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We consider an investor who seeks to maximize her expected utility derived from her terminal wealth relative to the maximum performance achieved over a fixed time horizon, and under a portfolio drawdown constraint, in a market with local…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Ankush Agarwal , Ronnie Sircar

We endeavour to estimate numerous multi-dimensional means of various probability distributions on a common space based on independent samples. Our approach involves forming estimators through convex combinations of empirical means derived…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 Gilles Blanchard , Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Hannah Marienwald

Research in NLP is often supported by experimental results, and improved reporting of such results can lead to better understanding and more reproducible science. In this paper we analyze three statistical estimators for expected validation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Jesse Dodge , Suchin Gururangan , Dallas Card , Roy Schwartz , Noah A. Smith

Generalized Vector Approximate Message Passing (GVAMP) is an efficient iterative algorithm for approximately minimum-mean-squared-error estimation of a random vector $\mathbf{x}\sim p_{\mathbf{x}}(\mathbf{x})$ from generalized linear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Christopher A. Metzler , Philip Schniter , Richard G. Baraniuk

This paper considers regularizing a covariance matrix of $p$ variables estimated from $n$ observations, by hard thresholding. We show that the thresholded estimate is consistent in the operator norm as long as the true covariance matrix is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-21 Peter J. Bickel , Elizaveta Levina

Markowitz laid the foundation of portfolio theory through the mean-variance optimization (MVO) framework. However, the effectiveness of MVO is contingent on the precise estimation of expected returns, variances, and covariances of asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Junhyeong Lee , Haeun Jeon , Hyunglip Bae , Yongjae Lee

We consider covariance estimation in the multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD) and elliptically symmetric (ES) distribution. The maximum likelihood optimization associated with this problem is non-convex, yet it has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 Teng Zhang , Ami Wiesel , Maria Sabrina Grec

We characterize the squared prediction risk of ensemble estimators obtained through subagging (subsample bootstrap aggregating) regularized M-estimators and construct a consistent estimator for the risk. Specifically, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec

We consider nonconvex optimization problem over simplex, and more generally, a product of simplices. We provide an algorithm, Langevin Multiplicative Weights Update (LMWU) for solving global optimization problems by adding a noise scaling…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Yi Feng , Xiao Wang , Tian Xie

The entropic value-at-risk (EVaR) is a new coherent risk measure, which is an upper bound for both the value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). As important properties, the EVaR is strongly monotone over its domain and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-17 Amir Ahmadi-Javid , Malihe Fallah-Tafti

Unmeasured or latent variables are often the cause of correlations between multivariate measurements, which are studied in a variety of fields such as psychology, ecology, and medicine. For Gaussian measurements, there are classical tools…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Łukasz Kidziński , Francis K. C. Hui , David I. Warton , Trevor Hastie

This paper considers mean-variance optimization under uncertainty, specifically when one desires a sparsified set of optimal portfolio weights. From the standpoint of a Bayesian investor, our approach produces a small portfolio from many…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 David Puelz , P. Richard Hahn , Carlos M. Carvalho

The L1-regularized Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) has been shown to have strong statistical guarantees in recovering a sparse inverse covariance matrix, or alternatively the underlying graph structure of a Gaussian Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-14 Cho-Jui Hsieh , Matyas A. Sustik , Inderjit S. Dhillon , Pradeep Ravikumar

Real-world applications such as magnetic resonance imaging with multiple coils, multi-user communication, and diffuse optical tomography often assume a linear model where several sparse signals sharing common sparse supports are acquired by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-17 Junan Zhu , Dror Baron

Portfolio selection in the periodic investment of securities modeled by a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps is considered. The optimization framework is designed to maximize expected terminal wealth when portfolio risk is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Bahareh Afhami , Mohsen Rezapour , Mohsen Madadi , Vahed Maroufy

This paper considers the problem of robustly estimating a structured covariance matrix with an elliptical underlying distribution with known mean. In applications where the covariance matrix naturally possesses a certain structure, taking…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-29 Ying Sun , Prabhu Babu , Daniel P. Palomar

Feature alignment methods are used in many scientific disciplines for data pooling, annotation, and comparison. As an instance of a permutation learning problem, feature alignment presents significant statistical and computational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-23 Yanjun Han , Philippe Rigollet , George Stepaniants

Supervised learning is often affected by a covariate shift in which the marginal distributions of instances (covariates $x$) of training and testing samples $\mathrm{p}_\text{tr}(x)$ and $\mathrm{p}_\text{te}(x)$ are different but the label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-12 José I. Segovia-Martín , Santiago Mazuelas , Anqi Liu

Optimal transport has found widespread applications in signal processing and machine learning. Among its many equivalent formulations, optimal transport seeks to reconstruct a random variable/vector with a prescribed distribution at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Jun Chen , Jia Wang , Ruibin Li , Han Zhou , Wei Dong , Huan Liu , Yuanhao Yu

Generalized cross-validation (GCV) is a widely-used method for estimating the squared out-of-sample prediction risk that employs a scalar degrees of freedom adjustment (in a multiplicative sense) to the squared training error. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Pierre C. Bellec , Jin-Hong Du , Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Kai Tan
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