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Electron temperature (Te) is an important parameter governing space weather in the upper atmosphere, but has historically been underexplored in the space weather machine learning literature. We present CLARE, a machine learning model for…

Space Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Michael Liang , Blake DeHaas , Naomi Maruyama , Xiangning Chu , Takumi Abe , Koh-Ichiro Oyama

Climate predictions are only meaningful if the associated uncertainty is reliably estimated. A standard practice for providing climate projections is to use an ensemble of projections. The ensemble mean serves as the projection while the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-16 Ehud Strobach , Golan Bel

Winds play an essential role in the climate system. In this study, we analyze the global pattern of the diurnal cycle of surface (10 m) winds from the ERA5 reanalysis data. We find that over the land and especially over sand dune regions,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-14 Yosef Ashkenazy , Hezi Yizhaq

Estimating background-error covariances remains a core challenge in variational data assimilation (DA). Operational systems typically approximate these covariances by transformations that separate geostrophically balanced components from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Boštjan Melinc , Uroš Perkan , Žiga Zaplotnik

The climate version Eta CCS, prepared from the NCEP Eta forecast model, was integrated over South America for the period from January 1979 to December 1983. The model was driven by the two sets of boundary conditions derived from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-13 I. A. Pisnichenko , T. A. Tarasova

The paper deals with an empirical validation of a building thermal model. We put the emphasis on sensitivity analysis and on research of inputs/residual correlation to improve our model. In this article, we apply a sensitivity analysis…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-12-26 T. A. Mara , F. Garde , H. Boyer , M. Mamode

The total electron content (TEC) over the Iberian Peninsula was modelled using PCA-MRM models based on decomposition of the observed TEC series using the principal component analysis (PCA) and reconstruction of the daily modes amplitudes by…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-11 Anna L. Morozova , Teresa Barata , Tatiana Barlyaeva

The series of mean daily temperature of air recorded over a period of 215 years is used for analysing the dimensionality and the predictability of the atmospheric system. The total number of data points of the series is 78527. Other 37…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-28 Ales Raidl

Air pollution is a major problem today that causes serious damage to human health. Urban areas are the most affected by the degradation of air quality caused by anthropogenic gas emissions. Although there are multiple proposals for air…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Badr-Eddine Boudriki Semlali , Chaker El Amrani , Guadalupe Ortiz , Juan Boubeta-Puig , Alfonso Garcia-de-Prado

Global data assimilation enables weather forecasting at all scales and provides valuable data for studying the Earth system. However, the computational demands of physics-based algorithms used in operational systems limits the volume and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Thomas J. Vandal , Kate Duffy , Daniel McDuff , Yoni Nachmany , Chris Hartshorn

Cherenkov telescope experiments, such as H.E.S.S., have been very successful in astronomical observations in the very-high-energy (VHE; E $>$ 100 GeV) regime. As an integral part of the detector, such experiments use Earth's atmosphere as a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-02-05 J. Hahn , R. de los Reyes , K. Bernlöhr , P. Krüger , Y. T. E. Lo , P. M. Chadwick , M. K. Daniel , C. Deil , H. Gast , K. Kosack , V. Marandon

The availability of weather data from remotely sensed Earth observation (EO) data has reduced the cost of including weather variables in econometric models. Weather variables are common instrumental variables used to predict economic…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-13 Anna Josephson , Jeffrey D. Michler , Talip Kilic , Siobhan Murray

``Online" data assimilation (DA) is used to generate a new seasonal-resolution reanalysis dataset over the last millennium by combining forecasts from an ocean--atmosphere--sea-ice coupled linear inverse model with climate proxy records.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-27 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Eric J. Steig

This paper describes how to analyze the influence of Earth system variables on the errors when providing temperature forecasts. The initial framework to get the data has been based on previous research work, which resulted in a very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 M. Julia Flores , Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez , Ana Bastos , René Orth

Underflight maneuvers provide a unique opportunity to harmonize calibration of on-orbit sensors. Due to their similar sensor technologies, their near-identical transmission profiles, orbital properties and platform operations, the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-24 Sarah E. Kay , Brian N. Wenny

Clouds' efficiency at reflecting solar radiation and trapping the terrestrial one is strongly modulated by their diurnal cycle. Much attention has been paid to mean cloud properties due to their critical role in climate projections;…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-03-06 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato

This study presents a comprehensive climatological benchmarking of tropical cyclones (TCs) generated by AI-based global weather prediction models. Using all TC events from the North Atlantic and Western Pacific basins between 2020 and 2025,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Yanmo Weng , Avantika Gori

Machine learning models for the global atmosphere that are capable of producing stable, multi-year simulations of Earth's climate have recently been developed. However, the ability of these ML models to generalize beyond the training…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 Bosong Zhang , Timothy M. Merlis

Data assimilation procedures have been developed for thermospheric models using satellite density measurements as part of the EU Framework Package 7 ATMOP Project. Two models were studied; one a general circulation model, TIEGCM, and the…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-05-15 Sophie A. Murray , Edmund M. Henley , David R. Jackson , Sean L. Bruinsma

High-resolution climatic data are essential to many applications in environmental research. Here we develop a new semi-mechanistic downscaling approach for daily precipitation that incorporates high resolution (30 arc sec) satellite-derived…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-13 Dirk Nikolaus Karger , Adam M. Wilson , Colin Mahony , Niklaus E. Zimmermann , Walter Jetz
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