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Predictions are often probabilities; e.g., a prediction could be for precipitation tomorrow, but with only a 30% chance. Given such probabilistic predictions together with the actual outcomes, "reliability diagrams" help detect and diagnose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Imanol Arrieta-Ibarra , Paman Gujral , Jonathan Tannen , Mark Tygert , Cherie Xu

Model misspecification can create significant challenges for the implementation of probabilistic models, and this has led to development of a range of robust methods which directly account for this issue. However, whether these more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Oscar Key , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol , Tamara Fernandez

In this paper we propose a Bayesian answer to testing problems when the hypotheses are not well separated. The idea of the method is to study the posterior distribution of a discrepancy measure between the parameter and the model we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Jean-Bernard Salomond

Computational chemistry has become an important complement to experimental measurements. In order to choose among the multitude of the existing approximations, it is common to use benchmark data sets, and to issue recommendations based on…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-04-02 Andreas Savin , Pascal Pernot

A central area of research in nonlinear science is the study of instabilities that drive the emergence of extreme events. Unfortunately, experimental techniques for measuring such phenomena often provide only partial characterization. For…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-06-19 Mikko Närhi , Lauri Salmela , Juha Toivonen , Cyril Billet , John M. Dudley , Goëry Genty

Distance metric learning is a branch of machine learning that aims to learn distances from the data, which enhances the performance of similarity-based algorithms. This tutorial provides a theoretical background and foundations on this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Juan Luis Suárez-Díaz , Salvador García , Francisco Herrera

A distance measure is presented between two unitary propagators of quantum systems of differing dimensions along with a corresponding method of computation. A typical application is to compare the propagator of the actual (real) process…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Robert L. Kosut , Matthew Grace , Constantin Brif , Herschel Rabitz

We study the density estimation problem with observations generated by certain dynamical systems that admit a unique underlying invariant Lebesgue density. Observations drawn from dynamical systems are not independent and moreover, usual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hanyuan Hang , Ingo Steinwart , Yunlong Feng , Johan A. K. Suykens

For many optimization problems it is possible to define a distance metric between problem variables that correlates with the likelihood and strength of interactions between the variables. For example, one may define a metric so that the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-01-12 Martin Pelikan , Mark W. Hauschild

We introduce a distance between kernels based on the Wasserstein distances between their values, study its properties, and prove that it is a metric on an appropriately defined space of kernels. We also relate it to various modes of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Zhengqi Lin , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Motivation: A branching processes model yields an unevenly stochastically distributed dataset that consists of sparse and dense regions. This work addresses the problem of precisely evaluating parameters for such a model. Applying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-09 Iurii S. Nagornov

Identifying how dependence relationships vary across different conditions plays a significant role in many scientific investigations. For example, it is important for the comparison of biological systems to see if relationships between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-31 Hoseung Song , Michael C. Wu

A pivotal task in quantum metrology, and quantum parameter estimation in general, is to de- sign schemes that achieve the highest precision with given resources. Standard models of quantum metrology usually assume the dynamics is fixed, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-18 Jing Liu , Haidong Yuan

The beam-plasma instability, i.e. the response of the plasma bulk to the injection of supra thermal charged-particle beams, results to be appropriately characterized by a long-range interaction system. This physical system hosts a number of…

Long-range interactions and electric response are essential for accurate modeling of condensed-phase systems, but capturing them efficiently remains a challenge for atomistic machine learning. Traditionally, these two phenomena can be…

We prove convergence of the proximal policy gradient method for a class of constrained stochastic control problems with control in both the drift and diffusion of the state process. The problem requires either the running or terminal cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Ashley Davey , Harry Zheng

We present a systematic expansion in the ratio between the level spacing and temperature and employ it to evaluate differences between statistical mechanics and thermodynamics in finite disordered systems. These differences are related to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alex Kamenev , Yuval Gefen

In this paper, Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) as a non-parametric estimation method is used to investigate statistical properties of nuclear spectra. The deviation to regular or chaotic dynamics, is exhibited by closer distances to Poisson…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2011-12-13 M. A. Jafarizadeh , N. Fouladi , H. Sabri , B. Rashidian Maleki

In this paper, we focus on the problem of statistical dependence estimation using characteristic functions. We propose a statistical dependence measure, based on the maximum-norm of the difference between joint and product-marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Povilas Daniušis , Shubham Juneja , Lukas Kuzma , Virginijus Marcinkevičius

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel
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