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The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is the dominant mode of tropical atmospheric variability on intraseasonal timescales, and reliable MJO predictions are essential for protecting lives and mitigating impacts on societal assets. However,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-25 Can Cao , Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Zhiwei Wua , Hao Li

We discuss a simple three layer model of the tropical atmosphere. The rainfall variance of the model is dominated by a rainfall mode moving parallel to the equator having the approximate size and propagation speed of the Madden-Julian…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-23 Ian Folkins

The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), a gigantic tropical weather system, is marked by eastward travel of cumulus cloud clusters over the Indo-Pacific region and often causes severe weather and climate events worldwide. The physics and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Daisuke Takasuka , Tamaki Suematsu , Hiroaki Miura , Masuo Nakano

Humid heat stress and heatwaves pose significant risks for living organisms, from humans and wildlife to insects. These threats have wide-ranging health, ecological, and socio-economic impacts that are expected to worsen with climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Claire Rocuet , Takeshi Izumo , Bastien Pagli , Neil J Holbrook , Sophie Cravatte , Marania Hopuare , Maxime Colin

The prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), a massive tropical weather event with vast global socio-economic impacts, has been infamously difficult with physics-based weather prediction models. Here we construct a machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-04 Tamaki Suematsu , Kengo Nakai , Tsuyoshi Yoneda , Daisuke Takasuka , Takuya Jinno , Yoshitaka Saiki , Hiroaki Miura

The MaddenJulian oscillation (MJO) is the dominant mode of intraseasonal variability in the tropics. Despite its primary importance, a generally accepted theory that accounts for fundamental features of the MJO, including its propagation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Da Yang , Andrew P. Ingersoll

A dynamic equation for a large scale convective event in the tropical atmosphere similar to the Madden--Julian Oscillation (MJO) is suggested based on the meridional vorticity equation with buoyancy parametrized by Convective Available…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-17 Richard Blender

The Madden--Julian Oscillation (MJO) is an influential climate phenomenon that plays a vital role in modulating global weather patterns. In spite of the improvement in MJO predictions made by machine learning algorithms, such as neural…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Haoyuan Chen , Emil Constantinescu , Vishwas Rao , Cristiana Stan

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are two dominant modes of tropical climate variability, each with profound global weather impacts. While their individual dynamics have been widely studied,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Yinling Zhang , Nan Chen , Charlotte Moser

Variations in stratospheric atmospheric circulation significantly influence tropospheric weather and climate, and understanding these variations can guide stratospheric aircraft development and operations. Despite a century of progress,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-26 Ningning Tao , Xiaosong Chen , Fei Xie , Yongwen Zhang , Yan Xia , Xuan Ma , Han Huang , Hongyu Wang

The Composite InfraRed Spectrometer (CIRS) on board Cassini revealed an equatorial oscillation of stratospheric temperature, reminiscent of the Earth's Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), as well as anomalously high temperatures under…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Deborah Bardet , Aymeric Spiga , Sandrine Guerlet , Simon Cabanes , Ehouarn Millour , Alexandre Boissinot

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a planetary-scale convective system characterized by large-scale envelopes of enhanced and suppressed convection that contain numerous mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). While MCSs are widely…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-24 Haobo Yang , Qiu Yang

Observations have shown that there exists downward propagation of alternating westward/eastward jets in Jupiter's equatorial stratosphere, with a quasi-period between four and six years. This phenomenon is generally called the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-26 Yuchen Lian , Xianyu Tan , Yongyun Hu

The intraseasonal Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) involves a slow eastward-propagating signal in the tropical atmosphere which significantly influences climate yet is not well understood despite significant theoretical and observational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-02-12 Aviv Solodoch , William Boos , Zhiming Kuang , Eli Tziperman

Jupiter's weather layer exhibits long-term and quasi-periodic cycles of meteorological activity that can completely change the appearance of its belts and zones. There are cycles with intervals from 4 to 9 years, dependent on the latitude,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-23 Kumiko Hori , Chris A. Jones , Arrate Antuñano , Leigh N. Fletcher , Steven M. Tobias

This study examines the evolution of extreme Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) events and their impacts on South America during the austral summer. Furthermore, the study explores how the different ENSO phases modulate extreme MJO events, and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-29 Mónica Minjares , Álvaro Corral , Marcelo Barreiro

This study examines the influence of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on Indonesian precipitation during the extended boreal summer (May to September). The MJO is one of the dominant intraseasonal variabilities that influence the extreme…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-02 Fadhil R. Muhammad , Sandro W. Lubis , Sonni Setiawan

Since the 1950s, quasi-periodic oscillations have been studied in the terrestrial equatorial stratosphere. Other planets of the solar system present (or are expected to present) such oscillations, like the Jupiter Equatorial…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-25 B. Benmahi , T. Cavalié , T. K. Greathouse , V. Hue , R. Giles , S. Guerlet , A. Spiga , R. Cosentino

Brown dwarfs and directly imaged giant planets exhibit significant evidence for active atmospheric circulation, which induces a large-scale patchiness in the cloud structure that evolves significantly over time, as evidenced by infrared…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Adam P. Showman , Xianyu Tan , Xi Zhang

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is an important driver of global weather and climate extremes, but its prediction in operational dynamical models remains challenging, with skillful forecasts typically limited to 3-4 weeks. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Xiao Zhou , Yuze Sun , Jie Wu , Xiaomeng Huang
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