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With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

Model trees provide an appealing way to perform interpretable machine learning for both classification and regression problems. In contrast to ``classic'' decision trees with constant values in their leaves, model trees can use linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Sabino Francesco Roselli , Eibe Frank

This study compares various superlearner and deep learning architectures (machine-learning-based and neural-network-based) for classification problems across several simulated and industrial datasets to assess performance and computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-23 Colleen M. Farrelly

In the early days of machine learning (ML), the emphasis was on developing complex algorithms to achieve best predictive performance. To understand and explain the model results, one had to rely on post hoc explainability techniques, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-26 Linwei Hu , Vijayan N. Nair , Agus Sudjianto , Aijun Zhang , Jie Chen

Daily streamflow forecasting through data-driven approaches is traditionally performed using a single machine learning algorithm. Existing applications are mostly restricted to examination of few case studies, not allowing accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-24 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous , Andreas Langousis

Data-driven models are central to scientific discovery. In efforts to achieve state-of-the-art model accuracy, researchers are employing increasingly complex machine learning algorithms that often outperform simple regressions in…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-12-21 Eric S. Muckley , James E. Saal , Bryce Meredig , Christopher S. Roper , John H. Martin

This article provides an overview of Supervised Machine Learning (SML) with a focus on applications to banking. The SML techniques covered include Bagging (Random Forest or RF), Boosting (Gradient Boosting Machine or GBM) and Neural…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-11 Linwei Hu , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Hanyu Yang , Kelly Wang , Agus Sudjianto , Vijayan N. Nair

Machine learning qualifies computers to assimilate with data, without being solely programmed [1, 2]. Machine learning can be classified as supervised and unsupervised learning. In supervised learning, computers learn an objective that…

This paper considers semi-supervised learning for tabular data. It is widely known that Xgboost based on tree model works well on the heterogeneous features while transductive support vector machine can exploit the low density separation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Zhiguo Wang , Liusha Yang , Feng Yin , Ke Lin , Qingjiang Shi , Zhi-Quan Luo

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Deep learning models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in many classification tasks. However, most of them cannot provide an interpretation for their classification results. Machine learning models that are interpretable are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Miles Q. Li , Benjamin C. M. Fung , Adel Abusitta

Accurate prediction of main engine power is essential for vessel performance optimization, fuel efficiency, and compliance with emission regulations. Conventional machine learning approaches, such as Support Vector Machines, variants of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Orfeas Bourchas , George Papalambrou

The best-performing models in ML are not interpretable. If we can explain why they outperform, we may be able to replicate these mechanisms and obtain both interpretability and performance. One example are decision trees and their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-09 Hugh Panton , Gavin Leech , Laurence Aitchison

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize inventory management and minimize costs. This study evaluates statistical baselines, tree-based ensembles (XGBoost and LightGBM), and deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Lidija Polutnik , Ante Kapetanovic

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

Most real-world classification problems deal with imbalanced datasets, posing a challenge for Artificial Intelligence (AI), i.e., machine learning algorithms, because the minority class, which is of extreme interest, often proves difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Gissel Velarde , Michael Weichert , Anuj Deshmunkh , Sanjay Deshmane , Anindya Sudhir , Khushboo Sharma , Vaibhav Joshi

Gradient boosting for decision tree algorithms are increasingly used in actuarial applications as they show superior predictive performance over traditional generalised linear models. Many enhancements to the first gradient boosting machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Dominik Chevalier , Marie-Pier Côté

As machine learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, the need for interpretability has grown to meet strict regulatory and accountability constraints. Despite this interest, systematic evaluations of inherently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Mattia Billa , Giovanni Orlandi , Veronica Guidetti , Federica Mandreoli

Random Forests (RF) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) are two of the most widely used and highly performing classification and regression models. They aggregate equally weighted CART trees, generated randomly in RF or sequentially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Yubing Cui

Materials data, especially those related to high-temperature properties, pose significant challenges for machine learning models due to extreme skewness, wide feature ranges, modality, and complex relationships. While traditional models…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-09-22 Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave