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Many wind speed forecasting approaches have been proposed in literature. In this paper a new statistical approach for jointly predicting wind speed, wind direction and air pressure is introduced. The wind direction and the air pressure are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-14 Daniel Ambach , Wolfgang Schmid

Wind is one kind of high-efficient, environmentally-friendly and cost-effective energy source. Wind power, as one of the largest renewable energy in the world, has been playing a more and more important role in supplying electricity. Though…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Wei Fan , Yanjie Fu , Shun Zheng , Jiang Bian , Yuanchun Zhou , Hui Xiong

The high penetration of volatile renewable energy sources such as solar make methods for coping with the uncertainty associated with them of paramount importance. Probabilistic forecasts are an example of these methods, as they assist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Vinayak Sharma , Jorge Angel Gonzalez Ordiano , Ralf Mikut , Umit Cali

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

Because of the global need to increase power production from renewable energy resources, developments in the online monitoring of the associated infrastructure is of interest to reduce operation and maintenance costs. However, challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Simon M. Brealy , Lawrence A. Bull , Pauline Beltrando , Anders Sommer , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Different machine learning (ML) models are trained on SCADA and meteorological data collected at an onshore wind farm and then assessed in terms of fidelity and accuracy for predictions of wind speed, turbulence intensity, and power capture…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-06 C. Moss , R. Maulik , G. V. Iungo

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu

The rapid growth of the wind energy sector underscores the urgent need to optimize turbine operations and ensure effective maintenance through early fault detection systems. While traditional empirical and physics-based models offer…

The prediction of wind speed is one of the most important aspects when dealing with renewable energy. In this paper we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an indexed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Renewable energy generation is of utmost importance for global decarbonization. Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent uncertainty in wind energy generation, which depends on weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Lucas English , Mahdi Abolghasemi

In a growing renewable based energy system, accurate and reliable wind power forecasts are crucial for grid stability, balancing supply and demand and market risk management. Even though short-term weather forecasts have been thoroughly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

We evaluate the following Machine Learning techniques for Green Energy (Wind, Solar) Prediction: Bayesian Inference, Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines, Clustering techniques (PCA). Our objective is to predict green energy using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Ankur Sahai

Wind energy has an inherent intermittent character due to certain inevitable factors of nature, such as availability of wind at different weather conditions, wind direction etc. To study the intermittent character of wind energy, its daily…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-30 Sayantan Chakraborty , Sourav Samanta , Shukla Samanta , Dipak Ghosh , Kumardeb Banerjee

Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

The efficient placement of wind turbines relies on accurate local wind speed forecasts. Climate projections provide valuable insight into long-term wind speed conditions, yet their spatial data resolution is typically insufficient for…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-12 Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

A 'nowcast' is a type of weather forecast which makes predictions in the very short term, typically less than two hours - a period in which traditional numerical weather prediction can be limited. This type of weather prediction has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-12 Rachel Prudden , Samantha Adams , Dmitry Kangin , Niall Robinson , Suman Ravuri , Shakir Mohamed , Alberto Arribas

Wind power forecasting is essential to power system operation and electricity markets. As abundant data became available thanks to the deployment of measurement infrastructures and the democratization of meteorological modelling, extensive…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin