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The spread of an epidemic process is considered in the context of a spatial SIR stochastic model that includes a parameter $0\le p\le 1$ that assigns weights $p$ and $1- p$ to global and local infective contacts respectively. The model was…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-29 Gabriel Fabricius , Alberto Maltz

We numerically study the dynamics of the SIR disease model on small-world networks by using a large-deviation approach. This allows us to obtain the probability density function of the total fraction of infected nodes and of the maximum…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-01 Yannick Feld , Alexander K. Hartmann

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

We consider the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a Euclidean network in one dimension in which nodes at a distance $l$ are connected with probability $P(l) \propto l^{-\delta}$ in addition to nearest neighbors. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-04 Abdul Khaleque , Parongama Sen

An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Thomas Götz

Susceptible-Invective-Recovered (SIR) mathematical models are in high demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They are used in their standard formulation, or through the many variants, trying to fit and hopefully predict the number of new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Ben-Hur Francisco Cardoso , Sebastián Gonçalves

We investigate the SIR epidemic on a dynamic inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in which vertices are of one of $k$ types and in which edges appear and disappear independently of each other. We establish a functional law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yuanfei Huang , Adrian Röllin

In this paper, we propose a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, in which each node is assigned with an identical capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step. In contrast to the previous studies, we find that on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Zhi-Wen Shi , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou

The susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model describes the evolution of three species of individuals which are subject to an infection and recovery mechanism. A susceptible $S$ can become infectious with an infection rate $\beta$ by an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-06-30 Gunter M. Schütz , Marian Brandau , Steffen Trimper

We present an exact analytical solution to a one-dimensional model of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic type, with infection rates dependent on nearest-neighbor occupations. We use a quantum mechanical approach, transforming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-30 H. Thomas Williams , Irina Mazilu , Dan Mazilu

The adoption of prophylaxis attitudes, such as social isolation and use of face masks, to mitigate epidemic outbreaks strongly depends on the support of the population. In this work, we investigate a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-05 Diogo H. Silva , Celia Anteneodo , Silvio C. Ferreira

The SIR model is used extensively in the field of epidemiology, in particular, for the analysis of communal diseases. One problem with SIR and other existing models is that they are tailored to random or Erdos type networks since they do…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-22 M. S. S. Khan

Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

In most models of the spread of disease over contact networks it is assumed that the probabilities per unit time of disease transmission and recovery from disease are constant, implying exponential distributions of the time intervals for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-07-23 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

Most infectious diseases including more than half of known human pathogens are not restricted to just one host, yet much of the mathematical modeling of infections has been limited to a single species. We investigate consequences of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-30 Sergei Maslov , Kim Sneppen

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-16 L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , H. E. Stanley , L. A. Braunstein

We consider the emergent behavior of viral spread when agents in a large population interact with each other over a contact network. When the number of agents is large and the contact network is a complete graph, it is well known that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Soummya Kar

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger