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Changepoints are abrupt variations in the underlying distribution of data. Detecting changes in a data stream is an important problem with many applications. In this paper, we are interested in changepoint detection algorithms which operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Zhaohui Wang , Xiao Lin , Abhinav Mishra , Ram Sriharsha

Many modern applications require detecting change points in complex sequential data. Most existing methods for change point detection are unsupervised and, as a consequence, lack any information regarding what kind of changes we want to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Nauman Ahad , Eva L. Dyer , Keith B. Hengen , Yao Xie , Mark A. Davenport

The detection of anomalies or transitions in complex dynamical systems is of critical importance to various applications. In this study, we propose the use of machine learning to detect changepoints for high-dimensional dynamical systems.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Sen Lin , Gianmarco Mengaldo , Romit Maulik

Many systems of interacting elements can be conceptualized as networks, where network nodes represent the elements and network ties represent interactions between the elements. In systems where the underlying network evolves in time, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Ian Barnett , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The paper deals with disorders detection in the multivariate stochastic process. We consider the multidimensional Poisson process or the multivariate renewal process. This class of processes can be used as a description of the distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Krzysztof J. Szajowski

The use of neural networks has been very successful in a wide variety of applications. However, it has recently been observed that it is difficult to generalize the performance of neural networks under the condition of distributional shift.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Dangxing Chen

Change point detection algorithms have numerous applications in fields of scientific and economic importance. We consider the problem of change point detection on compositional multivariate data (each sample is a probability mass function),…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-16 Prabuchandran K. J. , Nitin Singh , Pankaj Dayama , Vinayaka Pandit

In this thesis, we develop various techniques for working with sets in machine learning. Each input or output is not an image or a sequence, but a set: an unordered collection of multiple objects, each object described by a feature vector.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Yan Zhang

The goal of anomaly detection is to identify observations that are generated by a distribution that differs from the reference distribution that qualifies normal behavior. When examining a time series, the reference distribution may evolve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Etienne Krönert , Dalila Hattab , Alain Celisse

Supervised learning techniques typically assume training data originates from the target population. Yet, in reality, dataset shift frequently arises, which, if not adequately taken into account, may decrease the performance of their…

The goal of the change-point detection is to discover changes of time series distribution. One of the state of the art approaches of the change-point detection are based on direct density ratio estimation. In this work we show how existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mikhail Hushchyn , Andrey Ustyuzhanin

A common assumption of novelty detection is that the distribution of both "normal" and "novel" data are static. This, however, is often not the case - for example scenarios where data evolves over time or scenarios in which the definition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Ellen Rushe , Brian Mac Namee

As input data distributions evolve, the predictive performance of machine learning models tends to deteriorate. In practice, new input data tend to come without target labels. Then, state-of-the-art techniques model input data distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Carlos Mougan , Klaus Broelemann , David Masip , Gjergji Kasneci , Thanassis Thiropanis , Steffen Staab

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

The dynamic nature of many real-world systems can lead to temporal outcome model shifts, causing a deterioration in model accuracy and reliability over time. This requires change-point detection on the outcome models to guide model…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Zhuofan Dong , Yiwen Huang , Yan Dong , Mengying Yan , Ziye Tian , Chuan Hong , Doudou Zhou , Molei Liu

Deep sequence models are receiving significant interest in current machine learning research. By representing probability distributions that are fit to data using maximum likelihood estimation, such models can model data on general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Kristian Løvland , Bjarne Grimstad , Lars Struen Imsland

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

We propose a new framework for the detection of change-points in online, sequential data analysis. The approach utilizes nearest neighbor information and can be applied to sequences of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Hao Chen

We develop a mixture procedure to monitor parallel streams of data for a change-point that affects only a subset of them, without assuming a spatial structure relating the data streams to one another. Observations are assumed initially to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Yao Xie , David Siegmund

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris