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Cram\'{e}r-type large deviations for means of samples from a finite population are established under weak conditions. The results are comparable to results for the so-called self-normalized large deviation for independent random variables.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Zhishui Hu , John Robinson , Qiying Wang

We establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem for double-index permutation statistics (DIPS). To the best of our knowledge, previous results only provided Berry-Esseen type bounds for DIPS, which cannot yield moderate deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Songhao Liu , Qiman Shao , Jingyu Xu

We present deviation bounds for self-normalized averages and applications to estimation with a random number of observations. The results rely on a peeling argument in exponential martingale techniques that represents an alternative to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Aurélien Garivier

For self-normalized martingales with conditionally symmetric differences, de la Pe\~{n}a [A general class of exponential inequalities for martingales and ratios. Ann. Probab. 27, No.1, 537-564] established the Gaussian type exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan , Shen Wang

We establish some limit theorems for one-dimensional elephant random walk, including Berry-Esseen bounds, Cram\'{e}r moderate deviations and local limit theorems. These limit theorems can be regarded as refinements of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Xiequan Fan , Haijuan Hu , Xiaohui Ma

We consider a Markov chain X_1, X_2, ..., X_n belonging to a class of iterated random functions, which is "one-step contracting" with respect to some distance d. If f is any separately Lipschitz function with respect to d, we use a well…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Jérôme Dedecker , Xiequan Fan

Let $\{Z_n, n\geq 0\}$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We prove Cram\'{e}r moderate deviations and Berry-Esseen bounds for $\ln (Z_{n+n_0}/Z_{n_0})$ % under the annealed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Xiequan Fan , Haijuan Hu , Quansheng Liu

The martingale expansion provides a refined approximation to the marginal distributions of martingales beyond the normal approximation implied by the martingale central limit theorem. We develop a martingale expansion framework specifically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Masaaki Fukasawa

We establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation result for self-normalized sums of weakly dependent random variables, where the moment requirement is much weaker than the non-self-normalized counterpart. The range of the moderate deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-15 Xiaohong Chen , Qi-Man Shao , Wei Biao Wu

Consider the random walk $G_n : = g_n \ldots g_1$, $n \geq 1$, where $(g_n)_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random elements with law $\mu$ on the general linear group ${\rm GL}(V)$ with $V=\mathbb R^d$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

In this paper we prove exponential inequalities (also called Bernstein's inequality) for fractional martingales. As an immediate corollary, we will discuss weak law of large numbers for fractional martingales under divergence assumption on…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-20 Bruno Saussereau

In Stein's method, the exchangeable pair approach is commonly used to estimate the approximation errors in normal approximation. In this paper, we establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem of normal approximation for unbounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Zhuo-Song Zhang

We investigate random walks in independent, identically distributed random sceneries under the assumption that the scenery variables satisfy Cramer's condition. We prove moderate deviation principles in dimensions two and larger, covering…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Klaus Fleischmann , Peter Morters , Vitali Wachtel

Let $X_1,\dots, X_n$ be independent and identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Suppose $\mathbb{E} X_1=0$, $\mathrm{Cov}(X_1)=I_d$, where $I_d$ is the $d\times d$ identity matrix. Suppose further that there exist positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Xiao Fang , Song-Hao Liu , Qi-Man Shao

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

We obtain functional central limit theorems for both discrete time expressions of the form $1/\sqrt{N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}(F(X(q_1(n)),\ldots, X(q_{\ell}(n)))-\bar{F})$ and similar expressions in the continuous time where the sum is replaced…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

In this paper, we establish normalized and self-normalized Cram\'er-type moderate deviations for Euler-Maruyama scheme for SDE. As a consequence of our results, Berry-Esseen's bounds and moderate deviation principles are also obtained. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-19 Xiequan Fan , Haijuan Hu , Lihu Xu

Let $(X_i, \mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a martingale difference sequence in a smooth Banach space. Let $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i, n\geq 1,$ be the partial sums of $(X_i, \mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq 1}$. We give upper bounds on the quantity…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Xiequan Fan , Davide Giraudo

Let $(Z_t)_{t\geq 0}$ denote the derivative martingale of branching Brownian motion, i.e.\@ the derivative with respect to the inverse temperature of the normalized partition function at critical temperature. A well-known result by Lalley…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Michel Pain

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch