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Particle filtering is a powerful tool for target tracking. When the budget for observations is restricted, it is necessary to reduce the measurements to a limited amount of samples carefully selected. A discrete stochastic nonlinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-19 Antoine Aspeel , Amaury Gouverneur , Raphaël M. Jungers , Benoît Macq

We present a novel particle filtering framework for continuous-time dynamical systems with continuous-time measurements. Our approach is based on the duality between estimation and optimal control, which allows reformulating the estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-08 Qinsheng Zhang , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Yongxin Chen

This paper presents a joint optimisation framework for optimal estimation and stochastic optimal control with imperfect information. It provides a estimation and control scheme that can be decomposed into a classical optimal estimation step…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Emilien Flayac , Karim Dahia , Bruno Hérissé , Frédéric Jean

We deal with the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear transformations of the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments. Estimates are based on observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

On-line estimation plays an important role in process control and monitoring. Obtaining a theoretical solution to the simultaneous state-parameter estimation problem for non-linear stochastic systems involves solving complex…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-15 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

The measure timetable plays a critical role for the accuracy of the estimator. This article deals with the optimization of the schedule of measures for observing a random process in time using a Kalman filter, when the length of the process…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-19 Alexandre Aksenov , Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Olivier Michel , Christian Jutten

Particle filtering is a popular method for inferring latent states in stochastic dynamical systems, whose theoretical properties have been well studied in machine learning and statistics communities. In many control problems, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Simon S. Du , Wei Hu , Zhiyuan Li , Ruoqi Shen , Zhao Song , Jiajun Wu

Data-informed predictive maintenance planning largely relies on stochastic deterioration models. Monitoring information can be utilized to update sequentially the knowledge on time-invariant deterioration model parameters either within an…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-02 Antonios Kamariotis , Luca Sardi , Iason Papaioannou , Eleni Chatzi , Daniel Straub

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a widely used set of computational tools for inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. In many applications it may be necessary to compute the sensitivity,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal Singh

Particle filters are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions of hidden states in state-space models by means of sets of weighted particles. While the convergence of the filter is guaranteed when the number of particles tends to…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-01 Víctor Elvira , Joaquín Míguez , Petar M. Djurić

In the following article we consider the numerical approximation of the non-linear filter in continuous-time, where the observations and signal follow diffusion processes. Given access to high-frequency, but discrete-time observations, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu , Jeremy Heng

This paper proposes a novel framework for delay-tolerant particle filtering that is computationally efficient and has limited memory requirements. Within this framework the informativeness of a delayed (out-of-sequence) measurement (OOSM)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-20 Boris N. Oreshkin , Xuan Liu , Mark J. Coates

Online convex optimization is a sequential prediction framework with the goal to track and adapt to the environment through evaluating proper convex loss functions. We study efficient particle filtering methods from the perspective of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Mahdi Azarafrooz

Stochastic filtering refers to estimating the probability distribution of the latent stochastic process conditioned on the observed measurements in time. In this paper, we introduce a new class of convergent filters that represent the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-27 Zheng Zhao , Juha Sarmavuori

We present a new approach-the ALVar estimator-to estimation of asymptotic variance in sequential Monte Carlo methods, or, particle filters. The method, which adjusts adaptively the lag of the estimator proposed in [Olsson, J. and Douc, R.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-21 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum

We propose a new algorithm for approximating the non-asymptotic second moment of the marginal likelihood estimate, or normalizing constant, provided by a particle filter. The computational cost of the new method is $O(M)$ per time step,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-19 Svetoslav Kostov , Nick Whiteley
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