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When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

In this contribution, we present an online method for joint state and parameter estimation in jump Markov non-linear systems (JMNLS). State inference is enabled via the use of particle filters which makes the method applicable to a wide…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-04 Emre Özkan , Fredrik Lindsten , Carsten Fritsche , Fredrik Gustafsson

This paper presents adaptive observers for online state and parameter estimation of a class of nonlinear systems motivated by biophysical models of neuronal circuits. We first present a linear-in-the-parameters design that solves a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-19 Thiago B. Burghi , Rodolphe Sepulchre

In this work we combine two distinct machine learning methodologies, sequential Monte Carlo and Bayesian experimental design, and apply them to the problem of inferring the dynamical parameters of a quantum system. We design the algorithm…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-10 Christopher E. Granade , Christopher Ferrie , Nathan Wiebe , D. G. Cory

Assessing uncertainty is an important step towards ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems. Existing uncertainty estimation techniques may fail when their modeling assumptions are not met, e.g. when the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon

Scaled sparse linear regression jointly estimates the regression coefficients and noise level in a linear model. It chooses an equilibrium with a sparse regression method by iteratively estimating the noise level via the mean residual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-22 Tingni Sun , Cun-Hui Zhang

Large-scale streaming data are common in modern machine learning applications and have led to the development of online learning algorithms. Many fields, such as supply chain management, weather and meteorology, energy markets, and finance,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch , Jonathan Berrisch , Florian Ziel

Accurate uncertainty estimates are important in sequential model-based decision-making tasks such as Bayesian optimization. However, these estimates can be imperfect if the data violates assumptions made by the model (e.g., Gaussianity).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Shachi Deshpande , Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov

This note presents a more efficient formulation of the robust online subspace estimation and tracking algorithm (ROSETA) that is capable of identifying and tracking a time-varying low dimensional subspace from incomplete measurements and in…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-10-18 Hassan Mansour

This paper addresses identification of sparse linear and noise-driven continuous-time state-space systems, i.e., the right-hand sides in the dynamical equations depend only on a subset of the states. The key assumption in this study, is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Zuogong Yue , Johan Thunberg , Lennart Ljung , Jorge Goncalves

The increasing availability of sensing techniques provides a great opportunity for engineers to design state estimation methods, which are optimal for the system under observation and the observed noise patterns. However, these patterns…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-19 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

This paper introduces a novel approach to system identification for nonlinear input-output models that minimizes the simulation error and frames the problem as a constrained optimization task. The proposed method addresses vanishing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Simone Pirrera , Diego Regruto

We study online linear regression problems in a distributed setting, where the data is spread over a network. In each round, each network node proposes a linear predictor, with the objective of fitting the \emph{network-wide} data. It then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Deming Yuan , Alexandre Proutiere , Guodong Shi

In this paper, a novel linear formulation for power system state estimation that simultaneously treats conventional and synchrophasor measurements is proposed. A linear circuit model for conventional measurements is introduced to enable a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-12-04 Aleksandar Jovicic , Marko Jereminov , Larry Pileggi , Gabriela Hug

Ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimators for a linear model are very sensitive to unusual values in the design space or outliers among y values. Even one single atypical value may have a large effect on the parameter estimates. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-28 Chun Yu , Weixin Yao , Xue Bai

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

We consider outlier-robust and sparse estimation of linear regression coefficients, when the covariates and the noises are contaminated by adversarial outliers and noises are sampled from a heavy-tailed distribution. Our results present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Takeyuki Sasai , Hironori Fujisawa

This paper discusses a general framework for designing robust state estimators for a class of discrete-time nonlinear systems. We consider systems that may be impacted by impulsive (sparse but otherwise arbitrary) measurement noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Vincent Andrieu , Qinghua Zhang

We consider the joint problem of online experiment design and parameter estimation for identifying nonlinear system models, while adhering to system constraints. We utilize a receding horizon approach and propose a new adaptive input design…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Jingwei Hu , Dave Zachariah , Torbjörn Wigren , Petre Stoica

State estimation plays a key role in the transition from the passive to the active operation of distribution systems, as it allows to monitor these networks and, successively, to perform control actions. However, designing state estimators…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-25 Marta Vanin , Tom Van Acker , Reinhilde D'hulst , Dirk Van Hertem
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