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During an infectious disease outbreak, providing accurate answers to policy questions about transmission requires a detailed model of the natural history of infectiousness. Unfortunately, direct measures of infectiousness are generally…

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been mutating since it was first sequenced in early January 2020. The genetic variants have developed into a few distinct clusters with different properties. Since the…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Rui Wang , Jiahui Chen , Kaifu Gao , Yuta Hozumi , Changchuan Yin , Guo-Wei Wei

Recognising changes in collective dynamics in complex systems is essential for predicting potential events and their development. Possessing intrinsic attractors with laws associated with scale invariance, self-organised critical dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-26 Bosiljka Tadic , Alexander Shapoval , Mikhail Shnirman

Recent experiments on cortical neural networks have revealed the existence of well-defined avalanches of electrical activity. Such avalanches have been claimed to be generically scale-invariant -- i.e. power-law distributed -- with many…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-18 Juan A. Bonachela , Sebastiano de Franciscis , Joaquin J. Torres , Miguel A. Munoz

Wastewater surveillance has proven to be a useful tool to monitor pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2 as it is a nonintrusive way to survey the potential disease burden of the population contributing to a sewershed. With the expansion of this…

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Charge transport in electrorheological fluids is studied experimentally under strongly nonequlibrium conditions. By injecting an electrical current into a suspension of conducting nanoparticles we are able to initiate a process of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Bezryadin , R. M. Westervelt , M. Tinkham

Self-adaptive dynamics occurs in many physical systems such as socio-economics, neuroscience, or biophysics. We formalize a self-adaptive modeling approach, where adaptation takes place within a set of strategies based on the history of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-01 Konstantin Clauß , Christian Kuehn

SARS-CoV-2 lineages are defined according to placement in a phylogenetic tree, but approximated by a list of mutations based on sequences collected from clinical sampling. Wastewater lineage abundance is generally found under the assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Devan Becker

A big class of viruses self-assemble from a large number of identical capsid proteins with long flexible N-terminal tails and ss RNA. We study the role of the strong Coulomb interaction of positive N-terminal tails with ss RNA in the…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Tao Hu , B. I. Shklovskii

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), a novel virus of beta coronavirus genus originated in Wuhan, China in December 2019, resulted in the pandemic spread of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) worldwide. This genus…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-17 Mohammed A. El-Magd

Viruses self-assemble from identical capsid proteins and their genome consisting, for example, of a long single stranded (ss) RNA. For a big class of T = 3 viruses capsid proteins have long positive N-terminal tails. We explore the role…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-26 Tao Hu , Rui Zhang , B. I. Shklovskii

Since its emergence, SARS-CoV-2 has demonstrated a rapid and unpredictable evolutionary trajectory, characterized by the continual emergence of immune-evasive variants. This poses persistent challenges to public health and vaccine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Xu Zou

Despite of the fast development of highly effective vaccines to control the current COVID$-$19 pandemic, the unequal distribution and availability of these vaccines worldwide and the number of people infected in the world lead to the…

We explore in the mean-field approximation the robustness with respect to dissipation of self-organized criticality in sandpile models. To this end, we generalize a recently introduced self-organized branching process, and show that the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Kent Bækgaard Lauritsen , Stefano Zapperi , H. Eugene Stanley

Neuronal networks can present activity described by power-law distributed avalanches presumed to be a signature of a critical state. Here we study a random-neighbor network of excitable cellular automata coupled by dynamical synapses. The…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-07-21 Ariadne de A. Costa , Mauro Copelli , Osame Kinouchi

This paper analyzes a simplified model of viral infection and evolution using the 'grand canonical ensemble' and formalisms from statistical mechanics and thermodynamics to enumerate all possible viruses and to derive thermodynamic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-08 Barbara A. Jones , Justin Lessler , Simone Bianco , James H. Kaufman

As the major target of many vaccines and neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, the spike (S) protein is observed to mutate over time. In this paper, we present statistical approaches to tackle some challenges associated with the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-02 Shiyu He , Samuel W. K. Wong

The fatality rate of Covid-19 escalates with age and is larger in men than women. I show that these variations correlate strongly with the level of the viral receptor protein ACE2 in rat lungs, which is consistent with the still limited and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-30 Ugo Bastolla

The reason of significantly higher transmissibility of SARS Covid (2019 CoV-2) compared to SARS Covid (2003 CoV) and MERS Covid (2012 MERS) can be attributed to mutations reported in structural proteins, and the role played by…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-25 Raju Hazari , P Pal Chaudhuri