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A principal designs an algorithm that generates a publicly observable prediction of a binary state. She must decide whether to act directly based on the prediction or to delegate the decision to an agent with private information but…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-22 Ruqing Xu

Robotic collectives are large groups (at least 50) of locally sensing and communicating robots that encompass characteristics of swarms and colonies, whose emergent behaviors accomplish complex tasks. Future human-collective teams will…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Jason R. Cody , Karina A. Roundtree , Julie A. Adams

We present a framework for learning human user models from joint-action demonstrations that enables the robot to compute a robust policy for a collaborative task with a human. The learning takes place completely automatically, without any…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-06-15 Stefanos Nikolaidis , Keren Gu , Ramya Ramakrishnan , Julie Shah

LLMs are emerging tools for simulating human behavior in business, economics, and social science, offering a lower-cost complement to laboratory experiments, field studies, and surveys. This paper evaluates how well LLMs replicate human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Runze Zhang , Xiaowei Zhang , Mingyang Zhao

We cast episodic Markov decision process (MDP) planning as Bayesian inference over policies. A policy is treated as the latent variable and is assigned an unnormalized probability of optimality that is monotone in its expected return,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 David Tolpin

The study of human-robot interaction is fundamental to the design and use of robotics in real-world applications. Robots will need to predict and adapt to the actions of human collaborators in order to achieve good performance and improve…

Social dilemmas are situations in which collective interests are at odds with private interests: pollution, depletion of natural resources, and intergroup conflicts, are at their core social dilemmas. Because of their multidisciplinarity…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-18 Valerio Capraro

When inferring the goals that others are trying to achieve, people intuitively understand that others might make mistakes along the way. This is crucial for activities such as teaching, offering assistance, and deciding between blame or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Arwa Alanqary , Gloria Z. Lin , Joie Le , Tan Zhi-Xuan , Vikash K. Mansinghka , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

State of the art large language models (LLMs) have shown impressive performance on a variety of benchmark tasks and are increasingly used as components in larger applications, where LLM-based predictions serve as proxies for human…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Michael Franke , Polina Tsvilodub , Fausto Carcassi

Humanoids have the potential to be the ideal embodiment in environments designed for humans. Thanks to the structural similarity to the human body, they benefit from rich sources of demonstration data, e.g., collected via teleoperation,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Oleg Kaidanov , Firas Al-Hafez , Yusuf Suvari , Boris Belousov , Jan Peters

As we discussed in Part I of this topic, there is a clear desire to model and comprehend human behavior. Given the popular presupposition of human reasoning as the standard for learning and decision-making, there have been significant…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Andrew Fuchs , Andrea Passarella , Marco Conti

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

Humans learn from observations and experiences to adjust their behaviours towards better performance. Interacting with such dynamic humans is challenging, as the robot needs to predict the humans accurately for safe and efficient…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Yuwen Liao , Muqing Cao , Xinhang Xu , Lihua Xie

Understanding human driving behavior is important for autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we propose an interpretable human behavior model in interactive driving scenarios based on the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). As a non-expected…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Liting Sun , Wei Zhan , Yeping Hu , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Many studies have shown that there are regularities in the way human beings make decisions. However, our ability to obtain models that capture such regularities and can accurately predict unobserved decisions is still limited. We tackle…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-11 Gael Poux-Medard , Sergio Cobo-Lopez , Jordi Duch , Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo

The indeterminate nature of human motion requires trajectory prediction systems to use a probabilistic model to formulate the multi-modality phenomenon and infer a finite set of future trajectories. However, the inference processes of most…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Guangyi Chen , Zhenhao Chen , Shunxing Fan , Kun Zhang

Stochastic human motion prediction (HMP) has generally been tackled with generative adversarial networks and variational autoencoders. Most prior works aim at predicting highly diverse movements in terms of the skeleton joints' dispersion.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-03 German Barquero , Sergio Escalera , Cristina Palmero

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Geoff A. Jarrad

Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present prediction deviation, a new metric of uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-08 Benjamin Letham , Portia A. Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne
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