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Bayesian Optimization has become the reference method for the global optimization of black box, expensive and possibly noisy functions. Bayesian Op-timization learns a probabilistic model about the objective function, usually a Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Antonio Candelieri , Ilaria Giordani , Riccardo Perego , Francesco Archetti

Global optimization problems whose objective function is expensive to evaluate can be solved effectively by recursively fitting a surrogate function to function samples and minimizing an acquisition function to generate new samples. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Alberto Bemporad

Expensive optimization problems (EOPs) are prevalent in real-world applications, where the evaluation of a single solution requires a significant amount of resources. In our study of surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithms (SAEAs) in…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Hao Hao , Xiaoqun Zhang , Aimin Zhou

In Bayesian optimization, a black-box function is maximized via the use of a surrogate model. We apply distributed Thompson sampling, using a Gaussian process as a surrogate model, to approach the multi-agent Bayesian optimization problem.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Saba Zerefa , Zhaolin Ren , Haitong Ma , Na Li

The problem of maximizing precision at the top of a ranked list, often dubbed Precision@k (prec@k), finds relevance in myriad learning applications such as ranking, multi-label classification, and learning with severe label imbalance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-27 Purushottam Kar , Harikrishna Narasimhan , Prateek Jain

Accurate surrogate construction for PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation is challenging when performance evaluations are expensive. Since a globally accurate surrogate may require many high-fidelity evaluations, adaptive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

The key idea of Bayesian optimization is replacing an expensive target function with a cheap surrogate model. By selection of an acquisition function for Bayesian optimization, we trade off between exploration and exploitation. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-20 Leonid Matyushin , Alexey Zaytsev , Oleg Alenkin , Andrey Ustuzhanin

We present a new machine learning approach to estimate personalized treatment effects in the classical potential outcomes framework with binary outcomes. To overcome the problem that both treatment and control outcomes for the same unit are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-07 Siong Thye Goh , Cynthia Rudin

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for exponential family models with intractable normalizing constant, such as the exchange algorithm, require simulations of the sufficient statistics at every iteration of the Markov chain, which often…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Quan Vu , Matthew T. Moores , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions by combining prior knowledge with ongoing function evaluations. BO constructs a probabilistic surrogate model of the objective function given the covariates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Roi Naveiro , Becky Tang

In networked dynamical systems, inferring governing parameters is crucial for predicting nodal dynamics, such as gene expression levels, species abundance, or population density. While many parameter estimation techniques rely on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-03-25 Yanna Ding , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

This paper introduces the necessary and sufficient conditions that surrogate functions must satisfy to properly define frontiers of non-dominated solutions in multi-objective optimization problems. These new conditions work directly on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Conrado Silva Miranda , Fernando José Von Zuben

Surrogate modeling has become a valuable technique for black-box optimization tasks with expensive evaluation of the objective function. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between the predictive accuracy of surrogate models and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Zbyněk Pitra , Jan Koza , Jiří Tumpach , Martin Holeňa

We consider the sample efficient estimation of failure probabilities from expensive oracle evaluations of a limit state function via importance sampling (IS). In contrast to conventional ``two stage'' approaches, which first train a…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-10 Ashwin Renganathan , Annie S. Booth

A surrogate-based topology optimisation algorithm for linear elastic structures under parametric loads and boundary conditions is proposed. Instead of learning the parametric solution of the state (and adjoint) problems or the optimisation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Matteo Giacomini , Antonio Huerta

Modern statistical applications often involve minimizing an objective function that may be nonsmooth and/or nonconvex. This paper focuses on a broad Bregman-surrogate algorithm framework including the local linear approximation, mirror…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-20 Yiyuan She , Zhifeng Wang , Jiuwu Jin

A key requirement for the current generation of artificial decision-makers is that they should adapt well to changes in unexpected situations. This paper addresses the situation in which an AI for aerial dog fighting, with tunable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-14 Brett W. Israelsen , Nisar Ahmed , Kenneth Center , Roderick Green , Winston Bennett

We provide novel theoretical insights on structured prediction in the context of efficient convex surrogate loss minimization with consistency guarantees. For any task loss, we construct a convex surrogate that can be optimized via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-30 Anton Osokin , Francis Bach , Simon Lacoste-Julien

Bayesian optimization has been shown to be a powerful tool for solving black box problems during online accelerator optimization. The major advantage of Bayesian based optimization techniques is the ability to include prior information…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2022-11-17 Connie Xu , Ryan Roussel , Auralee Edelen

We study consistency properties of machine learning methods based on minimizing convex surrogates. We extend the recent framework of Osokin et al. (2017) for the quantitative analysis of consistency properties to the case of inconsistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Kirill Struminsky , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Anton Osokin