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Decomposing complex time series into trend, seasonality, and remainder components is an important task to facilitate time series anomaly detection and forecasting. Although numerous methods have been proposed, there are still many time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Qingsong Wen , Jingkun Gao , Xiaomin Song , Liang Sun , Huan Xu , Shenghuo Zhu

An adaptive interpolation scheme is proposed to accurately calculate the wideband responses in electromagnetic simulations. In the proposed scheme, the sampling points are first carefully divided into several groups based on their responses…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Kai Zhu , Jinhui Wang , Shunchuan Yang

Time series classification is a task that aims at classifying chronological data. It is used in a diverse range of domains such as meteorology, medicine and physics. In the last decade, many algorithms have been built to perform this task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Michael Franklin Mbouopda , Engelbert Mephu Nguifo

Unsupervised detection of anomaly points in time series is a challenging problem, which requires the model to derive a distinguishable criterion. Previous methods tackle the problem mainly through learning pointwise representation or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Jiehui Xu , Haixu Wu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Notions and limits from standard time series analysis must be modified when treating series which are measured irregularly and contain long gaps. Classical Nyquist criterion to estimate frequency range which is potentially recoverable must…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2009-04-27 Jaan Pelt

Spectra of ordered eigenvalues of finite Random Matrices are interpreted as a time series. Dataadaptive techniques from signal analysis are applied to decompose the spectrum in clearly differentiated trend and fluctuation modes, avoiding…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-12-12 Ruben Fossion , Gamaliel Torres Vargas , Juan Carlos López Vieyra

We propose a novel approach for analysing time series using complex network theory. We identify the recurrence matrix calculated from time series with the adjacency matrix of a complex network, and apply measures for the characterisation of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-17 N. Marwan , J. F. Donges , Y. Zou , R. V. Donner , J. Kurths

The frequency-domain properties of nonstationary functional time series often contain valuable information. These properties are characterized through its time-varying power spectrum. Practitioners seeking low-dimensional summary measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-12 Pramita Bagchi , Scott A. Bruce

Irregular multivariate time series with missing values present significant challenges for predictive modeling in domains such as healthcare. While deep learning approaches often focus on temporal interpolation or complex architectures to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dingyi Nie , Yixing Wu , C. -C. Jay Kuo

Shapelets are discriminative time series subsequences that allow generation of interpretable classification models, which provide faster and generally better classification than the nearest neighbor approach. However, the shapelet discovery…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-23 Atif Raza , Stefan Kramer

This article introduces the class of periodic trawl processes, which are continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary stochastic processes, that allow for periodicity and flexible forms of their serial correlation, including both…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Almut E. D. Veraart

If quantum information processors are to fulfill their potential, the diverse errors that affect them must be understood and suppressed. But errors typically fluctuate over time, and the most widely used tools for characterizing them assume…

Fluctuations in a vast range of physical systems can be described as a superposition of uncorrelated pulses with a fixed shape, a process commonly referred to as a (generalized) shot noise or a filtered Poisson process. In this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-09 Sajidah Ahmed , Odd Erik Garcia , Audun Theodorsen

Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Rasool Fakoor , Jonas Mueller , Zachary C. Lipton , Pratik Chaudhari , Alexander J. Smola

Due to the non-stationarity of time series, the distribution shift problem largely hinders the performance of time series forecasting. Existing solutions either rely on using certain statistics to specify the shift, or developing specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Wei Fan , Shun Zheng , Pengyang Wang , Rui Xie , Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Jiang Bian , Yanjie Fu

In this paper, we propose ShapTST, a framework that enables time-series transformers to efficiently generate Shapley-value-based explanations alongside predictions in a single forward pass. Shapley values are widely used to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Qisen Cheng , Jinming Xing , Chang Xue , Xiaoran Yang

Real-world time series data that commonly reflect sequential human behavior are often uniquely irregularly sampled and sparse, with highly nonuniform sampling over time and entities. Yet, commonly-used pretraining and augmentation methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Nicasia Beebe-Wang , Sayna Ebrahimi , Jinsung Yoon , Sercan O. Arik , Tomas Pfister

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

A practical constraint that comes in the way of spectrum estimation of a continuous time stationary stochastic process is the minimum separation between successively observed samples of the process. When the underlying process is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-23 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta