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In this work, I propose a statistical mechanical framework, for the evaluation of the free energy in molecular systems, by "deleting" all the molecules in a "single" step. The approach can be considered as the statistical mechanics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-16 Georgios C. Boulougouris

Importance Sampling (IS) is a method for approximating expectations under a target distribution using independent samples from a proposal distribution and the associated importance weights. In many applications, the target distribution is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-14 Gabriel Cardoso , Sergey Samsonov , Achille Thin , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Efficient and accurate algorithm for partition function, free energy and thermal entropy calculations is of great significance in statistical physics and quantum many-body physics. Here we present an unbiased but low-technical-barrier…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-19 Yi-Ming Ding , Jun-Song Sun , Nvsen Ma , Gaopei Pan , Chen Cheng , Zheng Yan

The mean ionization state (MIS) is a critical property in dense plasma and warm dense matter research, for example as an input to hydrodynamics simulations and Monte-Carlo simulations. Unfortunately, however, the best way to compute the MIS…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2023-02-16 Timothy J. Callow , Eli Kraisler , Attila Cangi

Recent research has developed several Monte Carlo methods for estimating the normalization constant (partition function) based on the idea of annealing. This means sampling successively from a path of distributions that interpolate between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-10 Omar Chehab , Aapo Hyvarinen , Andrej Risteski

This paper introduces Adaptive Mixture Importance Sampling (AMIS) as a novel approach for optimizing key performance indicators (KPIs) in large-scale recommender systems, such as online ad auctions. Traditional importance sampling (IS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Yimeng Jia , Kaushal Paneri , Rong Huang , Kailash Singh Maurya , Pavan Mallapragada , Yifan Shi

Population annealing (PA) is a population-based algorithm that is designed for equilibrium simulations of thermodynamic systems with a rough free energy landscape. It is known to be more efficient in doing so than standard Markov chain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-04 Denis Gessert , Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) is an indispensable tool in rendering that constructs robust sampling strategies by combining the respective strengths of individual distributions. Its efficiency can be greatly improved by carefully…

Graphics · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Joshua Meyer , Alexander Rath , Ömercan Yazici , Philipp Slusallek

This paper investigates the use of retrospective approximation solution paradigm in solving risk-averse optimization problems effectively via importance sampling (IS). While IS serves as a prominent means for tackling the large sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-28 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy , Tirtho Sarker

Kernel methods have revolutionized the fields of pattern recognition and machine learning. Their success, however, critically depends on the choice of kernel parameters. Using Gaussian process (GP) classification as a working example, this…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-27 Maurizio Filippone

The population annealing algorithm is a population-based equilibrium version of simulated annealing. It can sample thermodynamic systems with rough free-energy landscapes more efficiently than standard Markov chain Monte Carlo alone. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-17 Denis Gessert , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) algorithms are widely used to approximate expectations with respect to complicated target probability distributions. When the target has heavy tails, existing AIS algorithms can provide inconsistent…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-26 Thomas Guilmeau , Nicola Branchini , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

We consider an Ising model with quenched surface disorder, the disorder average of the free energy is the main object of interest. Explicit expressions for the free energy distribution are difficult to obtain if the quenched surface spins…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-10-30 Nils Gluth , Thomas Guhr , Alfred Hucht

Biehl et al (2020) present some interesting observations on an early formulation of the free energy principle in (Friston, 2013). We use these observations to scaffold a discussion of the technical arguments that underwrite the free energy…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Karl Friston , Lancelot Da Costa , Thomas Parr

This article investigates the integration of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods using the Adaptive Multiple Importance Sampling (AMIS). Traditional Importance Sampling (IS) often suffers from poor performance since it heavily relies on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Jianlong Chen , Jiarui Du , Xiaoqun Wang , Zhijian He

Bayesian inference involves two main computational challenges. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the posterior distribution may well be highly multi-modal: a regime in which the convergence to stationarity of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-10 F. Feroz , M. P. Hobson , E. Cameron , A. N. Pettitt

The energy splitting $E_{0a}$ in two and four dimensional Ising models is measured in a cylindrical geometry on finite lattices. By comparing to exact results in the two dimensional Ising model we demonstrate that $E_{0a}$ can be extracted…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-22 Karl Jansen , Yue Shen

Exact free energy minimization is a convex optimization problem that is usually approximated with stochastic sampling methods. Deterministic approximations have been less successful because many desirable properties have been difficult to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-03-17 Jonathan E. Moussa

We analyze the optimized adaptive importance sampler (OAIS) for performing Monte Carlo integration with general proposals. We leverage a classical result which shows that the bias and the mean-squared error (MSE) of the importance sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-30 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz