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We introduce a novel rule-based approach for handling regression problems. The new methodology carries elements from two frameworks: (i) it provides information about the uncertainty of the parameters of interest using Bayesian inference,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Themistoklis Botsas , Lachlan R. Mason , Indranil Pan

We study the problem of robustly estimating the posterior distribution for the setting where observed data can be contaminated with potentially adversarial outliers. We propose Rob-ULA, a robust variant of the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-30 Kush Bhatia , Yi-An Ma , Anca D. Dragan , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

Gaussian process priors are commonly used in aerospace design for performing Bayesian optimization. Nonetheless, Gaussian processes suffer two significant drawbacks: outliers are a priori assumed unlikely, and the posterior variance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-19 Brendan D. Tracey , David H. Wolpert

We empirically show that Bayesian inference can be inconsistent under misspecification in simple linear regression problems, both in a model averaging/selection and in a Bayesian ridge regression setting. We use the standard linear model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Peter Grünwald , Thijs van Ommen

Principal component regression uses principal components as regressors. It is particularly useful in prediction settings with high-dimensional covariates. The existing literature treating of Bayesian approaches is relatively sparse. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Philippe Gagnon , Mylène Bédard , Alain Desgagné

Time-dependent data often exhibit characteristics, such as non-stationarity and heavy-tailed errors, that would be inappropriate to model with the typical assumptions used in popular models. Thus, more flexible approaches are required to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Taole Sha , Michael Minyi Zhang

This paper describes a new Bayesian interpretation of a class of skew--Student $t$ distributions. We consider a hierarchical normal model with unknown covariance matrix and show that by imposing different restrictions on the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-25 Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani

We theoretically and experimentally investigate tensor-based regression and classification. Our focus is regularization with various tensor norms, including the overlapped trace norm, the latent trace norm, and the scaled latent trace norm.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-08 Kishan Wimalawarne , Ryota Tomioka , Masashi Sugiyama

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

Change-plane regression identifies subpopulations through an interpretable linear threshold rule, but likelihood-based inference for the hard-threshold boundary is nonregular: objectives are non-smooth, the boundary is weakly identified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Yuki Ohnishi , Fan Li

In this article, we aim to provide a literature review of different formulations and approaches to continual reinforcement learning (RL), also known as lifelong or non-stationary RL. We begin by discussing our perspective on why RL is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Khimya Khetarpal , Matthew Riemer , Irina Rish , Doina Precup

Meta-learning is a tool that allows us to build sample-efficient learning systems. Here we show that, once meta-trained, LSTM Meta-Learners aren't just faster learners than their sample-inefficient deep learning (DL) and reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Neil C. Rabinowitz

This paper studies large sample properties of a Bayesian approach to inference about slope parameters $\gamma$ in linear regression models with a structural break. In contrast to the conventional approach to inference about $\gamma$ that…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-15 Kenichi Shimizu

We propose dual regression as an alternative to the quantile regression process for the global estimation of conditional distribution functions under minimal assumptions. Dual regression provides all the interpretational power of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

Our goal is to develop a Bayesian model averaging technique in linear regression models that accommodates heavier tailed error densities than the normal distribution. Motivated by the use of the Huber loss function in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Shamriddha De , Joyee Ghosh

Regression plays a key role in many research areas and its variable selection is a classic and major problem. This study emphasizes cost of predictors to be purchased for future use, when we select a subset of them. Its economic aspect is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-19 Steven N. MacEachern , Koji Miyawaki

Quantile regression has demonstrated promising utility in longitudinal data analysis. Existing work is primarily focused on modeling cross-sectional outcomes, while outcome trajectories often carry more substantive information in practice.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Huijuan Ma , Limin Peng , Haoda Fu

Regression models with fat-tailed error terms are an increasingly popular choice to obtain more robust inference to the presence of outlying observations. This article focuses on Bayesian inference for the Student-$t$ linear regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-11 Catalina A. Vallejos , Mark F. J. Steel

The Bayes linear estimator is derived by minimizing the Bayes risk with respect to the squared loss function. Non-unbiased estimators such as ordinary ridge, typical shrinkage, fractional rank, and restricted least squares estimators, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Hirai Mukasa

We consider the quasi-likelihood analysis for a linear regression model driven by a Student-t L\'{e}vy process with constant scale and arbitrary degrees of freedom. The model is observed at high frequency over an extending period, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Hiroki Masuda , Lorenzo Mercuri , Yuma Uehara