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This article presents an original methodology for the prediction of steady turbulent aerodynamic fields. Due to the important computational cost of high-fidelity aerodynamic simulations, a surrogate model is employed to cope with the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-05 Romain Dupuis , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Pierre Sagaut

Data-driven methods have demonstrated strong predictive capabilities in fluid mechanics, yet most current applications still focus on simplified configurations, often characterised by statistical stationarity or limited temporal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-21 Miguel M. Valero , Marcello Meldi

Covariance localization is a critical component of ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) and many current localization schemes simply dampen correlations as a function of distance. Increases in computational resources, broadening scope of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-08-27 Shay Gilpin , Matthias Morzfeld , Kevin K. Lin

Many dynamical systems are difficult or impossible to model using high fidelity physics based models. Consequently, researchers are relying more on data driven models to make predictions and forecasts. Based on limited training data,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-09 Max M. Chumley , Firas A. Khasawneh

Data assimilation (DA) is a fundamental component of modern weather prediction, yet it remains a major computational bottleneck in machine learning (ML)-based forecasting pipelines due to reliance on traditional variational methods. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Ran Cheng , Lailai Zhu

Increasing the resolution of a model can improve the performance of a data assimilation system: first because model field are in better agreement with high resolution observations, then the corrections are better sustained and, with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Sébastien Barthélémy , Julien Brajard , Laurent Bertino , François Counillon

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

In engineering design and scientific computing, computational cost and predictive accuracy are intrinsically coupled. High-fidelity simulations provide accurate predictions but at substantial computational costs, while lower-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ahmed Mohamed Eisa Nasr , Ali Elham , Haris Moazam Sheikh

Predictive simulations are essential for applications ranging from weather forecasting to material design. The veracity of these simulations hinges on their capacity to capture the effective system dynamics. Massively parallel simulations…

Many engineering applications rely on the evaluation of expensive, non-linear high-dimensional functions. In this paper, we propose the RONAALP algorithm (Reduced Order Nonlinear Approximation with Active Learning Procedure) to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-20 Clément Scherding , Georgios Rigas , Denis Sipp , Peter J Schmid , Taraneh Sayadi

Excessive computational cost for learning large data and streaming data can be alleviated by using stochastic algorithms, such as stochastic gradient descent and its variants. Recent advances improve stochastic algorithms on convergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-24 Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

Modern data-driven surrogate models for weather forecasting provide accurate short-term predictions but inaccurate and nonphysical long-term forecasts. This paper investigates online weather prediction using machine learning surrogates…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-12 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Data assimilation (DA) aims to estimate the full state of a dynamical system by combining partial and noisy observations with a prior model forecast, commonly referred to as the background. In atmospheric applications, this problem is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-29 Jing-An Sun , Hang Fan , Junchao Gong , Ben Fei , Kun Chen , Fenghua Ling , Wenlong Zhang , Wanghan Xu , Li Yan , Pierre Gentine , Lei Bai

Data-driven optimization has found many successful applications in the real world and received increased attention in the field of evolutionary optimization. Most existing algorithms assume that the data used for optimization is always…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Jinjin Xu , Yaochu Jin , Wenli Du

Image-based, patient-specific modelling of hemodynamics can improve diagnostic capabilities and provide complementary insights to better understand the hemodynamic treatment outcomes. However, computational fluid dynamics simulations remain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Francesco Romor , Felipe Galarce , Jan Brüning , Leonid Goubergrits , Alfonso Caiazzo

Surrogate models are used for global approximation of responses generated by expensive computer experiments like CFD applications. In this paper, we make use of structural similarities which are shared by a class of related problems. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Benjamin Rosenbaum , Volker Schulz

Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science. In practice, filtering methods rely on…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-15 Yixuan Jia , Siyi Chen , Yida Pan , Xiao Li , Lianghe Shi , Chanyong Jung , Haijie Yuan , Ismail Alkhouri , Yue Cynthia Wu , Saiprasad Ravishankar , Jeffrey A Fessler , Qing Qu

Data assimilation refers to the process of obtaining an estimate of a system's state using a model for the system's time evolution and a time series of measurements that are possibly noisy and incomplete. However, for practical reasons, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew Cornick , Brian Hunt , Edward Ott , Michael F. Schatz

Performing reliability analysis on complex systems is often computationally expensive. In particular, when dealing with systems having high input dimensionality, reliability estimation becomes a daunting task. A popular approach to overcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-22 Navaneeth N. , Souvik Chakraborty

Simulation of complex dynamical systems arising in many applications is computationally challenging due to their size and complexity. Model order reduction, machine learning, and other types of surrogate modeling techniques offer cheaper…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Steven Roberts , Andrey A Popov , Arash Sarshar , Adrian Sandu