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The entropic risk measure is widely used in high-stakes decision-making across economics, management science, finance, and safety-critical control systems because it captures tail risks associated with uncertain losses. However, when data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Utsav Sadana , Erick Delage , Angelos Georghiou

We study the bootstrap for the maxima of the sums of independent random variables, a problem of high relevance to many applications in modern statistics. Since the consistency of bootstrap was justified by Gaussian approximation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Hang Deng

In this paper we propose a novel procedure to construct a confidence interval for multivariate time series predictions using long short term memory network. The construction uses a few novel block bootstrap techniques. We also propose an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Aryan Bhambu , Arabin Kumar Dey

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating treatment effects, and randomization serves as a reasoned basis for inference. In widely used stratified randomized experiments, randomization-based finite-population asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Haoyang Yu , Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu

In this paper we study a bootstrap strategy for estimating the variance of a mean taken over large multifactor crossed random effects data sets. We apply bootstrap reweighting independently to the levels of each factor, giving each…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Art B. Owen , Dean Eckles

We consider the construction of confidence intervals for treatment effects estimated using panel models with interactive fixed effects. We first use the factor-based matrix completion technique proposed by Bai and Ng (2021) to estimate the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 Xingyu Li , Yan Shen , Qiankun Zhou

This paper is an attempt to set a justification for making use of some dicrepancy indexes, starting from the classical Maximum Likelihood definition, and adapting the corresponding basic principle of inference to situations where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Michel Broniatowski

With network data becoming ubiquitous in many applications, many models and algorithms for network analysis have been proposed. Yet methods for providing uncertainty estimates in addition to point estimates of network parameters are much…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Qianhua Shan , Elizaveta Levina

We show that, when the double bootstrap is used to improve performance of bootstrap methods for bias correction, techniques based on using a single double-bootstrap sample for each single-bootstrap sample can be particularly effective. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-12 Jinyuan Chang , Peter Hall

The identification of causal effects in observational studies typically relies on two standard assumptions: unconfoundedness and overlap. However, both assumptions are often questionable in practice: unconfoundedness is inherently…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Han Cui , Xinran Li

This paper presents approximate confidence intervals for each function of parameters in a Banach space based on a bootstrap algorithm. We apply kernel density approach to estimate the persistence landscape. In addition, we evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Soroush Pakniat , Farzad Eskandari

When comparing the average citation impact of research groups, universities and countries, field normalisation reduces the influence of discipline and time. Confidence intervals for these indicators can help with attempts to infer whether…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-03-24 Mike Thelwall , Ruth Fairclough

Presence of missing values in a dataset can adversely affect the performance of a classifier. Single and Multiple Imputation are normally performed to fill in the missing values. In this paper, we present several variants of combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Shehroz S. Khan , Amir Ahmad , Alex Mihailidis

Analysis of a probabilistic system often requires to learn the joint probability distribution of its random variables. The computation of the exact distribution is usually an exhaustive precise analysis on all executions of the system. To…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Fabrizio Biondi , Yusuke Kawamoto , Axel Legay , Louis-Marie Traonouez

This paper proposes a new non-parametric bootstrap method to quantify the uncertainty of average treatment effect estimate for the treated from matching estimators. More specifically, it seeks to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Jing Li

There is an increasing amount of literature focused on Bayesian computational methods to address problems with intractable likelihood. One approach is a set of algorithms known as Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods. One of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-27 Weixuan Zhu , Juan Miguel Marin , Fabrizio Leisen

In this paper, we address the problem of conducting statistical inference in settings involving large-scale data that may be high-dimensional and contaminated by outliers. The high volume and dimensionality of the data require distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Emadaldin Mozafari-Majd , Visa Koivunen

High-dimensional linear models with endogenous variables play an increasingly important role in recent econometric literature. In this work we allow for models with many endogenous variables and many instrument variables to achieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-30 Alexandre Belloni , Christian Hansen , Whitney Newey

This paper introduces a local optimization-based approach to test statistical hypotheses and to construct confidence intervals. This approach can be viewed as an extension of bootstrap, and yields asymptotically valid tests and confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Shifeng Xiong
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