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In this paper, we derive a general asymptotic implied volatility at the first-order for any stochastic volatility model using the heat kernel expansion on a Riemann manifold endowed with an Abelian connection. This formula is particularly…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Pierre Henry-Labordere

Accurately characterizing the implied volatility curves is a central challenge in option pricing and risk management. The classical SABR model by Hagan et al. has been widely adopted in practice due to its well-defined stochastic volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Wenxuan Zhang , Zhouchi Lin , Benzhuo Lu

It is a market practice to express market-implied volatilities in some parametric form. The most popular parametrizations are based on or inspired by an underlying stochastic model, like the Heston model (SVI method) or the SABR model (SABR…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Nicola F. Zaugg , Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak

Stochastic volatility models that treat the variance of a time series as a stochastic process have proven to be important tools for analyzing dynamic variability. Current methods for fitting and conducting inference on stochastic volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Gehui Zhang , Gong Tang , Lori Scott , Robert T Krafty

The implied volatility is a crucial element of any financial toolbox, since it is used for quoting and the hedging of options as well as for model calibration. In contrast to the Black-Scholes formula its inverse, the implied volatility, is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-06 Kathrin Glau , Paul Herold , Dilip B. Madan , Christian Pötz

This paper proposes a hybrid methodology to improve the approximation of SABR (Stochastic Alpha Beta Rho) implied volatility by combining analytical structure with machine learning. The approach augments the neural-network input…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-08 Adil Reghai , Lama Tarsissi , Gérard Biau , Alex Lipton

Statistical models are central to machine learning with broad applicability across a range of downstream tasks. The models are controlled by free parameters that are typically estimated from data by maximum-likelihood estimation or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Vaidotas Simkus , Benjamin Rhodes , Michael U. Gutmann

Missing data is a common problem in finance and often requires methods to fill in the gaps, or in other words, imputation. In this work, we focused on the imputation of missing implied volatilities for FX options. Prior work has used…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Achintya Gopal

In this short note, using our geometric method introduced in a previous paper \cite{phl} and initiated by \cite{ave}, we derive an asymptotic swaption implied volatility at the first-order for a general stochastic volatility Libor Market…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Pierre Henry-Labordere

In order to overcome the drawbacks of assuming deterministic volatility coefficients in the standard LIBOR market models to capture volatility smiles and skews in real markets, several extensions of LIBOR models to incorporate stochastic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-06 A. M. Ferreiro , J. A. García , J. G. López-Salas , C. Vázquez

Missing data persists as a major barrier to data analysis across numerous applications. Recently, deep generative models have been used for imputation of missing data, motivated by their ability to capture highly non-linear and complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Breeshey Roskams-Hieter , Jude Wells , Sara Wade

We study caplet stripping, the problem of recovering a caplet volatility term structure consistent with quoted cap volatilities. Many academic papers on the Libor market model assume caplet volatilities are readily available, whereas…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Fabien Le Floc'h

We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-17 Petteri Piiroinen , Lassi Roininen , Tobias Schoden , Martin Simon

Implied volatilities form a well-known structure of smile or surface which accommodates the Bachelier model and observed market prices of interest rate options. For the swaptions that we study, three parameters are taken into account for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-04 Jinglun Yao , Sabine Laurent , Brice Bénaben

State space models (SSMs) are widely used to describe dynamic systems. However, when the likelihood of the observations is intractable, parameter inference for SSMs cannot be easily carried out using standard Markov chain Monte Carlo or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-21 Zhaoran Hou , Samuel W. K. Wong

We propose a copula based method to handle missing values in multivariate data of mixed types in multilevel data sets. Building upon the extended rank likelihood of \cite{hoff2007extending} and the multinomial probit model, our model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Jiali Wang , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld , Alan H. Welsh

We treat implied volatility surface (IVS) reconstruction as a learning problem guided by two principles. First, we adopt a meta-learning view that trains across trading days to learn a procedure that maps sparse option quotes to a full IVS…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-30 Jirong Zhuang , Xuan Wu

For the calibration of the parameters in static and dynamic SABR stochastic volatility models, we propose the application of the GPU technology to the Simulated Annealing global optimization algorithm and to the Monte Carlo simulation. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-01 J. L. Fernández , A. M. Ferreiro , J. A. García , A. Leitao , J. G. López-Salas , C. Vázquez

We describe a high performance parallel implementation of a derivative pricing model, within which we introduce a new parallel method for the calibration of the industry standard SABR (stochastic-\alpha \beta \rho) stochastic volatility…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2013-01-15 Qasim Nasar-Ullah

This study introduces a SABR-informed multitask Gaussian process for constructing implied volatility surfaces from sparse option quotes. We treat a dense synthetic dataset generated by a calibrated SABR model as the source task and market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-25 Jirong Zhuang , Xuan Wu
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