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Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

Multivariate time-series data are frequently observed in critical care settings and are typically characterized by sparsity (missing information) and irregular time intervals. Existing approaches for learning representations in this domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Sindhu Tipirneni , Chandan K. Reddy

Time irreversibility is a common signature of nonlinear processes, and a fundamental property of non-equilibrium systems driven by non-conservative forces. A time series is said to be reversible if its statistical properties are invariant…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-08 Johann H. Martínez , José L. Herrera-Diestra , Mario Chavez

In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Nopporn Thamrongrat , Bezirgen Veliyev

A ubiquitous problem in pattern recognition is that of matching an observed time-evolving pattern (or signal) to a gold standard in order to recognize or characterize the meaning of a dynamic phenomenon. Examples include matching sequences…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Gregory S Chirikjian

We review two recently developed efficient methods for calculating rate constants of processes dominated by rare events in high-dimensional complex systems. The first is transition interface sampling (TIS), based on the measurement of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Titus S. van Erp , Peter G. Bolhuis

A general input-output modelling technique for aperiodic-sampling linear systems has been developed. The procedure describes the dynamics of the system and includes the sequence of sampling periods among the variables to be handled. Some…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-08-14 Amparo Fúster-Sabater , J. M. Guillén

This survey is an introduction to asymptotic methods for portfolio-choice problems with small transaction costs. We outline how to derive the corresponding dynamic programming equations and simplify them in the small-cost limit. This allows…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-25 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Max Reppen , H. Mete Soner

In time series classification and regression, signals are typically mapped into some intermediate representation used for constructing models. Since the underlying task is often insensitive to time shifts, these representations are required…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Joakim Andén , Vincent Lostanlen , Stéphane Mallat

Epidemiologic studies and clinical trials with a survival outcome are often challenged by immortal time (IMT), a period of follow-up during which the survival outcome cannot occur because of the observed later treatment initiation. It has…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-08 Jiping Wang , Peter Peduzzi , Michael Wininger , Shuangge Ma

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

Irregularly sampled multivariate time series (ISMTS) are prevalent in reality. Due to their non-uniform intervals between successive observations and varying sampling rates among series, the channel-independent (CI) strategy, which has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Jiexi Liu , Meng Cao , Songcan Chen

Irregular temporal data, characterized by varying recording frequencies, differing observation durations, and missing values, presents significant challenges across fields like mobility, healthcare, and environmental science. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Francesco Spinnato , Cristiano Landi

In many domains, such as healthcare, time-series data is often irregularly sampled with varying intervals between observations. This poses challenges for classical time-series models that require equally spaced data. To address this, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Ziyang Song , Qingcheng Lu , He Zhu , David Buckeridge , Yue Li

In the last years there has been a considerable increase in the availability of continuous sensor measurements in a wide range of application domains, such as Location-Based Services (LBS), medical monitoring systems, manufacturing plants…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Michele Dallachiesa , Besmira Nushi , Katsiaryna Mirylenka , Themis Palpanas

We present a spectrogram separation method tailored for mixtures comprising two nonstationary components. By exploiting the unique characteristics of their time-frequency representations, we propose an inverse problem formulation to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 Adrien Meynard , Ama Marina Kreme

Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-08 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

Probabilistic forecasting of irregularly sampled multivariate time series with missing values is an important problem in many fields, including health care, astronomy, and climate. State-of-the-art methods for the task estimate only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Randolf Scholz , Stefan Born , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to multivariate time-varying power spectrum analysis. The procedure adaptively partitions a time series into an unknown number of approximately stationary segments, where some spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-28 Zeda Li , Robert T. Krafty

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler