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Autoencoders are powerful machine learning models used to compress information from multiple data sources. However, autoencoders, like all artificial neural networks, are often unidentifiable and uninterpretable. This research focuses on…

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

Sub-seasonal weather forecasts are becoming increasingly important for a range of socio-economic activities. However, the predictive ability of physical weather models is very limited on these time scales. We propose several post-processing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-29 Nina Horat , Sebastian Lerch

Statistical postprocessing is used to translate ensembles of raw numerical weather forecasts into reliable probabilistic forecast distributions. In this study, we examine the use of permutation-invariant neural networks for this task. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-22 Kevin Höhlein , Benedikt Schulz , Rüdiger Westermann , Sebastian Lerch

Autoencoders are commonly trained using element-wise loss. However, element-wise loss disregards high-level structures in the image which can lead to embeddings that disregard them as well. A recent improvement to autoencoders that helps…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Gustav Grund Pihlgren , Fredrik Sandin , Marcus Liwicki

Large-scale numerical simulations often produce high-dimensional gridded data that is challenging to process for downstream applications. A prime example is numerical weather prediction, where atmospheric processes are modeled using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Jieyu Chen , Kevin Höhlein , Sebastian Lerch

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Time-domain astrophysics relies on heterogeneous and multi-modal data. Specialized models are often constructed to extract information from a single modality, but this approach ignores the wealth of cross-modality information that may be…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-23 Yunyi Shen , Alexander T. Gagliano

For centuries, scientists have observed nature to understand the laws that govern the physical world. The traditional process of turning observations into physical understanding is slow. Imperfect models are constructed and tested to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-27 M. Giselle Fernández-Godino , Donald D. Lucas , Qingkai Kong

We explore the use of deep neural networks for nonlinear dimensionality reduction in climate applications. We train convolutional autoencoders (CAEs) to encode two temperature field datasets from pre-industrial control runs in the CMIP5…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-06 J. A. Saenz , N. Lubbers , N. M. Urban

Statistical postprocessing techniques are commonly used to improve the skill of ensembles of numerical weather forecasts. This paper considers spatial extensions of the well-established nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Kira Feldmann , Michael Scheuerer , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

When sensors collect spatio-temporal data in a large geographical area, the existence of missing data cannot be escaped. Missing data negatively impacts the performance of data analysis and machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Reza Asadi , Amelia Regan

The goal of this study was to improve the post-processing of precipitation forecasts using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Instead of post-processing forecasts on a per-pixel basis, as is usually done when employing machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Bob de Ruiter

Predicting high-dimensional dynamical systems with irregular time steps presents significant challenges for current data-driven algorithms. These irregularities arise from missing data, sparse observations, or adaptive computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Kewei Zhu , Yanze Xin , Jinwei Hu , Xiaoyuan Cheng , Yiming Yang , Sibo Cheng

Image translation with convolutional autoencoders has recently been used as an approach to multimodal change detection in bitemporal satellite images. A main challenge is the alignment of the code spaces by reducing the contribution of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Luigi T. Luppino , Mads A. Hansen , Michael Kampffmeyer , Filippo M. Bianchi , Gabriele Moser , Robert Jenssen , Stian N. Anfinsen

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) possess many positive qualities when it comes to spatial raster data. Translation invariance enables CNNs to detect features regardless of their position in the scene. However, in some domains, like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Arnas Uselis , Mantas Lukoševičius , Lukas Stasytis

We introduce a framework for unsupervised learning of structured predictors with overlapping, global features. Each input's latent representation is predicted conditional on the observable data using a feature-rich conditional random field.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Waleed Ammar , Chris Dyer , Noah A. Smith

This work describes a novel data-driven latent space inference framework built on paired autoencoders to handle observational inconsistencies when solving inverse problems. Our approach uses two autoencoders, one for the parameter space and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Emma Hart , Bas Peters , Julianne Chung , Matthias Chung

Spatiotemporal prediction aims to generate future sequences by paradigms learned from historical contexts. It is essential in numerous domains, such as traffic flow prediction and weather forecasting. Recently, research in this field has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Wenxuan Zhang , Xuechao Zou , Li Wu , Xiaoying Wang , Jianqiang Huang , Junliang Xing

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler
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