Related papers: Robust and Efficient Parameter Estimation for Disc…
Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…
This paper is concerned with the online estimation of a nonlinear dynamic system from a series of noisy measurements. The focus is on cases wherein outliers are present in-between normal noises. We assume that the outliers follow an unknown…
Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…
Parameter inference for stochastic differential equation mixed effects models (SDEMEMs) is a challenging problem. Analytical solutions for these models are rarely available, which means that the likelihood is also intractable. In this case,…
We study the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) in the multivariate deviated model where the data are generated from the density function $(1-\lambda^{\ast})h_{0}(x)+\lambda^{\ast}f(x|\mu^{\ast}, \Sigma^{\ast})$ in which $h_{0}$ is a known…
Training machine learning and statistical models often involves optimizing a data-driven risk criterion. The risk is usually computed with respect to the empirical data distribution, but this may result in poor and unstable out-of-sample…
We present a new approach for estimating parameters in rational ODE models from given (measured) time series data. In typical existing approaches, an initial guess for the parameter values is made from a given search interval. Then, in a…
Estimators derived from a divergence criterion such as $\varphi-$divergences are generally more robust than the maximum likelihood ones. We are interested in particular in the so-called MD$\varphi$DE, an estimator built using a dual…
A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…
The normality assumption on data set is very restrictive approach for modelling. The generalized form of normal distribution, named as an exponential power (EP) distribution, and its scale mixture form have been considered extensively to…
Employing nonparametric methods for density estimation has become routine in Bayesian statistical practice. Models based on discrete nonparametric priors such as Dirichlet Process Mixture (DPM) models are very attractive choices due to…
In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…
The likelihood functions for discretely observed nonlinear continuous-time models based on stochastic differential equations are not available except for a few cases. Various parameter estimation techniques have been proposed, each with…
In this paper, we consider an integrated MSP-MDP framework which captures features of Markov decision process (MDP) and multistage stochastic programming (MSP). The integrated framework allows one to study a dynamic decision-making process…
Recently, a growing amount interest is quite evident in modelling dependent competing risks in life time prognosis problem. In this work, we propose to model the dependent competing risks by Marshal-Olkin bivariate exponential distribution.…
Differential machine learning (DML) is a recently proposed technique that uses samplewise state derivatives to regularize least square fits to learn conditional expectations of functionals of stochastic processes as functions of state…
Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…
For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…
In this paper we study the problem of pointwise density estimation from observations with multiplicative measurement errors. We elucidate the main feature of this problem: the influence of the estimation point on the estimation accuracy. In…
In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable…