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We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

We present a new strategy for learning the functional relation between a pair of variables, while addressing inhomogeneities in the correlation structure of the available data, by modelling the sought function as a sample function of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-22 Gargi Roy , Dalia Chakrabarty

Link prediction aims to reveal missing edges in a graph. We address this task with a Gaussian process that is transformed using simplified graph convolutions to better leverage the inductive bias of the domain. To scale the Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Felix L. Opolka , Pietro Liò

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric Bayesian regression models that allow exact posterior inference, but exhibit high computational and memory costs. In order to improve scalability of GPs, approximate posterior inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Franz Pernkopf , Carl E. Rasmussen

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

Quasi-periodicity refers to a pattern in a function where it appears periodic but has evolving amplitudes over time. This is often the case in practical settings such as the modeling of case counts of infectious disease or the carbon…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-18 Ziang Zhang , Patrick Brown , Jamie Stafford

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a popular approach to predict the output of a parameterized experiment. They have many applications in the field of Computer Experiments, in particular to perform sensitivity analysis, adaptive design of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Hossein Mohammadi , Rodolphe Le Riche , Nicolas Durrande , Eric Touboul , Xavier Bay

Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 A'yunin Sofro , Jian Qing Shi , Chunzheng Cao

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-10 Marton Havasi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

Recently, 3D Gaussian Splatting has emerged as a promising approach for modeling 3D scenes using mixtures of Gaussians. The predominant optimization method for these models relies on backpropagating gradients through a differentiable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Toon Van de Maele , Ozan Catal , Alexander Tschantz , Christopher L. Buckley , Tim Verbelen

Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-08 Yaman Kındap , Simon Godsill

To enable closed form conditioning, a common assumption in Gaussian process (GP) regression is independent and identically distributed Gaussian observation noise. This strong and simplistic assumption is often violated in practice, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Matias Altamirano , François-Xavier Briol , Jeremias Knoblauch

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful interpolation technique due to its flexibility in capturing non-linearity. In this paper, we provide a general framework for understanding the frequentist coverage of point-wise and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-17 Yun Yang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Transformed Gaussian Processes (TGPs) are stochastic processes specified by transforming samples from the joint distribution from a prior process (typically a GP) using an invertible transformation; increasing the flexibility of the base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Francisco Javier Sáez-Maldonado , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Latent Gaussian process (GP) models are flexible probabilistic non-parametric function models. Vecchia approximations are accurate approximations for GPs to overcome computational bottlenecks for large data, and the Laplace approximation is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-09 Pascal Kündig , Fabio Sigrist

Some scenarios require the computation of a predictive distribution of a new value evaluated on an objective function conditioned on previous observations. We are interested on using a model that makes valid assumptions on the objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Lucia Asencio-Martín , Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

While much research effort has been dedicated to scaling up sparse Gaussian process (GP) models based on inducing variables for big data, little attention is afforded to the other less explored class of low-rank GP approximations that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Quang Minh Hoang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low

Online Gaussian processes (GPs), typically used for learning models from time-series data, are more flexible and robust than offline GPs. Both local and sparse approximations of GPs can efficiently learn complex models online. Yet, these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Wei Li , Zhiwen Li , Yiqi Liu , Yongping Pan
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