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The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

Point and interval estimation of future disability inception and recovery rates are predominantly carried out by combining generalized linear models (GLM) with time series forecasting techniques into a two-step method involving parameter…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-24 Boualem Djehiche , Björn Löfdahl

We consider spatial population dynamics given by Markov birth-and-death process with constant mortality and birth influenced by establishment or fecundity mechanisms. The independent and density dependent dispersion of spreading are…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy

For a model system defined as combination of sequentially applied continuous transformations of a sphere, the question of arrangement of the parameter space around the domain of existence of the Plykin-type attractor is considered. Results…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-01 Sergey P. Kuznetsov , Igor R. Sataev

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched systems under a class of switching signals. The switching signal is modeled as a jump stochastic (not necessarily Markovian) process independent of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-04 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

This work presents a low-rank tensor model for multi-dimensional Markov chains. A common approach to simplify the dynamical behavior of a Markov chain is to impose low-rankness on the transition probability matrix. Inspired by the success…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-05 Madeline Navarro , Sergio Rozada , Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra

Deep learning models have become a powerful tool in knee angle estimation for lower limb prostheses, owing to their adaptability across various gait phases and locomotion modes. Current methods utilize Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLP),…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Pengwei Wang , Yilong Chen , Wan Su , Jie Wang , Teng Ma , Haoyong Yu

The magnetization switching dynamics in the kinetic Ising model is projected onto a one-dimensional absorbing Markov chain. The resulting projected dynamics reproduces the direct simulation results with great accuracy. A scheme is proposed…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Kolesik , M. A. Novotny , P. A. Rikvold , D. M. Townsley

This paper introduces a novel methodology for the identification of switching dynamics for switched autoregressive linear models. Switching behavior is assumed to follow a Markov model. The system's outputs are contaminated by possibly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-28 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa

We address a class of Markov jump linear systems that are characterized by the underlying Markov process being time-inhomogeneous with a priori unknown transition probabilities. Necessary and sufficient conditions for uniform stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Collin C. Lutz , Daniel J. Stilwell

This paper provides an overview of the research on the metastable behavior of the Ising model. We analyze the transition times from the set of metastable states to the set of the stable states by identifying the critical configurations that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-13 Vanessa Jacquier

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Vladimir Belitsky , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Marina Vachkovskaia

Recurrent temporal dynamics is a phenomenon observed frequently in high-dimensional complex systems and its detection is a challenging task. Recurrence quantification analysis utilizing recurrence plots may extract such dynamics, however it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-22 Peter beim Graben , Kristin K. Sellers , Flavio Fröhlich , Axel Hutt

In this paper, a hybrid measurement and model-based method is proposed which can estimate the dynamic state Jacobian matrix in near real-time. The proposed method is computationally efficient and robust to the variation of network topology.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-27 Xiaozhe Wang , Konstantin Turitsyn

Gait phase estimation based on inertial measurement unit (IMU) signals facilitates precise adaptation of exoskeletons to individual gait variations. However, challenges remain in achieving high accuracy and robustness, particularly during…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Yuanlong Ji , Xingbang Yang , Ruoqi Zhao , Qihan Ye , Quan Zheng , Yubo Fan

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

This paper introduces an extension of the Markov switching GARCH model where the volatility in each state is a convex combination of two different GARCH components with time varying weights. This model has the dynamic behavior to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-20 N. Alemohammad , S. Rezakhah , S. H. Alizadeh

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

Perturbation analysis of Markov chains provides bounds on the effect that a change in a Markov transition matrix has on the corresponding stationary distribution. This paper compares and analyzes bounds found in the literature for finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Karim Abbas , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

In this paper, we study the application of switched systems stability criteria to derive delay-dependent conditions for systems affected by both a constant and a time-varying delay. The main novelty of our approach lies on the use of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Thiago Alves Lima , Matteo Della Rossa , Frédéric Gouaisbaut , Raphaël Jungers , Sophie Tarbouriech