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In this work, we combine a stochastic model reduction with a particle filter augmented with tempering and jittering, and apply the combined algorithm to a damped and forced incompressible 2D Euler dynamics defined on a simply connected…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-25 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl D. Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

In this work we set the stage for a new probabilistic pathwise approach to effectively calibrate a general class of stochastic nonlinear fluid dynamics models. We focus on a 2D Euler SALT equation, showing that the driving stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Oana Lang , Wei Pan

A resolution-independent data-driven stochastic parametrization method for subgrid-scale processes in coarsened fluid descriptions is proposed. The method enables the inclusion of high-fidelity data into the coarsened flow model, thereby…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-26 Sagy Ephrati , Paolo Cifani , Milo Viviani , Bernard Geurts

We present the first application of the stochastic advection by Lie transport (SALT) framework to an idealized coupled ocean-atmosphere system. SALT derives stochastic fluid equations from Hamilton's variational principle under a stochastic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Kamal Kishor Sharma , Peter Korn

We present a numerical investigation of stochastic transport in ideal fluids. According to Holm (Proc Roy Soc, 2015) and Cotter et al. (2017), the principles of transformation theory and multi-time homogenisation, respectively, imply a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-09-28 Colin J. Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl D. Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

We present a numerical investigation into the stochastic parameterisations of the Primitive Equations (PE) using the Stochastic Advection by Lie Transport (SALT) and Stochastic Forcing by Lie Transport (SFLT) frameworks. These frameworks…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-10 Ruiao Hu , Stuart Patching

We develop an Euler-type method to predict the evolution of a time-dependent probability measure without explicitly learning an operator that governs its evolution. We use linearized optimal transport theory to prove that the measure-valued…

Macroscopic traffic flow is stochastic, but the physics-informed deep learning methods currently used in transportation literature embed deterministic PDEs and produce point-valued outputs; the stochasticity of the governing dynamics plays…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-11 Wuping Xin

Stochastic parametrisations of the interactions among disparate scales of motion in fluid convection are often used for estimating prediction uncertainty, which can arise due to inadequate model resolution, or incomplete observations,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-14 Darryl D. Holm , Wei Pan

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

Strongly nonlinear flows, which commonly arise in geophysical and engineering turbulence, are characterized by persistent and intermittent energy transfer between various spatial and temporal scales. These systems are difficult to model and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Hassan Arbabi , Themistoklis Sapsis

We derive stochastically-constrained Koiter shell models in line with the SALT (Stochastic Advection by Lie Transport) approach introduced by Holm [Proc. A. 471 (2015)]. First, we deduce the stochastic partial differential equations for the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Prince Romeo Mensah , Pierre Marie Ngougoue Ngougoue

A generic approach to stochastic climate modelling is developed for the example of an idealized Atmosphere-Ocean model that rests upon Hasselmann's paradigm for stochastic climate models. Namely, stochasticity is incorporated into the fast…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-08-16 D. Crisan , D. D. Holm , P. Korn

This paper introduces a randomized tamed Euler scheme tailored for L\'evy-driven stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with superlinear random coefficients and Carath\'eodory-type drift. Under assumptions that allow for time-irregular…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Sani Biswas , Joaquin Fontbona

Stochastic difference equations and a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) are simultaneously derived for the time-dependent neutron angular density in a general three-dimensional medium where the neutron angular density is a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-04-16 Edward J. Allen

Standard Eulerian--Lagrangian (EL) methods generally employ drag force models that only represent the mean hydrodynamic force acting upon a particle-laden suspension. Consequently, higher-order drag force statistics, arising from…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-22 Aaron M. Lattanzi , Vahid Tavanashad , Shankar Subramaniam , Jesse Capecelatro

The 2D Euler equations are a simple but rich set of non-linear PDEs that describe the evolution of an ideal inviscid fluid, for which one dimension is negligible. Solving numerically these equations can be extremely demanding. Several…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Paolo Cifani , Sagy Ephrati , Milo Viviani

In recent years, stochastic parametrizations have been ubiquitous in modelling uncertainty in fluid dynamics models. One source of model uncertainty comes from the coarse graining of the fine-scale data and is in common usage in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Bertrand Chapron , Dan Crisan , Darryl Holm , Oana Lang , Alexander Lobbe , Etienne Mémin

We propose a data-driven approach for propagating uncertainty in stochastic power grid simulations and apply it to the estimation of transmission line failure probabilities. A reduced-order equation governing the evolution of the observed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Hongli Zhao , Tyler E. Maltba , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

In dealing with high-dimensional data, factor models are often used for reducing dimensions and extracting relevant information. The spectrum of covariance matrices from power data exhibits two aspects: 1) bulk, which arises from random…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Xin Shi , Robert Qiu
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