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Linear causal analysis is central to a wide range of important application spanning finance, the physical sciences, and engineering. Much of the existing literature in linear causal analysis operates in the time domain. Unfortunately, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-11 Francois W. Belletti , Evan R. Sparks , Michael J. Franklin , Alexandre M. Bayen , Joseph E. Gonzalez

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

This paper considers the problem of manifold functional multiple regression with functional response, time--varying scalar regressors, and functional error term displaying Long Range Dependence (LRD) in time. Specifically, the error term is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Diana P. Ovalle-Muñoz , M. Dolores Ruiz-Medina

This paper concerns about the limiting distributions of change point estimators, in a high-dimensional linear regression time series context, where a regression object $(y_t, X_t) \in \mathbb{R} \times \mathbb{R}^p$ is observed at every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Haotian Xu , Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Yi Yu

Discovering temporal lagged and inter-dependencies in multivariate time series data is an important task. However, in many real-world applications, such as commercial cloud management, manufacturing predictive maintenance, and portfolios…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Xuan-Hong Dang , Syed Yousaf Shah , Petros Zerfos

The success of large-scale models in recent years has increased the importance of statistical models with numerous parameters. Several studies have analyzed over-parameterized linear models with high-dimensional data, which may not be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Shogo Nakakita , Masaaki Imaizumi

Modeling inter-dependencies between time-series is the key to achieve high performance in anomaly detection for multivariate time-series data. The de-facto solution to model the dependencies is to feed the data into a recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Yuhang Wu , Mengting Gu , Lan Wang , Yusan Lin , Fei Wang , Hao Yang

The concept of distance covariance/correlation was introduced recently to characterize dependence among vectors of random variables. We review some statistical aspects of distance covariance/correlation function and we demonstrate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Dominic Edelmann , Konstantinos Fokianos , Maria Pitsillou

High-dimensional data analysis has been an active area, and the main focuses have been variable selection and dimension reduction. In practice, it occurs often that the variables are located on an unknown, lower-dimensional nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-31 Ming-Yen Cheng , Hau-tieng Wu

This article deals with detection of nonconstant long memory parameter in time series. The null hypothesis presumes stationary or nonstationary time series with constant long memory parameter, typically an I(d) series with d>-.5. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-01 Frédéric Lavancier , Remigijus Leipus , Anne Philippe , Donatas Surgailis

In the real world, long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF) is needed in many cases, such as power consumption prediction and air quality prediction.Multi-dimensional long time series model has more strict requirements on the model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ning Wang

Spectral networks derived from multivariate time series data arise in many domains, from brain science to Earth science. Often, it is of interest to study how these networks change under different conditions. For instance, to better…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Michael Hellstern , Byol Kim , Zaid Harchaoui , Ali Shojaie

Anomaly detection in SDN using data flow prediction is a difficult task. This problem is included in the category of time series and regression problems. Machine learning approaches are challenging in this field due to the manual selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Sajjad Salem , Salman Asoudeh

Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Wenhao Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

Sequence labeling is a fundamental problem in machine learning, natural language processing and many other fields. A classic approach to sequence labeling is linear chain conditional random fields (CRFs). When combined with neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Yang Zhou , Yong Jiang , Zechuan Hu , Kewei Tu

Approximate variational inference has shown to be a powerful tool for modeling unknown complex probability distributions. Recent advances in the field allow us to learn probabilistic models of sequences that actively exploit spatial and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-15 Maximilian Soelch , Justin Bayer , Marvin Ludersdorfer , Patrick van der Smagt

An important problem in space-time adaptive detection is the estimation of the large p-by-p interference covariance matrix from training signals. When the number of training signals n is greater than 2p, existing estimators are generally…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-26 Benjamin D. Robinson , Robert Malinas , Alfred O. Hero

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

The detection of serial dependence in binary or binomial valued time series is difficult using standard time series methods, particularly when there are regression effects to be modelled. In this paper we derive score-type tests for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, economics, environmental science, and biomedical engineering, aiding in forecasting, pattern identification, and understanding underlying mechanisms. While traditional time-domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Jonathan de Souza Matias , Valderio Anselmo Reisen