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Identifying tire and vehicle parameters is an essential step in designing control and planning algorithms for autonomous vehicles. This paper proposes a new method: Simulation-Based Inference (SBI), a modern interpretation of Approximate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Ali Boyali , Simon Thompson , David Robert Wong

Uncertainty estimation methods using deep learning approaches strive against separating how uncertain the state of the world manifests to us via measurement (objective end) from the way this gets scrambled with the model specification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Edgardo Solano-Carrillo

Just-in-time (JIT) defect prediction refers to the technique of predicting whether a code change is defective. Many contributions have been made in this area through the excellent dataset by Kamei. In this paper, we revisit the dataset and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Giuseppe Ng , Charibeth Cheng

In over-identified models, misspecification -- the norm rather than exception -- fundamentally changes what estimators estimate. Different estimators imply different estimands rather than different efficiency for the same target. A review…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Isaiah Andrews , Jiafeng Chen , Otavio Tecchio

Models such as finite state automata are widely used to abstract the behavior of software systems by capturing the sequences of events observable during their execution. Nevertheless, models rarely exist in practice and, when they do, get…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Donato Clun , Donghwan Shin , Antonio Filieri , Domenico Bianculli

Complex computer simulations are commonly required for accurate data modelling in many scientific disciplines, making statistical inference challenging due to the intractability of the likelihood evaluation for the observed data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-02 Pablo de Castro , Tommaso Dorigo

We propose a technique for reformulation of state and parameter estimation problems as that of matching explicitly computable definite integrals with known kernels to data. The technique applies for a class of systems of nonlinear ordinary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-11 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban

Functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) is a non-invasive technique for monitoring brain activity. To better understand the brain, researchers often use deep learning to address the classification challenges of fNIRS data. Our study…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-25 Zhihao Cao

We present a method to analyze sensitivity of frequentist inferences to potential nonignorability of the missingness mechanism. Rather than starting from the selection model, as is typical in such analyses, we assume that the missingness…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-09 Heng Chen , Daniel F. Heitjan

Various AI models are increasingly being considered as part of clinical decision-support tools. However, the trustworthiness of such models is rarely considered. Clinicians are more likely to use a model if they can understand and trust its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Evangelia Kyrimi , Somayyeh Mossadegh , Nigel Tai , William Marsh

While in recent years a number of new statistical approaches have been proposed to model group differences with a different assumption on the nature of the measurement invariance of the instruments, the tools for detecting local…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-04 Artur Pokropek , Ernest Pokropek

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

The fast growth of social networks and their privacy requirements in recent years, has lead to increasing difficulty in obtaining complete topology of these networks. However, diffusion information over these networks is available and many…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Maryam Ramezani , Hamid R. Rabiee , Maryam Tahani , Arezoo Rajabi

This study proposes a novel method for estimation and hypothesis testing in high-dimensional single-index models. We address a common scenario where the sample size and the dimension of regression coefficients are large and comparable.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Kazuma Sawaya , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Masaaki Imaizumi

In genomics, differential abundance and expression analyses are complicated by the compositional nature of sequence count data, which reflect only relative-not absolute-abundances or expression levels. Many existing methods attempt to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Won Gu , Francesca Chiaromonte , Justin D. Silverman

The Rapid Iterative FiTting (RIFT) parameter inference algorithm provides a simulation-based inference approach to efficient, highly-parallelized parameter inference for GW sources. Previous editions of RIFT have conservatively optimized…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-20 Katelyn J. Wagner , R. O'Shaughnessy , A. Yelikar , N. Manning , D. Fernando , J. Lange , V. Tiwari , A. Fernando , D. Williams

Income inequality estimators are biased in small samples, leading generally to an underestimation. This aspect deserves particular attention when estimating inequality in small domains and performing small area estimation at the area level.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Silvia De Nicolò , Maria Rosaria Ferrante , Silvia Pacei

Machine learning models only provide probabilistic guarantees on the expected loss of random samples from the distribution represented by their training data. As a result, a model with high accuracy, may or may not be reliable for…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Nima Shahbazi , Abolfazl Asudeh

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…