English
Related papers

Related papers: Forecasting new diseases in low-data settings usin…

200 papers

In the present article we introduce an epidemiological model for the investigation of the spread of epidemics caused by viruses. The model is applied specifically to COVID-19, the disease caused by the SARS-Cov-2 virus (aka "novel…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Rodrigo A. Schulz , Carlos H. Coimbra-Araújo , Samuel W. S. Costiche

The advent of the coronavirus pandemic has sparked the interest in predictive models capable of forecasting virus-spreading, especially for boosting and supporting decision-making processes. In this paper, we will outline the main Deep…

Transfer learning is beneficial for survival analysis, especially when the target study has a limited number of events. However, existing transfer learning methods rely on the restrictive assumption that the target and source studies share…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , D. Y. Lin

Understanding how information propagates in real-life complex networks yields a better understanding of dynamic processes such as misinformation or epidemic spreading. The recently introduced branch of machine learning methods for learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Sebastian Mežnar , Nada Lavrač , Blaž Škrlj

In February 2016, World Health Organization declared the Zika outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. With developing evidence it can cause birth defects, and the Summer Olympics coming up in the worst affected country,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-13 Amira Ghenai , Yelena Mejova

This research presents the development of an Artificial Intelligence (AI) - driven crop disease detection system designed to assist farmers in rural areas with limited resources. We aim to compare different deep learning models for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Saundarya Subramaniam , Shalini Majumdar , Shantanu Nadar , Kaustubh Kulkarni

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

Accurate forecasts of the number of newly infected people during an epidemic are critical for making effective timely decisions. This paper addresses this challenge using the SIMLR model, which incorporates machine learning (ML) into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Roberto Vega , Leonardo Flores , Russell Greiner

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

As global living standards improve and medical technology advances, many infectious diseases have been effectively controlled. However, certain diseases, such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, continue to pose significant threats to public…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Ayesha Baig , Li Zhouxin

Predicting whether to expect a high incidence of infectious diseases is critical for health surveillance. In the epidemiology of dengue, environmental conditions can significantly impact the transmission of the virus. Utilizing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Daniel A. M. Villela

Dengue transmission is rapidly expanding beyond its historical tropical range, raising concerns about how climate change may alter the collective dynamics of epidemics. While most studies focus on transmission risk, much less is known about…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-11 Enrique C. Gabrick , Antonio M. Batista , Iberê L. Caldas , Jürgen Kurths , Maíra Aguiar

Containment of epidemic outbreaks entails great societal and economic costs. Cost-effective containment strategies rely on efficiently identifying infected individuals, making the best possible use of the available testing resources.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Laura Natali , Saga Helgadottir , Onofrio M. Marago , Giovanni Volpe

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to upgrade systems for infectious disease surveillance and forecasting and modeling of the spread of infection, both of which inform evidence-based public health guidance and policies. Here, we…

Machine learning strategies like multi-task learning, meta-learning, and transfer learning enable efficient adaptation of machine learning models to specific applications in healthcare, such as prediction of various diseases, by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Sophie Wharrie , Lisa Eick , Lotta Mäkinen , Andrea Ganna , Samuel Kaski , FinnGen

The performance of data-driven prediction models depends on the availability of data samples for model training. A model that learns about dengue fever incidence in a population uses historical data from that corresponding location. Poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Tanvir Ferdousi , Lee W. Cohnstaedt , Caterina M. Scoglio

Pandemic outbreaks such as COVID-19 occur unexpectedly, and need immediate action due to their potential devastating consequences on global health. Point-of-care routine assessments such as electrocardiogram (ECG), can be used to develop…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-12 Weijie Sun , Sunil Vasu Kalmady , Nariman Sepehrvand , Luan Manh Chu , Zihan Wang , Amir Salimi , Abram Hindle , Russell Greiner , Padma Kaul

Understanding epidemic dynamics in urban environments requires models that capture interactions across space and time while incorporating biological constraints. In this work, we propose a probabilistic spatiotemporal framework based on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-15 Marcílio Ferreira dos Santos , Cleiton de Lima Ricardo

Traditional disease transmission models assume that the infectious period is exponentially distributed with a recovery rate fixed in time and across individuals. This assumption provides analytical and computational advantages, however it…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-30 Laura Di Domenico , Eugenio Valdano , Vittoria Colizza