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Accurate uncertainty quantification is necessary to enhance the reliability of deep learning models in real-world applications. In the case of regression tasks, prediction intervals (PIs) should be provided along with the deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Giorgio Morales , John W. Sheppard

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Due to the recurrent structure of RNN, the long information propagation path poses limitations in capturing long-term dependencies, gradient explosion/vanishing issues, and inefficient sequential execution. Based on this, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Yuxin Jia , Youfang Lin , Jing Yu , Shuo Wang , Tianhao Liu , Huaiyu Wan

Heterogeneous Graph Neural Networks (HGNNs) are powerful tools for deep learning on heterogeneous graphs. Typical HGNNs require repetitive message passing during training, limiting efficiency for large-scale real-world graphs. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Jun Hu , Bryan Hooi , Bingsheng He

Time series forecasting has attracted significant attention, leading to the de-velopment of a wide range of approaches, from traditional statistical meth-ods to advanced deep learning models. Among them, the Auto-Regressive Integrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Thanh Son Nguyen , Van Thanh Nguyen , Dang Minh Duc Nguyen

Time series forecasting has seen many methods attempted over the past few decades, including traditional technical analysis, algorithmic statistical models, and more recent machine learning and artificial intelligence approaches. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Harshal Patel , Bharath Kumar Bolla , Sabeesh E , Dinesh Reddy

Predicting the future motion of traffic agents is crucial for safe and efficient autonomous driving. To this end, we present PredictionNet, a deep neural network (DNN) that predicts the motion of all surrounding traffic agents together with…

Many real-world time series, such as in health, have changepoints where the system's structure or parameters change. Since changepoints can indicate critical events such as onset of illness, it is highly important to detect them. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Zahra Ebrahimzadeh , Min Zheng , Selcuk Karakas , Samantha Kleinberg

Modeling natural phenomena with artificial neural networks (ANNs) often provides highly accurate predictions. However, ANNs often suffer from over-parameterization, complicating interpretation and raising uncertainty issues. Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Eirik Høyheim , Lars Skaaret-Lund , Solve Sæbø , Aliaksandr Hubin

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial in many application domains such as retail, ecommerce, finance, or biology. With the increasing availability of large volumes of data, a number of neural architectures have been proposed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Data-driven approaches for medium-range weather forecasting are recently shown extraordinarily promising for ensemble forecasting for their fast inference speed compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, but their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Yuan Hu , Lei Chen , Zhibin Wang , Hao Li

Accurately predicting the prices of financial time series is essential and challenging for the financial sector. Owing to recent advancements in deep learning techniques, deep learning models are gradually replacing traditional statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

The paper presents a novel approach, based on deep learning, for diagnosis of Parkinson's disease through medical imaging. The approach includes analysis and use of the knowledge extracted by Deep Convolutional and Recurrent Neural Networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 James Wingate , Ilianna Kollia , Luc Bidaut , Stefanos Kollias

A key challenge in medical decision making is learning treatment policies for patients with limited observational data. This challenge is particularly evident in personalized healthcare decision-making, where models need to take into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Vrishabh Patil , Kara Hoppe , Yonatan Mintz

Neural Networks (NNs) have been widely {used in supervised learning} due to their ability to model complex nonlinear patterns, often presented in high-dimensional data such as images and text. However, traditional NNs often lack the ability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Jiayu Huang , Yutian Pang , Yongming Liu , Hao Yan

Industrial forecasting often involves multi-source asynchronous signals and multi-output targets, while deployment requires explicit trade-offs between prediction error and model complexity. Current practices typically fix alignment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Yumeng Zha , Shengxiang Yang , Xianpeng Wang

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important yet challenging problem in machine learning. Most existing approaches only forecast the series value of one future moment, ignoring the interactions between predictions of future moments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Jiezhu Cheng , Kaizhu Huang , Zibin Zheng

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

While Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve state-of-the-art accuracy in various applications, they often fall short in accurately estimating their predictive uncertainty and, in turn, fail to recognize when these predictions may be wrong.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Ankur Mallick , Chaitanya Dwivedi , Bhavya Kailkhura , Gauri Joshi , T. Yong-Jin Han

Time series prediction with missing values is an important problem of time series analysis since complete data is usually hard to obtain in many real-world applications. To model the generation of time series, autoregressive (AR) model is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Xi Chen , Hongzhi Wang , Yanjie Wei , Jianzhong Li , Hong Gao
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