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Interacting systems are prevalent in nature. It is challenging to accurately predict the dynamics of the system if its constituent components are analyzed independently. We develop a graph-based model that unveils the systemic interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Giangiacomo Mercatali , Andre Freitas , Jie Chen

Time-series causal discovery (TSCD) is a fundamental problem of machine learning. However, existing synthetic datasets cannot properly evaluate or predict the algorithms' performance on real data. This study introduces the CausalTime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Yuxiao Cheng , Ziqian Wang , Tingxiong Xiao , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

The estimation of causal network architectures in the brain is fundamental for understanding cognitive information processes. However, access to the dynamic processes underlying cognition is limited to indirect measurements of the hidden…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-17 H. C. Ruiz-Euler , H. J. Kappen

Many real-world processes are trajectories that may be regarded as continuous-time "functional data". Examples include patients' biomarker concentrations, environmental pollutant levels, and prices of stocks. Corresponding advances in data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Jinghao Sun , Forrest W. Crawford

Identifying causal relationships is a challenging yet crucial problem in many fields of science like epidemiology, climatology, ecology, genomics, economics and neuroscience, to mention only a few. Recent studies have demonstrated that…

Temporality, a crucial characteristic in the formation of social relationships, was used to quantify the long-term time effects of networks for link prediction models, ignoring the heterogeneity of time effects on different time scales. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Yueran Duan , Mateusz Nurek , Qing Guan , Radosław Michalski , Petter Holme

Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-15 David Strieder , Tobias Freidling , Stefan Haffner , Mathias Drton

In this paper we explore representations of temporal knowledge based upon the formalism of Causal Probabilistic Networks (CPNs). Two different ?continuous-time? representations are proposed. In the first, the CPN includes variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Carlo Berzuini , Riccardo Bellazzi , Silvana Quaglini

Recent advances in neuroimaging along with algorithmic innovations in statistical learning from network data offer a unique pathway to integrate brain structure and function, and thus facilitate revealing some of the brain's organizing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 Yang Li , Gonzalo Mateos , Zhengwu Zhang

Predictive Coding (PC) is a biologically-inspired learning framework characterised by local, parallelisable operations, properties that enable energy-efficient implementation on neuromorphic hardware. Despite this, extending PC effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Tom Potter , Oliver Rhodes

The ability to understand causality from data is one of the major milestones of human-level intelligence. Causal Discovery (CD) algorithms can identify the cause-effect relationships among the variables of a system from related…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Uzma Hasan , Emam Hossain , Md Osman Gani

Predictive coding (PC) is an influential computational model of visual learning and inference in the brain. Classical PC was proposed as a top-down generative model, where the brain actively predicts upcoming visual inputs, and inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Gaspard Oliviers , Mufeng Tang , Rafal Bogacz

We consider the problem of inferring the directed, causal graph from observational data, assuming no hidden confounders. We take an information theoretic approach, and make three main contributions. First, we show how through algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-07 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

Understanding brain dynamics and functions critically depends on knowledge of the network connectivity among neurons. However, the complexity of brain structural connectivity, coupled with continuous modifications driven by synaptic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-04 Kai Chen , Mingzhang Wang , Songting Li , Douglas Zhou

Structural and functional heterogeneity are hallmarks of cortical circuits, from broad degree distributions in the mouse connectome to diverse intrinsic neuronal timescales. Yet a mechanistic link between connectivity heterogeneity and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-05 Marco Zenari , Luca Taffarello , Luca Mazzucato , Amos Maritan , Samir Suweis

In a temporal network causal paths are characterized by the fact that links from a source to a target must respect the chronological order. In this article we study the causal paths structure in temporal networks of human face to face…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Agostino Funel

We introduce a new approach to functional causal modeling from observational data, called Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNN). CGNN leverages the power of neural networks to learn a generative model of the joint distribution of the…

Discovering causal relationships from observational data is a crucial problem and it has applications in many research areas. The PC algorithm is the state-of-the-art constraint based method for causal discovery. However, runtime of the PC…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Thuc Duy Le , Tao Hoang , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Huawen Liu

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Non-communicable disease is the leading cause of death, emphasizing the need for accurate prediction of disease progression and informed clinical decision-making. Machine learning (ML) models have shown promise in this domain by capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Zhoujian Sun , Wenzhuo Zhang , Zhengxing Huang , Nai Ding , Cheng Luo