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This paper tackles the risk averse multi-armed bandits problem when incurred losses are non-stationary. The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is used as the objective function. Two estimation methods are proposed for this objective function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Leo Benac , Frédéric Godin

We consider a stochastic control problem where the set of strict (classical) controls is not necessarily convex, and the system is governed by a nonlinear backward stochastic differential equation. By introducing a new approach, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-20 Seid Bahlali

We address imbalanced classification, the problem in which a label may have low marginal probability relative to other labels, by weighting losses according to the correct class. First, we examine the convergence rates of the expected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-28 Ziyu Xu , Chen Dan , Justin Khim , Pradeep Ravikumar

In the paper we introduce the notions of bounded invariance complexity, bounded invariance complexity in the mean and mean L-stability for control systems. Then we characterize these notions by introducing six types of equi-invariability.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Xingfu Zhong , Zhijing Chen , Yu Huang

We account for time-varying parameters in the conditional expectile-based value at risk (EVaR) model. The EVaR downside risk is more sensitive to the magnitude of portfolio losses compared to the quantile-based value at risk (QVaR). Rather…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-29 Xiu Xu , Andrija Mihoci , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Online portfolio selection research has so far focused mainly on minimizing regret defined in terms of wealth growth. Practical financial decision making, however, is deeply concerned with both wealth and risk. We consider online learning…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-30 Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

Stochastic maximum principle of nonlinear controlled forward-backward systems, where the set of strict (classical) controls need not be convex and the diffusion coefficient depends explicitly on the variable control, is an open problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-20 Seid Bahlali

We consider control of uncertain linear time-varying stochastic systems from the perspective of regret minimization. Specifically, we focus on the problem of designing a feedback controller that minimizes the loss relative to a clairvoyant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-04 Andrea Martin , Luca Furieri , Florian Dörfler , John Lygeros , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

The aim of this paper is to investigate risk-averse and distributionally robust modeling of Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) and Markov Decision Process (MDP). We discuss construction of conditional nested risk functionals, a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Alexander Shapiro , Yan Li

While maximizing expected return is the goal in most reinforcement learning approaches, risk-sensitive objectives such as conditional value at risk (CVaR) are more suitable for many high-stakes applications. However, relatively little is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Ramtin Keramati , Christoph Dann , Alex Tamkin , Emma Brunskill

In this paper a class of combinatorial optimization problems is discussed. It is assumed that a solution can be constructed in two stages. The current first-stage costs are precisely known, while the future second-stage costs are only known…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Marc Goerigk , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Though deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has obtained substantial success, it may encounter catastrophic failures due to the intrinsic uncertainty of both transition and observation. Most of the existing methods for safe reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Chengyang Ying , Xinning Zhou , Hang Su , Dong Yan , Ning Chen , Jun Zhu

In this letter, a new notion of stability is introduced, which is called triangular stability. A system is called triangularly stable if the norm of its state vector is bounded by a decreasing linear function of time such that its…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-16 Amir Shakouri , Nima Assadian

In this paper, an optimization problem with uncertain constraint coefficients is considered. Possibility theory is used to model the uncertainty. Namely, a joint possibility distribution in constraint coefficient realizations, called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Robust Optimization has traditionally taken a pessimistic, or worst-case viewpoint of uncertainty which is motivated by a desire to find sets of optimal policies that maintain feasibility under a variety of operating conditions. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Matthew Norton , Akiko Takeda , Alexander Mafusalov

Recently, financial industry and regulators have enhanced the debate on the good properties of a risk measure. A fundamental issue is the evaluation of the quality of a risk estimation. On the one hand, a backtesting procedure is desirable…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-07 Matteo Burzoni , Ilaria Peri , Chiara Maria Ruffo

This paper is dedicated to the consistency of systemic risk measures with respect to stochastic dependence. It compares two alternative notions of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) available in the current literature. These notions are both…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-30 Georg Mainik , Eric Schaanning

The importance of feedback control is being increasingly appreciated in quantum physics and applications. This paper describes the use of optimal control methods in the design of quantum feedback control systems, and in particular the paper…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. R. James

A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-02 Tolulope Fadina , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

This paper introduces a new formulation for stochastic optimal control and stochastic dynamic optimization that ensures safety with respect to state and control constraints. The proposed methodology brings together concepts such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-19 Marcus Aloysius Pereira , Ziyi Wang , Ioannis Exarchos , Evangelos A. Theodorou