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This paper focuses on the analytical probabilistic modeling of vehicular traffic. It formulates a stochastic node model. It then formulates a network model by coupling the node model with the link model of Lu and Osorio (2018), which is a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Jing Lu , Carolina Osorio

This paper addresses the limitations of standard uncertainty models, e.g., robust (norm-bounded) and stochastic (one fixed distribution, e.g., Gaussian), and proposes to model uncertainty via Optimal Transport (OT) ambiguity sets. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Liviu Aolaritei , Nicolas Lanzetti , Hongruyu Chen , Florian Dörfler

We formulate a class of stochastic partial differential equations based on Kelvin's circulation theorem for ideal fluids. In these models, the velocity field is randomly transported by white-noise vector fields, as well as by its own…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-02-19 Theodore D. Drivas , Darryl D. Holm , James-Michael Leahy

This article proposes and analyzes explicit and easily implementable temporal numerical approximation schemes for additive noise-driven stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with polynomial nonlinearities such as, e.g.,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Sebastian Becker , Arnulf Jentzen

To explain day-to-day (DTD) route-choice behaviors and traffic dynamics observed in a series of lab experiments, Part I of this research proposed a discrete choice-based analytical dynamic model (Qi et al., 2023). Although the deterministic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-08 Hang Qi , Ning Jia , Xiaobo Qu , Zhengbing He

This paper proposes a new model for individuals movement in ecology. The movement process is defined as a solution to a stochastic differential equation whose drift is the gradient of a multimodal potential surface. This offers a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Pierre Gloaguen , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Sylvain Le Corff

In recent years, research and development in nanoscale science and technology have grown significantly, with electrical transport playing a key role. A natural challenge for its description is to shed light on anomalous behaviours observed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-10 Sara Bernardi , Paolo Begnamino , Marco Pizzi , Lamberto Rondoni

The prediction of climate change and its impact on extreme weather events is one of the great societal and intellectual challenges of our time. The first part of the problem is to make the distinction between weather and climate. The second…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-02-19 Diego Alonso-Oran , Aythami Bethencourt de Leon , Darryl Holm , So Takao

Modelling extreme events and heavy-tailed phenomena is central to building reliable predictive systems in domains such as finance, climate science, and safety-critical AI. While L\'evy processes provide a natural mathematical framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yaman Kindap , Manfred Opper , Benjamin Dupuis , Umut Simsekli , Tolga Birdal

The irreducibility is fundamental for the study of ergodicity of stochastic dynamical systems. The existing methods on the irreducibility of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) and stochastic differential equations (SDEs)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Jian Wang , Hao Yang , Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang

Persistent monitoring of a spatiotemporal fluid process requires data sampling and predictive modeling of the process being monitored. In this paper we present PASST algorithm: Predictive-model based Adaptive Sampling of a Spatio-Temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Sandeep Manjanna , Tom Z. Jiahao , M. Ani Hsieh

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

In this article, we consider a stochastic PDE of parabolic type, driven by a space-time white-noise, and its numerical discretization in time with a semi-implicit Euler scheme. When the nonlinearity is assumed to be bounded, then a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-02-14 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

Diffusion with stochastic transport is investigated here when the random driving process is a very general Gaussian process, including Fractional Brownian motion. The purpose is the comparison with a deterministic PDE, which in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Russo

Spatial-temporal forecasting has attracted tremendous attention in a wide range of applications, and traffic flow prediction is a canonical and typical example. The complex and long-range spatial-temporal correlations of traffic flow bring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Zheng Fang , Qingqing Long , Guojie Song , Kunqing Xie

Simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in bounded domains, presents significant computational challenges due to particle exit phenomena, which requires accurate modeling of interior stochastic dynamics and boundary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Minglei Yang , Yanfang Liu , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are well suited to modelling noisy and irregularly sampled time series found in finance, physics, and machine learning. Traditional approaches require costly numerical solvers to sample between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Naoki Kiyohara , Edward Johns , Yingzhen Li

We extend the taming techniques for explicit Euler approximations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by L\'evy noise with super-linearly growing drift coefficients. Strong convergence results are presented for the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-23 Konstantinos Dareiotis , Chaman Kumar , Sotirios Sabanis

In this paper, enlightened by the asymptotic expansion methodology developed by Li(2013b) and Li and Chen (2016), we propose a Taylor-type approximation for the transition densities of the stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-16 Fan Jiang , Xin Zang , Jingping Yang

Timesteppers constitute a powerful tool in modern computational science and engineering. Although they are typically used to advance the system forward in time, they can also be viewed as nonlinear mappings that implicitly encode steady…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Hannes Vandecasteele , Nicholas Karris , Alexander Cloninger , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis