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The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

To answer the call of introducing more Bayesian techniques to organizational research (e.g., Kruschke, Aguinis, & Joo, 2012; Zyphur & Oswald, 2013), we propose a Bayesian approach for meta-analysis with power prior in this article. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-30 Zhiyong Zhang , Kaifeng Jiang , Haiyan Liu , In-Sue Oh

Bayesian inference gets its name from *Bayes's theorem*, expressing posterior probabilities for hypotheses about a data generating process as the (normalized) product of prior probabilities and a likelihood function. But Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Thomas J. Loredo , Robert L. Wolpert

Power posteriors "robustify" standard Bayesian inference by raising the likelihood to a constant fractional power, effectively downweighting its influence in the calculation of the posterior. Power posteriors have been shown to be more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Ruchira Ray , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush

Many common correlation structures assumed for data can be described through latent Gaussian models. When Bayesian inference is carried out, it is required to set the prior distribution for scale parameters that rules the model components,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano

We develop the scale transformed power prior for settings where historical and current data involve different data types, such as binary and continuous data, respectively. This situation arises often in clinical trials, for example, when…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-12 Brady Nifong , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Bayesian inferences in high energy physics often use uniform prior distributions for parameters about which little or no information is available before data are collected. The resulting posterior distributions are therefore sensitive to…

Applications · Statistics 2011-06-03 Luc Demortier , Supriya Jain , Harrison B. Prosper

Estimating unknown parameters subject to prior constraints is important in statistical inference, particularly in fields such as reliability analysis, survival studies, and engineering, where prior structural information about the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Somnath Mondal

In (exploratory) factor analysis, the loading matrix is identified only up to orthogonal rotation. For identifiability, one thus often takes the loading matrix to be lower triangular with positive diagonal entries. In Bayesian inference, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-29 Dennis Leung , Mathias Drton

Although Bayes's theorem demands a prior that is a probability distribution on the parameter space, the calculus associated with Bayes's theorem sometimes generates sensible procedures from improper priors, Pitman's estimator being a good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-15 Peter McCullagh , Han Han

In inference problems involving a multi-dimensional parameter $\theta$, it is often natural to consider decision rules that have a risk which is invariant under some group $G$ of permutations of $\theta$. We show that this implies that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 Erik van Zwet

The multivariate normal linear model is one of the most widely employed models for statistical inference in applied research. Special cases include (multivariate) t testing, (M)AN(C)OVA, (multivariate) multiple regression, and repeated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 J. Mulder , H. Hoijtink , X. Gu

The behavior of many Bayesian models used in machine learning critically depends on the choice of prior distributions, controlled by some hyperparameters that are typically selected by Bayesian optimization or cross-validation. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-09 Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

Sample size derivation is a crucial element of the planning phase of any confirmatory trial. A sample size is typically derived based on constraints on the maximal acceptable type I error rate and a minimal desired power. Here, power…

Conditional power calculations are frequently used to guide the decision whether or not to stop a trial for futility or to modify planned sample size. These ignore the information in short-term endpoints and baseline covariates, and thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Kelly Van Lancker , An Vandebosch , Stijn Vansteelandt

A generic communication model of a boolean network with transmission errors is proposed to explore the power-law scaling of states' evolution in small-world networks. In the model, the power spectrum of the population difference between…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jiann-Shing Lih , Jyh-Long Chern

The power law is useful in describing count phenomena such as network degrees and word frequencies. With a single parameter, it captures the main feature that the frequencies are linear on the log-log scale. Nevertheless, there have been…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-24 Clement Lee , Emma Eastoe , Aiden Farrell

Bayes factor, defined as the ratio of the marginal likelihood functions of two competing models, is the natural Bayesian procedure for model selection. Marginal likelihoods are usually computationally demanding and complex. This scenario is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Gabriel Calvo , Carmen Armero , Luigi Spezia , Maria Grazia Pennino

Hierarchical modeling is wonderful and here to stay, but hyperparameter priors are often chosen in a casual fashion. Unfortunately, as the number of hyperparameters grows, the effects of casual choices can multiply, leading to considerably…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James O. Berger , William Strawderman , Dejun Tang

The interpretation of data in terms of multi-parameter models of new physics, using the Bayesian approach, requires the construction of multi-parameter priors. We propose a construction that uses elements of Bayesian reference analysis. Our…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-03 Maurizio Pierini , Harrison B. Prosper , Sezen Sekmen , Maria Spiropulu