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A pervasive challenge in neuroscience is testing whether neuronal connectivity changes over time due to specific causes, such as stimuli, events, or clinical interventions. Recent hardware innovations and falling data storage costs enable…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-05 Johan Medrano , Karl J. Friston , Peter Zeidman

We try to establish a unified information theoretic approach to learning and to explore some of its applications. First, we define {\em predictive information} as the mutual information between the past and the future of a time series,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ilya Nemenman

Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

The statistics of signal increments are commonly used in order to test for possible intermittent properties in experimental or synthetic data. However, for signals with steep power spectra [i.e., $E(\omega) \sim \omega^{-n}$ with $n \geq…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-07-26 Eric Falcon , S. G. Roux , Benjamin Audit

The human society is a very complex system; still, there are several non-trivial, general features. One type of them is the presence of power-law distributed quantities in temporal statistics. In this Letter, we focus on the origin of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Tao Zhou , Hoang Anh Tuan Kiet , Beom Jun Kim , Bing-Hong Wang , Petter Holme

In physics we often use very simple models to describe systems with many degrees of freedom, but it is not clear why or how this success can be transferred to the more complex biological context. We consider models for the joint…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-06 Luisa Ramirez , William Bialek , Stephanie E. Palmer , David J. Schwab

Neural scaling laws describe how model performance improves as a power law with size, but existing work focuses on models above 100M parameters. The sub-20M regime -- where TinyML and edge AI operate -- remains unexamined. We train 90…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Mohammed Alnemari , Rizwan Qureshi , Nader Begrazadah

More than one billion data sampled with different frequencies from several financial instruments were investigated with the aim of testing whether they involve power law. As a result, a known power law with the power exponent around -4 was…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Caglar Tuncay

In the experimental sciences, statistical power analyses are often used before data collection to determine the required sample size. However, traditional power analyses can be costly when data are difficult or expensive to collect. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Peiye Zhuang , Bliss Chapman , Ran Li , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

This Thesis explores how tools from Statistical Physics and Information Theory can help us describe and understand complex systems. In the first part, we study the interplay between internal interactions, environmental changes, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-01 Giorgio Nicoletti

Volume fluctuations are introduced in a statistical modelling of relativistic particle collisions. The micro-canonical ensemble is used, and the volume fluctuations are assumed to have the specific scaling properties. This leads to the KNO…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 V. V. Begun , M. Gaździcki , M. I. Gorenstein

As neural networks continue to grow in size but datasets might not, it is vital to understand how much performance improvement can be expected: is it more important to scale network size or data volume? Thus, neural network scaling laws,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Akhilan Boopathy , Ila Fiete

There is increasing appetite for analysing populations of network data due to the fast-growing body of applications demanding such methods. While methods exist to provide readily interpretable summaries of heterogeneous network populations,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-21 Anastasia Mantziou , Simon Lunagomez , Robin Mitra

Experiments in research on memory, language, and in other areas of cognitive science are increasingly being analyzed using Bayesian methods. This has been facilitated by the development of probabilistic programming languages such as Stan,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-02 Daniel J. Schad , Michael Betancourt , Shravan Vasishth

We commonly assume that data are a homogeneous set of observations when learning the structure of Bayesian networks. However, they often comprise different data sets that are related but not homogeneous because they have been collected in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-16 Marco Scutari , Christopher Marquis , Laura Azzimonti

Despite the fact that experimental neural scaling laws have substantially guided empirical progress in large-scale machine learning, no existing theory can quantitatively predict the exponents of these important laws for any modern LLM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Francesco Cagnetta , Allan Raventós , Surya Ganguli , Matthieu Wyart

The existence of power-law distributions is only a first requirement in the validation of the critical behavior of a system. Long-range spatio-temporal correlations are fundamental for the spontaneous neuronal activity to be the expression…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-27 Fabrizio Lombardi , Hans J. Herrmann , L. de Arcangelis

We review recent progress in understanding the meaning of mutual information in natural language. Let us define words in a text as strings that occur sufficiently often. In a few previous papers, we have shown that a power-law distribution…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-03-11 Łukasz Dębowski

Classically, data interpolation with a parametrized model class is possible as long as the number of parameters is larger than the number of equations to be satisfied. A puzzling phenomenon in deep learning is that models are trained with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Sébastien Bubeck , Mark Sellke