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A basic principle in the design of observational studies is to approximate the randomized experiment that would have been conducted under controlled circumstances. Now, linear regression models are commonly used to analyze observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta

We study a constructive algorithm that approximates Gateaux derivatives for statistical functionals by finite differencing, with a focus on functionals that arise in causal inference. We study the case where probability distributions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Michael I. Jordan , Yixin Wang , Angela Zhou

Regression by composition provides a flexible framework for constructing conditional distributions through sequential group actions. However, when multiple flows act on the same distribution, the model becomes non-identifiable, leading to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Safaa K. Kadhem

Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-17 Song Mei , Yu Bai , Andrea Montanari

Linear regression studies the problem of estimating a model parameter $\beta^* \in \mathbb{R}^p$, from $n$ observations $\{(y_i,\mathbf{x}_i)\}_{i=1}^n$ from linear model $y_i = \langle \mathbf{x}_i,\beta^* \rangle + \epsilon_i$. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-14 Xinyang Yi , Zhaoran Wang , Constantine Caramanis , Han Liu

Location estimation is a central problem in functional data analysis. In this paper, we investigate penalized spline estimators of location for discretely sampled functional data under a broad class of convex loss functions. Our framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Ioannis Kalogridis

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a challenging problem, especially with high dimensional data and in the presence of unobserved variables. The available data-driven methods for tackling the problem either provide an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-25 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jiji Zhang , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

We study the behavior of high-dimensional robust regression estimators in the asymptotic regime where $p/n$ tends to a finite non-zero limit. More specifically, we study ridge-regularized estimators, i.e…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Noureddine El Karoui

Recent interest in the external validity of prediction models (i.e., the problem of different train and test distributions, known as dataset shift) has produced many methods for finding predictive distributions that are invariant to dataset…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-20 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Bryant Chen , Suchi Saria

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

We study high-dimensional convex empirical risk minimization (ERM) under general non-Gaussian data designs. By heuristically extending the Convex Gaussian Min-Max Theorem (CGMT) to non-Gaussian settings, we derive an asymptotic min-max…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Chiheb Yaakoubi , Cosme Louart , Malik Tiomoko , Zhenyu Liao

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Maximilian Ilse , Patrick Forré , Max Welling , Joris M. Mooij

Robust M-estimation uses loss functions, such as least absolute deviation (LAD), quantile loss and Huber's loss, to construct its objective function, in order to for example eschew the impact of outliers, whereas the difficulty in analysing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-18 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Yundong Tu , Bin Peng

A popular approach for estimating an unknown signal from noisy, linear measurements is via solving a so called \emph{regularized M-estimator}, which minimizes a weighted combination of a convex loss function and of a convex (typically,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-01-26 Christos Thrampoulidis , Ehsan Abbasi , Babak Hassibi

Consider a family of distributions $\{\pi_{\beta}\}$ where $X\sim\pi_{\beta}$ means that $\mathbb{P}(X=x)=\exp(-\beta H(x))/Z(\beta)$. Here $Z(\beta)$ is the proper normalizing constant, equal to $\sum_x\exp(-\beta H(x))$. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Mark Huber

This paper proposes a debiased estimator for causal effects in high-dimensional generalized linear models with binary outcomes and general link functions. The estimator augments a regularized regression plug-in with weights computed from a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

In this paper, we analyse the recovery properties of nonconvex regularized $M$-estimators, under the assumption that the true parameter is of soft sparsity. In the statistical aspect, we establish the recovery bound for any stationary point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Xin Li , Dongya Wu , Chong Li , Jinhua Wang , Jen-Chih Yao

Generating probabilistic forecasts of potential outcomes and individual treatment effects (ITE) is essential for risk-aware decision-making in domains such as healthcare, policy, marketing, and finance. We propose two novel methods: the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jef Jonkers , Jarne Verhaeghe , Glenn Van Wallendael , Luc Duchateau , Sofie Van Hoecke

This paper investigates the iterates $\hbb^1,\dots,\hbb^T$ obtained from iterative algorithms in high-dimensional linear regression problems, in the regime where the feature dimension $p$ is comparable with the sample size $n$, i.e., $p…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-30 Pierre C. Bellec , Kai Tan