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Related papers: Self-organized critical dynamics of RNA virus evol…

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In light of the continuing emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines, we create a simulation framework for exploring possible infection trajectories under various scenarios. The situations of primary interest involve the interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-10 Kory D. Johnson , Annemarie Grass , Daniel Toneian , Mathias Beiglböck , Jitka Polechová

This paper presents a critical analysis of the literature and perspective research ideas for modeling the epidemics caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. It goes beyond deterministic population dynamics to consider several key complexity features…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-24 Giulia Bertaglia , Andrea Bondesan , Diletta Burini , Raluca Eftimie , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic clock is ticking and the survival of many of mankind's modern institutions and or survival of many individuals is at stake. There is a need for treatments to significantly reduce the morbidity and mortality…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-08 Ali Ebrahimpour Boroojeny , Hamidreza Chitsaz

Although previous infection and vaccination provide protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection, both reinfection and breakthrough infection are possible events whose occurrence would increase with time after first exposure to the antigen and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-07 Ariel Félix Gualtieri , Carolina de la Cal , Augusto Francisco Toma , Pedro Hecht

Predicting the future evolutionary trajectory of SARS-CoV-2 remains a critical challenge, particularly due to the pivotal role of spike protein mutations. It is therefore essential to develop evolutionary models capable of continuously…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-06 Liaofu Luo , Jun Lv

In December 2019, a newly discovered SARS-CoV-2 virus was emerged from China and propagated worldwide as a pandemic. In the absence of preventive medicine or a ready to use vaccine, mathematical models can provide useful scientific insights…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Indrajit Ghosh

In this work, we aim to study that the dynamics behavior for cumulative number of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic can provide information on the overall behavior of the spread over daily time.The cumulative data can be synthesized in an empirical form…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-16 Hamieh Mohamad , Doumit Mary , Toufaily Joumana , Hamieh Tayssir

In winter of 2020, SARS-CoV-2 emerged as a global threat, impacting not only health but also financial and political stability. To address the societal need for monitoring the spread of SARS-CoV-2, many existing diagnostic technologies were…

A genome, composed of a precisely ordered sequence of four nucleotides (ATCG), encompasses a multitude of specific genome features like AAA motif. Mutations occurring within a genome disrupt the sequential order and composition of these…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-26 Anyou Wang

The SARS-CoV-2 RNA pseudoknot is a promising target for antiviral intervention, as it regulates the efficiency of $-$1 programmed ribosomal frameshifting ($-$1 PRF), a mechanism that is essential for viral protein synthesis. The pseudoknot…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Mariia Ivonina , Jakub Rydzewski

Accurate and reliable forecasting of emerging dominant severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants enables policymakers and vaccine makers to get prepared for future waves of infections. The last three waves of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Jiahui Chen , Rui Wang , Yuta Hozumi , Gengzhuo Liu , Yuchi Qiu , Xiaoqi Wei , Guo-Wei Wei

We consider the dynamics of a virus spreading through a population that produces a mutant strain with the ability to infect individuals that were infected with the established strain. Temporary cross-immunity is included using a time delay,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-16 Bruce Pell , Samantha Brozak , Tin Phan , Fuqing Wu , Yang Kuang

More than any other infectious disease epidemic, the COVID-19 pandemic has been characterized by the generation of large volumes of viral genomic data at an incredible pace due to recent advances in high-throughput sequencing technologies,…

The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly affected global health, driven by the remarkable transmissibility and mutational adaptability of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Although five variants of concern, Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and Omicron, have been…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-07 Bo Jing , Kai-Rui Zhang , Hong-Li Zeng , Erik Aurell

The widespread availability of large amounts of genomic data on the SARS-CoV-2 virus, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, has created an opportunity for researchers to analyze the disease at a level of detail unlike any virus before it.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Zahra Tayebi , Sarwan Ali , Murray Patterson

The current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is a harsh reminder of the fact that, whether in a single human host or a wave of infection across continents, viral dynamics is often a story about the numbers. In this snapshot, our aim is to provide a…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yinon M. Bar-On , Avi I. Flamholz , Rob Phillips , Ron Milo

The transmission and evolution of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are of paramount importance to the controlling and combating of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Currently, near 15,000 SARS-CoV-2…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-21 Rui Wang , Yuta Hozumi , Yong-Hui Zheng , Changchuan Yin , Guo-Wei Wei

Increasing number in global COVID-19 cases demands for mathematical model to analyze the interaction between the virus dynamics and the response of innate and adaptive immunity. Here, based on the assumption of a weak and delayed response…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-13 Zhengqing Zhou , Zhiheng Zhao , Shuyu Shi , Jianghua Wu , Dianjie Li , Jianwei Li , Jingpeng Zhang , Ke Gui , Yu Zhang , Heng Mei , Yu Hu , Qi Ouyang , Fangting Li

The emergence of new variants of SARS-CoV-2 is a major concern given their potential impact on the transmissibility and pathogenicity of the virus as well as the efficacy of therapeutic interventions. Here, we predict the mutability of all…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-11 Juan Rodriguez-Rivas , Giancarlo Croce , Maureen Muscat , Martin Weigt

The discovery of SARS-CoV-2, the responsible virus for the Covid-19 epidemic, has sparked a global health concern with many countries affected. Developing models that can interpret the epidemic and give common trend parameters are useful…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-21 Milad Radiom , Jean-Franccois Berret