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In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thorsten Schmidt , Robert Wardenga

A joint conditional autoregressive expectile and Expected Shortfall framework is proposed. The framework is extended through incorporating a measurement equation which models the contemporaneous dependence between the realized measures and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-25 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

We study the short-time asymptotics of conditional expectations of smooth and non-smooth functions of a (discontinuous) Ito semimartingale; we compute the leading term in the asymptotics in terms of the local characteristics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-08 Amel Bentata , Rama Cont

In this paper we study a nonlinear stochastic fluid-structure interaction problem with a multiplicative, white-in-time noise. The problem consists of the Navier-Stokes equations describing the flow of an incompressible, viscous fluid in a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Krutika Tawri , Suncica Canic

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

In this paper we introduce the concept of conic martingales}. This class refers to stochastic processes having the martingale property, but that evolve within given (possibly time-dependent) boundaries. We first review some results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Frédéric Vrins , Monique Jeanblanc

When predicting scalar responses in the situation where the explanatory variables are functions, it is sometimes the case that some functional variables are related to responses linearly while other variables have more complicated…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-29 Heng Lian

We introduce a new notion of conditional nonlinear expectation under probability distortion. Such a distorted nonlinear expectation is not sub-additive in general, so it is beyond the scope of Peng's framework of nonlinear expectations. A…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Jin Ma , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong , Jianfeng Zhang

The paper discusses linear fractional representations of parameter-dependent nonlinear systems with dynamics defined by real rational nonlinearities and a finite set of point delays. The global asymptotic stability is investigated via…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-03-27 M. De la Sen

We study approximation of non-autonomous linear differential equations with variable delay over infinite intervals. We use piecewise constant argument to obtain a corresponding discrete difference equation. The study of numerical…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Daniel Sepúlveda

We consider a class of stochastic control problems where the state process is a probability measure-valued process satisfying an additional martingale condition on its dynamics, called measure-valued martingales (MVMs). We establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sigrid Källblad , Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

Let $X$ be a bounded c\`adl\`ag process with positive jumps defined on the canonical space of continuous paths. We consider the problem of optimal stopping the process $X$ under a nonlinear expectation operator $\cE$ defined as the supremum…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-12 Ibrahim Ekren , Nizar Touzi , Jianfeng Zhang

We consider the robust adaptive nonparametric estimation problem for a periodic function observed in the framework of a continuous time regression model with semimartingale noises.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Evgeny A. Pchelintsev , Serguei M. Pergamenshchikov , Maria A. Povzun

We prove that weakly continuous solutions to martingale problems admit a canonical regular conditional probability distribution. This allows for the construction of time consistent convex dynamic procedures in a non dominated setting.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-09 Jocelyne Bion-Nadal

We consider filtration consistent nonlinear expectations in probability spaces satisfying only the usual conditions and separability. Under a domination assumption, we demonstrate that these nonlinear expectations can be expressed as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Samuel N. Cohen

This paper is devoted to the investigation of the nonnegative solutions and the stability and asymptotic properties of the solutions of fractional differential dynamic systems involving delayed dynamics with point delays. The obtained…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-09-23 Manuel De la Sen

We study function-valued solutions of a class of stochastic partial differential equations, involving operators with polynomially bounded coefficients. We consider semilinear equations under suitable parabolicity hypotheses. We provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Alessia Ascanelli , Sandro Coriasco , André Suß

In this paper we introduce a model, the stochastic fractional delay differential equation (SFDDE), which is based on the linear stochastic delay differential equation and produces stationary processes with hyperbolically decaying…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Richard A. Davis , Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Victor Rohde