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Intensifying climate change will lead to more extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall and drought. Accurate stream flow prediction models which are adaptable and robust to new circumstances in a changing climate will be an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Aleksis Pirinen , Olof Mogren , Mårten Västerdal

We introduce the concept of entanglement features of unitary gates, as a collection of exponentiated entanglement entropies over all bipartitions of input and output channels. We obtained the general formula for time-dependent $n$th-Renyi…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-08-06 Yi-Zhuang You , Yingfei Gu

We develop a novel algorithm for feature extraction in time series data by leveraging tools from topological data analysis. Our algorithm provides a simple, efficient way to successfully harness topological features of the attractor of the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Alessandro Rinaldo

Machine learning algorithms are designed to capture complex relationships between features. In this context, the high dimensionality of data often results in poor model performance, with the risk of overfitting. Feature selection, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Paolo Bonetti , Alberto Maria Metelli , Marcello Restelli

Skillful streamflow forecasts can inform decisions in various areas of water policy and management. We integrate numerical weather prediction ensembles, distributed hydrological model and machine learning to generate ensemble streamflow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Sanjib Sharma , Ganesh Raj Ghimire , Ridwan Siddique

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of weather disasters all around the world. Flood inundation mapping based on earth observation data can help in this context, by providing cheap and accurate maps depicting the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Kevin Iselborn , Marco Stricker , Takashi Miyamoto , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

To mitigate the risk posed by extreme rainfall events, we require statistical models that reliably capture extremes in continuous space with dependence. However, assuming a stationary dependence structure in such models is often erroneous,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-15 K. R. Saunders , A. G. Stephenson , D. J. Karoly

Gridded estimated rainfall intensity values at very high spatial and temporal resolution levels are needed as main inputs for weather prediction models to obtain accurate precipitation forecasts, and to verify the performance of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-23 Montserrat Fuentes , Brian Reich , Gyuwon Lee

We develop a flexible spline-based Bayesian hidden Markov model stochastic weather generator to statistically model daily precipitation over time by season at individual locations. The model naturally accounts for missing data (considered…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Christopher J. Paciorek

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Thermodynamics, introduced over two centuries ago, remains foundational to our understanding of physical, chemical, biological, and engineering systems. Its principles are traditionally grounded in the statistical mechanics framework, which…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-06-30 Małgorzata J. Zimoń , Fausto Martelli

The hierarchy of channel networks in landscapes displays features that are characteristic of non-equilibrium complex systems. Here we show that a sequence of increasingly complex ridge and valley networks is produced by a system of partial…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-09 Sara Bonetti , Milad Hooshyar , Carlo Camporeale , Amilcare Porporato

Hazard event sets, a collection of synthetic extreme events over a given period, are important for catastrophe modelling. This paper addresses the issue of generating event sets of extreme river flow for northern England and southern…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-30 Christian Rohrbeck , Daniel Cooley

Continuous-time event sequences, in which events occur at irregular intervals, are ubiquitous across a wide range of industrial and scientific domains. The contemporary modeling paradigm is to treat such data as realizations of a temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Padhraic Smyth

Many businesses and industries nowadays rely on large quantities of time series data making time series forecasting an important research area. Global forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series have shown a huge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Rakshitha Godahewa , Christoph Bergmeir , Geoffrey I. Webb , Rob J. Hyndman , Pablo Montero-Manso

Numerical models have long been used to understand geoscientific phenomena, including tidal currents, crucial for renewable energy production and coastal engineering. However, their computational cost hinders generating data of varying…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Dongheon Lee , Seungmyong Jeong , Youngmin Ro

Energy (load, wind, photovoltaic) forecasting is significant in the power industry as it can provide a reference for subsequent tasks such as power grid dispatch, thus bringing huge economic benefits. However, there are many differences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Zhixian Wang , Qingsong Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Liang Sun , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Shirui Pan , Yi Wang

Rainfall forecasting plays a critical role in climate adaptation, agriculture, and water resource management. This study develops long-term forecasts of monthly rainfall across 19 districts of West Bengal using a century-scale dataset…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-30 Jishu Adhikary , Raju Maiti

Accurate and scalable hydrologic models are essential building blocks of several important applications, from water resource management to timely flood warnings. However, as the climate changes, precipitation and rainfall-runoff pattern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Zach Moshe , Asher Metzger , Gal Elidan , Frederik Kratzert , Sella Nevo , Ran El-Yaniv

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim