gutknecht , Fernando E. Rosas , David A. Ehrlich , Abdullah Makkeh , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Michael Wibral

This is a review of group entropy and its application to permutation complexity. Specifically we revisit a new approach to the notion of complexity in time serie analysis, based on both permutation entropy and group entropy. As a result,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-01-24 José M. Amigó , Roberto Dale , Piergiulio Tempesta

Ordinal classification models assign higher penalties to predictions further away from the true class. As a result, they are appropriate for relevant diagnostic tasks like disease progression prediction or medical image grading. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Adrian Galdran

We propose a robust and computationally efficient algorithm to generically construct first return maps of dynamical systems from time series without the need for embedding. Typically, a first return map is constructed using a heuristic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Zahra Shahriari , Shannon Dee Algar , David M. Walker , Michael Small
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