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This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

This paper considers online optimization of a renewal-reward system. A controller performs a sequence of tasks back-to-back. Each task has a random vector of parameters, called the task type vector, that affects the task processing options…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Michael J. Neely

A key operational challenge for call centers is to decide, in real time, which waiting customer should be served by which available agent. This is known as skill-based routing, and the decision becomes especially difficult in large systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Baris Ata , Ebru Kasikaralar

Solving job shop scheduling problems (JSSPs) with a fixed strategy, such as a priority dispatching rule, may yield satisfactory results for several problem instances but, nevertheless, insufficient results for others. From this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Constantin Waubert de Puiseau , Hasan Tercan , Tobias Meisen

Multi-horizon probabilistic time series forecasting has wide applicability to real-world tasks such as demand forecasting. Recent work in neural time-series forecasting mainly focus on the use of Seq2Seq architectures. For example,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Sitan Yang , Carson Eisenach , Dhruv Madeka

Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić

To enhance the reproducibility and reliability of deep learning models, we address a critical gap in current training methodologies: the lack of mechanisms that ensure consistent and robust performance across runs. Our empirical analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Waqas Ahmed , Sheeba Samuel , Kevin Coakley , Birgitta Koenig-Ries , Odd Erik Gundersen

Electricity is a volatile power source that requires great planning and resource management for both short and long term. More specifically, in the short-term, accurate instant energy consumption forecasting contributes greatly to improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Nuno Oliveira , Norberto Sousa , Isabel Praça

In sequential decision-making problems, Return-Conditioned Supervised Learning (RCSL) has gained increasing recognition for its simplicity and stability in modern decision-making tasks. Unlike traditional offline reinforcement learning (RL)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Zhishuai Liu , Yu Yang , Ruhan Wang , Pan Xu , Dongruo Zhou

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) have become competitive forecasting methods, as most notably shown in the winning method of the recent M4 competition. However, established statistical models such as ETS and ARIMA gain their popularity not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Anticipating supply chain disruptions before they materialize is a core challenge for firms and policymakers alike. A key difficulty is learning to reason reliably about infrequent, high-impact events from noisy and unstructured inputs - a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Benjamin Turtel , Paul Wilczewski , Kris Skotheim

We propose a novel machine learning approach for forecasting the distribution of stock returns using a rich set of firm-level and market predictors. Our method combines a two-stage quantile neural network with spline interpolation to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Jozef Barunik , Martin Hronec , Ondrej Tobek

Short-term water demand forecasting (StWDF) is the foundation stone in the derivation of an optimal plan for controlling water supply systems. Deep learning (DL) approaches provide the most accurate solutions for this purpose. However, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Tony Salloom , Okyay Kaynak , Wei He

RNNs have been shown to be excellent models for sequential data and in particular for data that is generated by users in an session-based manner. The use of RNNs provides impressive performance benefits over classical methods in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Balázs Hidasi , Alexandros Karatzoglou

How can short-term energy consumption be accurately forecasted when sensor data is noisy, incomplete, and lacks contextual richness? This question guided our participation in the \textit{2025 Competition on Electric Energy Consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Sarah Al-Shareeda , Gulcihan Ozdemir , Heung Seok Jeon , Khaleel Ahmad

Machine learning models play a key role for service providers looking to gain market share in consumer markets. However, traditional learning approaches do not take into account the existence of additional providers, who compete with each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Ohad Einav , Nir Rosenfeld

One approach for reducing run time and improving efficiency of machine learning is to reduce the convergence rate of the optimization algorithm used. Shuffling is an algorithm technique that is widely used in machine learning, but it only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Yuetong Xu , Baharan Mirzasoleiman

Retail sales and price projections are typically based on time series forecasting. For some product categories, the accuracy of demand forecasts achieved is low, negatively impacting inventory, transport, and replenishment planning. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Shaun D'Souza , Dheeraj Shah , Amareshwar Allati , Parikshit Soni

The rise of machine learning (ML) has created an explosion in the potential strategies for using data to make scientific predictions. For physical scientists wishing to apply ML strategies to a particular domain, it can be difficult to…

Recurrent Neural Networks were, until recently, one of the best ways to capture the timely dependencies in sequences. However, with the introduction of the Transformer, it has been proven that an architecture with only attention-mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Radostin Cholakov , Todor Kolev