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Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Though deep learning has achieved advanced performance recently, it remains a challenging task in the field of medical imaging, as obtaining reliable labeled training data is time-consuming and expensive. In this paper, we propose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Yixin Wang , Yao Zhang , Jiang Tian , Cheng Zhong , Zhongchao Shi , Yang Zhang , Zhiqiang He

Domain generalization is challenging due to the domain shift and the uncertainty caused by the inaccessibility of target domain data. In this paper, we address both challenges with a probabilistic framework based on variational Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Zehao Xiao , Jiayi Shen , Xiantong Zhen , Ling Shao , Cees G. M. Snoek

We present a method for learning treewidth-bounded Bayesian networks from data sets containing thousands of variables. Bounding the treewidth of a Bayesian greatly reduces the complexity of inferences. Yet, being a global property of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Mauro Scanagatta , Giorgio Corani , Cassio P. de Campos , Marco Zaffalon

Recent deep learning approaches focus on improving quantitative scores of dedicated benchmarks, and therefore only reduce the observation-related (aleatoric) uncertainty. However, the model-immanent (epistemic) uncertainty is less…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Dominik Narnhofer , Alexander Effland , Erich Kobler , Kerstin Hammernik , Florian Knoll , Thomas Pock

Convolutional Neural Networks have demonstrated dermatologist-level performance in the classification of melanoma from skin lesion images, but prediction irregularities due to biases seen within the training data are an issue that should be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Peter J. Bevan , Amir Atapour-Abarghouei

We propose the use of Bayesian networks, which provide both a mean value and an uncertainty estimate as output, to enhance the safety of learned control policies under circumstances in which a test-time input differs significantly from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Keuntaek Lee , Kamil Saigol , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Trustworthy ML systems should not only return accurate predictions, but also a reliable representation of their uncertainty. Bayesian methods are commonly used to quantify both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, but alternative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Mira Jürgens , Nis Meinert , Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

This dissertation explores the impact of bias in deep neural networks and presents methods for reducing its influence on model performance. The first part begins by categorizing and describing potential sources of bias and errors in data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Agnieszka Mikołajczyk-Bareła

When the cost of misclassifying a sample is high, it is useful to have an accurate estimate of uncertainty in the prediction for that sample. There are also multiple types of uncertainty which are best estimated in different ways, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Richard Harang , Ethan M. Rudd

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang

Applications of neural networks to data analyses in natural sciences are complicated by the fact that many inputs are subject to systematic uncertainties. To control the dependence of the neural network function to variations of the input…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-25 Stefan Wunsch , Simon Jörger , Roger Wolf , Günter Quast

A recent study has shown that large-scale visual datasets are very biased: they can be easily classified by modern neural networks. However, the concrete forms of bias among these datasets remain unclear. In this study, we propose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Boya Zeng , Yida Yin , Zhuang Liu

We propose a novel method for closed-form predictive distribution modeling with neural nets. In quantifying prediction uncertainty, we build on Evidential Deep Learning, which has been impactful as being both simple to implement and giving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-22 Manuel Haussmann , Sebastian Gerwinn , Melih Kandemir

Deep Bayesian neural network has aroused a great attention in recent years since it combines the benefits of deep neural network and probability theory. Because of this, the network can make predictions and quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Yikuan Li , Yajie Zhu

Recent methods for deep metric learning have been focusing on designing different contrastive loss functions between positive and negative pairs of samples so that the learned feature embedding is able to pull positive samples of the same…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Shichao Kan , Zhiquan He , Yigang Cen , Yang Li , Vladimir Mladenovic , Zhihai He

Assumptions about invariances or symmetries in data can significantly increase the predictive power of statistical models. Many commonly used models in machine learning are constraint to respect certain symmetries in the data, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tycho F. A. van der Ouderaa , Mark van der Wilk

Datasets are rarely a realistic approximation of the target population. Say, prevalence is misrepresented, image quality is above clinical standards, etc. This mismatch is known as sampling bias. Sampling biases are a major hindrance for…

In machine learning, a bias occurs whenever training sets are not representative for the test data, which results in unreliable models. The most common biases in data are arguably class imbalance and covariate shift. In this work, we aim to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-04 Patrick Glauner , Radu State , Petko Valtchev , Diogo Duarte
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