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Obtaining accurate and well calibrated probability estimates from classifiers is useful in many applications, for example, when minimising the expected cost of classifications. Existing methods of calibrating probability estimates are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Tim Leathart , Eibe Frank , Geoffrey Holmes , Bernhard Pfahringer

Dynamic trees are mixtures of tree structured belief networks. They solve some of the problems of fixed tree networks at the cost of making exact inference intractable. For this reason approximate methods such as sampling or mean field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Amos J. Storkey

Network reconstruction is the task of inferring the unseen interactions between elements of a system, based only on their behavior or dynamics. This inverse problem is in general ill-posed, and admits many solutions for the same…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Tiago P. Peixoto

The problem of reconstructing evolutionary trees or phylogenies is of great interest in computational biology. A popular model for this problem assumes that we are given the set of leaves (current species) of an unknown binary tree and the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Eshwar Ram Arunachaleswaran , Anindya De , Sampath Kannan

Hierarchical clustering of networks consists in finding a tree of communities, such that lower levels of the hierarchy reveal finer-grained community structures. There are two main classes of algorithms tackling this problem. Divisive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Maximilien Dreveton , Daichi Kuroda , Matthias Grossglauser , Patrick Thiran

We address the inverse problem of reconstructing both the structure and dynamics of a network from mean-field measurements, which are linear combinations of node states. This setting arises in applications where only a few aggregated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Narcicegi Kiran , Tiago Pereira

The well-known trace reconstruction problem is the problem of inferring an unknown source string $x \in \{0,1\}^n$ from independent "traces", i.e. copies of $x$ that have been corrupted by a $\delta$-deletion channel which independently…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Xi Chen , Anindya De , Chin Ho Lee , Rocco A. Servedio , Sandip Sinha

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

Word and graph embeddings are widely used in deep learning applications. We present a data structure that captures inherent hierarchical properties from an unordered flat embedding space, particularly a sense of direction between pairs of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Xingzhi Guo , Steven Skiena

One approach to estimating a species tree from a collection of gene trees is to first estimate probabilities of clades from the gene trees, and then to construct the species tree from the estimated clade probabilities. While a greedy…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-14 Elizabeth S. Allman , James H. Degnan , John A. Rhodes

Decision trees are popular classification models, providing high accuracy and intuitive explanations. However, as the tree size grows the model interpretability deteriorates. Traditional tree-induction algorithms, such as C4.5 and CART,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Guangyi Zhang , Aristides Gionis

A central theme in phylogenetics is the reconstruction and analysis of evolutionary trees from a given set of data. To determine the optimal search methods for reconstructing trees, it is crucial to understand the size and structure of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-15 Jamie V. de Jong , Jeanette C McLeod , Mike Steel

We address phylogenetic reconstruction when the data is generated from a mixture distribution. Such topics have gained considerable attention in the biological community with the clear evidence of heterogeneity of mutation rates. In our…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Daniel Stefankovic , Eric Vigoda

In this paper, we consider a tree inference problem motivated by the critical problem in single-cell genomics of reconstructing dynamic cellular processes from sequencing data. In particular, given a population of cells sampled from such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Elodie Maignant , Tim Conrad , Christoph von Tycowicz

Many algorithms for processing probabilistic networks are dependent on the topological properties of the problem's structure. Such algorithms (e.g., clustering, conditioning) are effective only if the problem has a sparse graph captured by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Yousri El Fattah , Rina Dechter

A number of recent works have concentrated on a few statistical properties of complex networks, such as the clustering, the right-skewed degree distribution and the community, which are common to many real world networks. In this paper, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Huijie Yang , Wenxu Wang , Tao Zhou , Binghong ang , Fangcui Zhao

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

A learning algorithm is presented which given the structure of a causal tree, will estimate its link probabilities by sequential measurements on the leaves only. Internal nodes of the tree represent conceptual (hidden) variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Igor Roizer , Judea Pearl

In the broadcasting problem on trees, a $\{-1,1\}$-message originating in an unknown node is passed along the tree with a certain error probability $q$. The goal is to estimate the original message without knowing the order in which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Ernst Althaus , Lisa Hartung , Rebecca Steiner

A multiplex is a collection of network layers, each representing a specific type of edges. This appears to be a genuine representation for many real-world systems. However, due to a variety of potential factors, such as limited budget and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-22 Daniel Kaiser , Siddharth Patwardhan , Filippo Radicchi